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From: Thomas Giella KN4LF (kn4lf{at}tampabay.rr.com)
Date: Sun Dec 21 2003 - 14:59:08 EST
Florida Daily Weather Discussion
#2003-69 Published 12/21/03 At 3:00 PM
As forecast models predicted, the cold high pressure center moved ENE across
the panhandle north region and then into south Georgia during the overnight
hours. This kept
the cold air advection machine on at the boundary level and precluded long
periods of calm wind at the surface on the central and southern peninsula.
A small finger of the high pressure center did nose southward across the
peninsula during the latter half of the night, allowing temperatures to fall
below freezing in inland rural areas of the central and south peninsula.
The cold spot in the state was 14 deg. at Fort White in the non panhandle
north region. The cold spot on the central peninsula was 19 deg. at Holder
and Nobleton East. The cold spot on the south peninsula was 31 deg. at
Immokalee.
Some notable minimum temperatures in the inland south central citrus region
of the peninsula include 24 deg. at Old Venus, 26 deg. at Archbold and 32
deg. at Palmdale.
The east side of the citrus growing region stayed above freezing.
Some selected minimum temperatures for 12/21/03. You can readily see warmer
urban, coastal and higher elevation locations and colder lower lying rural
inland regions.
*- My Private Station Network
#- Private Stations with Accurate Instruments and Exposures
Panhandle North-
Apalachicola- 31
Bronson FAWN- MM
Carrabelle FAWN- 26
Chipley- 26
Crestview- 21
De Funiak Springs- 28
Jay FAWN- 28
Madison- 24
Marianna- 25
Marianna FAWN- 24
Monticello- mm
Monticello FAWN- 23
#New Hope- 24
Panama City- 32
Perry- 23
Quincy- mm
Quincy FAWN- 25
Steinhatchee Fire Tower- 25
Tallahassee Int AP- 21
Tallahassee Canopy Oaks Elem- mm
Tallahassee Chiles HS- mm
Non Panhandle North & North East-
#Fort White- 14
Glen St. Mary- 21
Jacksonville WSO AP- 24
Jasper- 24
Lake City- 25
Live Oak- mm
Live Oak FAWN- 22
MacClenny FAWN- 22
Middleburg- mm
Starke- 23
North Peninsula-
Alachua FAWN- 21
Bronson FAWN- 28
Chiefland- 29
Cross City- 21
Gainesville- 22
Hastings- 30
High Springs- mm
Lake Butler- mm
Mayo- mm
Putnam Hall FAWN- 27
North Central Peninsula-
Apopka FAWN- 34
Avalon FAWN- 36
#Brooksville- 29
Brooksville South AP- 21
Clermont Climate St- 36
#Holder- 19
Citra FAWN- 25
Daytona Beach Int AP- 36
Inverness Climate St- 25
The Villages- 30
#Lady Lake- 28
Leesburg AP- 34
Mount Plymouth- 24
Nobleton FAWN- 23
#Nobleton- mm
*Nobleton East- 19
Ocala AP- 25
Ocklawaha FAWN- 31
Okahumpka FAWN- 31
Orlando Int AP- 37
Orlando Ex AP- 40
Orlando East- 35
Pierson FAWN- 27
Sanford AP- 38
Tavares FAWN- 37
Umatilla FAWN- 27
Central Peninsula-
#Balm- 33
Balm FAWN- 33
Bradenton FAWN- 33
*Dade City- 29
Dade City South- 27
Dover FAWN- 31
Kenansville FAWN- 32
Kissimmee AP- 34
Lake Alfred FAWN- 34
Lakeland Linder AP- 33
*Lakeland SW- 29
Melbourne Int AP- 39
Melbourne NWS- 37
Palm Bay- 32
Plant City Climate St- 31
*Plant City North (Knights Station)- 26
*Plant City West- 28
*Plant City SW- 29
Ruskin Tampa Bay NWS- 33
*Darby- 22
#Kenneth City- 35
Scottsmoor- 31
St. Leo- 27
St. Pete./Clearwater Int AP- 43
St. Pete. Albert Whitted AP- 46
Sarasota/Bradenton AP- 37
Tampa Int AP- 36
Tampa East Vandenberg AP-28
Tampa South MacDill AFB- 39
#Zephyrhills NE- mm
South Central Peninsula-
Avon Park- 30
Archbold Bio St- 26
Brighton- 36
Fort Pierce Int AP- 39
Fort Pierce FAWN- 37
Okeechobee- 37
#Old Venus- 24
Ona FAWN- 35
Palmdale FAWN- 32
Sebring FAWN- 35
Vero Beach- 39
Vero Beach AP- 39
South Peninsula/Northern Everglades-
Belle Glade- 40
Belle Glade FAWN- 36
Clewiston- 35
Devils Garden- mm
Punta Gorda- 34
Fort Myers Page AP- 40
Fort Myers Int AP- 38
Moore Haven- 38
Immokalee- 35
Immokalee FAWN- 31
La Belle- mm
Marco Island- 40
Naples Muni AP- 41
Naples East- 39
Ortona- 33
South Bay- 35
South Peninsula/Southern Everglades-
#Boynton Beach West- mm
Everglades City- 40
Fort Lauderdale Int AP- 47
Fort Lauderdale Exec AP- 45
Fort Lauderdale FAWN- 45
Homestead Gen AP- 40
Homestead AFB- 46
Homestead FAWN- 37
Miami Int AP- 47
Miami Beach- 48
Ochopee- 40
Perrine- 39
Royal Palm Beach West- 41
West Kendall AP- 43
West Palm Beach Int AP- 44
Florida Keys-
#Key Largo- 49
Key West Int AP- 54
#Key West Inland- 52
Key West NAS-
Marathon- 52
Tavernier- 50
A warm up is already underway this afternoon with a NE wind, with today's
maximum temperatures at least 10 deg. warmer then yesterday. Sunday mornings
minimum temperatures should be 10-20 deg. warmer then this morning, with
some isolated pockets of near freezing minimum temperatures in normally
colder inland rural areas of the north central and north peninsula regions.
We will continue with a slow warm up to near normal by Christmas Eve
12/24/03 with a small chance of rain, then colder weather again for
Christmas Day 12/25/03. This next cold spell will be warmer then the last.
The chances of a significant freeze event between Christmas and the new year
has now been eliminated, as the positive Pacific North America (PNA) jet
stream pattern, which consists of a ridge in the west and a trough in the
east will get undercut and beaten down as the El Nino stoked up subtropical
jet stream re-exerts itself.
We should see near normal temperature and precipitation for the remainder of
the month and it could extend through the first 1-2 weeks of January 2004!
Happy Holidays,
Thomas F. Giella
Retired Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster
SKYWARN Observer HIL-249
SWFWMD Observer #574
Plant City, FL, USA
Florida Space & Atmospheric Weather Institute:
http://www.kn4lf.com/fsawi.htm
Florida Daily Weather Discussion:
http://www.kn4lf.com/sub/fmci17.htm
KN4LF Daily Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Data Archive
Plus Daily HF/MF Radio Propagation Outlook:
http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf5.htm
Standard Disclaimer
NOTE! As I officially retired from "for profit" space and atmospheric
weather forecasting in 2000, I do not have the resources and time available
to conduct an in depth daily Meteorological synoptic analysis, therefore my
day to day accuracy will be less then in past years, when I had a 48 hour
forecast accuracy in the high 90% range. This discussion is billed as daily
and I generally will post at 11:00 AM and then when further updates are
necessary. On some days I will not make a post, it will always depend on
current weather events.
Also as the science of Meteorology and Weather Forecasting is still and
inexact science, these not for profit discussions, forecasts and outlooks
are not for use in lieu of official sources, are not for protection of life
or property, are for educational purposes only and are subject to human
error and acts of God, therefore no guarantee or warranty implied. This site
and all discussions, forecasts and outlooks herein is my intellectual
property and copyrighted © 1988-2003 by Thomas F. Giella and the Florida
Space And Atmospheric Weather Institute, all rights reserved. Reproduction
of information herein is allowed as long as proper credit is given.
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