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WeatherMatrix
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Prohibited. Usage logged.
From: Thomas Giella KN4LF (kn4lf{at}tampabay.rr.com)
Date: Sun Dec 07 2003 - 17:04:07 EST
Florida Daily Weather Discussion
#2003-57 Published 12/07/03 At 4:00 PM
The cold spot in the state this morning was 24 deg. at East Nobleton in the
west central peninsula region. The cold spot across the north was 26 deg. at
Tallahassee. The cold spot on the southern peninsula was at Immokalee with
38 deg.
It was quite cold in some areas of the west central peninsula with
widespread frost, due to long periods with a calm wind. The subfreezing line
extended southward to S.R. 60 west of US. 27. Some colder locations on the
south central peninsula region dipped below 32 deg. also, including Old
Venus at 31 deg. As happens sometimes the central peninsula was colder then
the non peninsula north. Sometimes the south central peninsula will be
coldest.
Minimum temperatures this morning on the west central peninsula:
32 Suburban SW Plant City
29 Rural West Plant City
26 Rural North Plant City (Knights Station)
32 Urban Climate Station Plant City
33 Suburban East Tampa Vandenberg Airport
33 Rural FAWN Station Dover
35 Suburban Lakeland Linder Airport
31 Rural SW Lakeland
36 Suburban NWS Office Ruskin
35 Rural Balm
25 Rural Darby
34 Urban Dade City
MM Rural NE Zephyrhills
34 Urban Brooksville
30 Suburban Brooksville Airport
30 Rural FAWN Nobleton
24 Rural East Nobleton
MM Rural Nobleton
33 Rural Holder
37 Urban & Coastal Tampa Intl Airport
37 Urban & Coastal Mac Dill AFB
37 Suburban Kenneth City
43 Urban & Coastal St. Pete/Clearwater Intl Airport
44 Urban & Coastal St. Pete Albert Whitted Airport
40 Suburban Sarasota/Bradenton Airport
Today was chilly but a warmer day late fall day then Saturday under weak
cold air advection (CAA). Maximum temperatures were 5-10 deg. warmer and
dewpoints 10-15 deg. warmer today then yesterday on light north winds. Today
's maximum temperatures ranged from the upper 40's to mid 50's north, upper
50's to mid 60's central and upper 60's to low 70's south.
With clear skies, a light wind and a dry air mass in place I expect the
temperature to drop rapidly during the first half of the night under near
perfect radiational cooling conditions. The second half of the night should
see a more moist NE wind flow above the boundary layer bringing a halt to
the temperature fall.
Monday morning should dawn with another round of subfreezing minimum
temperatures into portions of the inland rural central peninsula north of
I-4 but lowest temperatures may occur around 3:00 am.
We will see a rapid warm up Monday afternoon through Wednesday 12/10/03,
with a moderate chance of rain on Wednesday, as another cold front sweeps
across the state on Wednesday and into Thursday 12/11/03. At this moment the
next air mass looks to be a little warmer then the present one.
The "Old South" north and northeastward through the Midwest, Mid Atlantic
and southern New England regions saw an early and historic heavy snowfall
event in the past few days. Next week promises and even more widespread snow
event in the Eastern U.S. Why do I bring this up? Because it's reminds me of
December 1983 and 1989 when early snowfalls across the eastern U.S. set the
stage for brutal cold waves into Florida around Christmas time.
Now I'm not forecasting record breaking cold waves for Florida later this
month. I have to say this because I made similar comments in December 2000
and it was misconstrued. When the cold did not come I was accused of crying
wolf. It takes a whole series of weather events to bring about a bitter cold
repeat like Christmas 1983 and 1989. For more
Information on these historic cold waves check out my sub website at
http://66.175.38.157/sub/fmci18.htm .
Happy Holidays,
Thomas F. Giella
Retired Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster
SKYWARN Observer HIL-249
Plant City, FL, USA
Florida Space & Atmospheric Weather Institute:
http://www.kn4lf.com/fsawi.htm
Florida Daily Weather Discussion:
http://www.kn4lf.com/sub/fmci17.htm
KN4LF Daily Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Data Archive
Plus Daily HF/MF Radio Propagation Outlook:
http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf5.htm
Standard Disclaimer
NOTE! As I officially retired from "for profit" space and atmospheric
weather forecasting in 2000, I do not have the resources and time available
to conduct an in depth daily Meteorological synoptic analysis, therefore my
day to day accuracy will be less then in past years, when I had a 48 hour
forecast accuracy in the high 90% range. This discussion is billed as daily
and I generally will post at 11:00 AM and then when further updates are
necessary. On some days I will not make a post, it will always depend on
current weather events.
Also as the science of Meteorology and Weather Forecasting is still and
inexact science, these not for profit discussions, forecasts and outlooks
are not for use in lieu of official sources, are not for protection of life
or property, are for educational purposes only and are subject to human
error and acts of God, therefore no guarantee or warranty implied. This site
and all discussions, forecasts and outlooks herein is my intellectual
property and copyrighted © 1988-2003 by Thomas F. Giella and the Florida
Space And Atmospheric Weather Institute, all rights reserved. Reproduction
of information herein is allowed as long as proper credit is given.
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