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From: Jesse Ferrell (WeatherMatrix) 2 (jesse{at}weathermatrix.net)
Date: Tue Nov 11 2003 - 13:11:34 EST

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The visible satellite and San Juan radar are showing possible circulation
to the southeast of Puerto Rico, amid large thunderstorm complexes. Puerto
Rico and the Virgin Islands should be on the lookout for flash floods; in
the past 24 hours rainfall rates of over 3" per 3 hours have been observed
on the Virgin Islands.

Radar:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p38cr/si.tjua.shtml

IR & vis Satellite links & loops at:
http://www.weathermatrix.net/tropical/2003/

The NHC said this morning in an 11am outlook:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA CONTINUES
TO GENERATE HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS OVER PUERTO RICO... THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND ADJACENT WATERS. SURFACE
REPORTS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE DISTURBANCE HAS NOT
YET DEVELOPED A WELL-DEFINED CENTER OF CIRCULATION... AND UPPER-
LEVEL WINDS DO NOT FAVOR RAPID DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER... THE
DISTURBANCE STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE
OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. EVEN IF THE DISTURBANCE DOES NOT DEVELOP
INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE... IT IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINS AND POSE A THREAT OF FLASH FLOODS OVER PORTIONS OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS... THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO. AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY EN ROUTE TO
INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM.

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