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[STORMREPORTS] Florida Daily Weather Discussion #2003-56

From: Thomas Giella KN4LF (kn4lf{at}tampabay.rr.com)
Date: Sat Dec 06 2003 - 21:27:17 EST


Florida Daily Weather Discussion

#2003-56 Published 12/06/03 At 9:00 PM

The cold spot in the state this morning was 32 deg. at Marianna in the NW
panhandle region.

Today was a chilly and blustery late fall day in Florida under strong cold
air advection (CAA) in the wake of yesterday's cold front and today's
squeeze play between the strengthening east coast winter storm and the
Arctic high pressure ridge in Texas. Maximum temperatures were 20-30 deg.
colder today then yesterday on north winds gusting to 35 mph. Today's
maximum temperatures ranged from the 40's north, 50's central and 60's
south, with dewpoints in the mid 20's to mid 30's.

As of 9:00 pm EST some locations on the central peninsula are seeing a calm
wind,
allowing temperatures to plummet into the mid to upper 30's. I expect(ed) a
north wind at 5-10 mph wind overnight for the whole of the state, keeping
temperatures above freezing in inland rural areas south of approximately
I-4. However if the current trend continues the subfreezing line will
probably reach down to near S.R. 60 in inland rural areas, with spotty 32
deg. readings in the colder areas of the south central peninsula and
northern Everglades.

Sunday maximum temperatures should be 5-10 deg. warmer then today under
sunny skies
And a dry north wind. Monday morning should dawn with another round of
subfreezing minimum temperatures in portions of the inland rural central
peninsula.

We should see a slow warming trend into the middle of next week then another
cold frontal passage thereafter.

T.S. Odette continued to strengthen today with sustained winds near
hurricane force. Hispaniola's 10,000+ foot mountains should all but destroy
Odette.

It's been a seemingly strange weather year on planet Earth in 2003 with a
record cold Winter in Antarctica and South America, a very early T.S. Anna,
a very late T.S. Odette, record heat and drought in the western U.S., record
early Arctic cold in Siberian Russia, Alaska and Canada, and an early snow
storm in the mid Atlantic and New England that should not have occurred.
Also we had a moderate El Nino Pacific Ocean temperature anomaly at the
beginning of this year that faded into a weak La Nina by late spring, that
faded into a La Nada (nothing) by mid summer and now we are seeing a weak
and strengthening El Nino again! Even the Sun went nuts in the past month or
so with record large sunspots, mind boggling size solar flares, extreme
geomagnetic storms and visible Aurora three different times in Florida this
fall.

Happy Holidays,
Thomas F. Giella
Retired Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster
SKYWARN Observer HIL-249
Plant City, FL, USA

Florida Space & Atmospheric Weather Institute:
http://www.kn4lf.com/fsawi.htm

Florida Daily Weather Discussion:
http://www.kn4lf.com/sub/fmci17.htm

KN4LF Daily Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Data Archive
Plus Daily HF/MF Radio Propagation Outlook:
http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf5.htm

Standard Disclaimer

NOTE! As I officially retired from "for profit" space and atmospheric
weather forecasting in 2000, I do not have the resources and time available
to conduct an in depth daily Meteorological synoptic analysis, therefore my
day to day accuracy will be less then in past years, when I had a 48 hour
forecast accuracy in the high 90% range. This discussion is billed as daily
and I generally will post at 11:00 AM and then when further updates are
necessary. On some days I will not make a post, it will always depend on
current weather events.

Also as the science of Meteorology and Weather Forecasting is still and
inexact science, these not for profit discussions, forecasts and outlooks
are not for use in lieu of official sources, are not for protection of life
or property, are for educational purposes only and are subject to human
error and acts of God, therefore no guarantee or warranty implied. This site
and all discussions, forecasts and outlooks herein is my intellectual
property and copyrighted © 1988-2003 by Thomas F. Giella and the Florida
Space And Atmospheric Weather Institute, all rights reserved. Reproduction
of information herein is allowed as long as proper credit is given.

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