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WeatherMatrix
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Prohibited. Usage logged.
From: Thomas Giella KN4LF (kn4lf{at}tampabay.rr.com)
Date: Thu Feb 19 2004 - 12:38:01 EST
Florida Daily Weather Discussion
#2004-010 Published Thursday 02/19/2004 at 12:00 PM
Valid Through Sunday 02/22/04
http://www.kn4lf.com/sub/fmci17.htm
http://www.kn4lf.com/fsawi.htm
I haven't published an outlook since Friday 02/13/04 due to time constraints.
I began an update on Monday 02/16/04, to cover the recent rainfall event but got sidetracked and never finished it. To rehash it quickly though, the winter storm system that raced across the state on Saturday-Sunday 02/14-15/04 was more disorganized due to a positive SOI, but substantial rainfall fell across the whole of the state. Rainfall totals of 0.50- 1.50" were common, with quite a few totals in the 2.00-3.00" range. Here in suburban SW Plant City I measured 0.88".
A few weeks ago I began discussing how our weather pattern would eventually turn colder again during the second half of the month, well that has come to fruition. Seems I've been pretty lucky at forecasting major weather pattern changes several weeks in advance this winter season.
The coldest minimum temperatures of the month occurred early this morning. The state cold spot was 24 deg. at Ft. White on the non panhandle north region and also at East Nobleton on the north central peninsula.
Here are some selected Florida minimum temperatures for Thursday morning 02/19/2004.
I didn't have time this morning to collect more minimum temperature readings. All locations are inland and rural.
*- My Private Station Network
#- Private Stations with Accurate Instruments and Exposures
Panhandle North-
Crestview AP- 25
Non Panhandle North & North East-
#Fort White- 24
North Central Peninsula-
Brooksville South AP- 29
*East Nobleton- 24
#Holder- 29
Inverness Climate St- 30
Mount Plymouth- 30
Central Peninsula-
Balm FAWN- 32
*Plant City North (Knights Station)- 27
*Plant City West- 29
*Plant City SW- 31
*Darby- 26
South Central Peninsula-
Archbold Bio St- 26
#Old Venus- 26
South Peninsula/Northern Everglades-
Immokalee FAWN- 37
South Peninsula/Southern Everglades-
West Kendall AP- 44
Briefly, future weather for the rest of the month will be very changeable due to a progressive (fast moving) jet stream pattern. We will experience a roller coaster pattern of strong warm ups followed by winter storms and strong cool downs. I'll expound in more detail next time around.
Take Care,
Thomas F. Giella
Retired Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster
SKYWARN Observer HIL-249
SWFWMD Observer #574
Plant City, FL, USA
Florida Space & Atmospheric Weather Institute:
http://www.kn4lf.com/fsawi.htm
Florida Daily Weather Discussion:
http://www.kn4lf.com/sub/fmci17.htm
KN4LF Daily Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Data Archive
Plus Daily MF Radio Propagation Outlook:
http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf5.htm
Standard Disclaimer
NOTE! As I officially retired from "for profit" space and atmospheric weather forecasting in 2000, I do not have the resources and time available to conduct an in depth daily Meteorological synoptic analysis, therefore my day to day accuracy will be less then in past years, when I had a 48 hour forecast accuracy in the high 90% range. This discussion is billed as daily and I generally will post at 11:00 AM and then when further updates are necessary. On some days I will not make a post, it will always depend on current weather events.
Also as the science of Meteorology and Weather Forecasting is still and inexact science, these not for profit discussions, forecasts and outlooks are not for use in lieu of official sources, are not for protection of life or property, are for educational purposes only and are subject to human error and acts of God, therefore no guarantee or warranty implied. This site and all discussions, forecasts and outlooks herein is my intellectual property and copyrighted © 1988-2004 by Thomas F. Giella and the Florida Space And Atmospheric Weather Institute, all rights reserved. Reproduction of information herein is allowed as long as proper credit is given.
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