[STORMREPORTS] USASitRep: For March 17, 2001

From: owner-sitrep{at}disastercenter.com
Date: Sat Mar 17 2001 - 11:38:28 EST


The USA Disaster Situation Report

The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report

For March 17, 2001
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
------------------------------------------------------------
IN THIS ISSUE
------------------------------------------------------------
=> USA Daily Temperature Extremes
=> Special Notes
=> Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:
=> Severe Weather Probability Forecast
=> Precipitation Forecast, Excessive Rainfall, Heavy Snow And/Or Significant
Icing Forecast
=> USA Flood Report
=> USA Fire Report and Forecast
=> USA Earthquake Report
=> Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports
=> Guest Column-
=> Sponsored by The Rothstein Catalog On Disaster Recovery
**** ARTICLES ****
=> Article The U.S. Fire Administration has received notice of the
following firefighter
fatalities:
=> Article Alaska Spring Breakup Outlook
=> Classified Ads
=> Links Area
=> How to Be Featured as our Guest Columnist
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   The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report

For March 17, 2001
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
------------------------------------------------------------
IN THIS ISSUE
------------------------------------------------------------
   => USA Daily Temperature Extremes

National Temperature Extremes
High Fri...90 At Ft Lauderdale And Opa Locka FL
Low Sat...Zero At Silver Bay MN

   => Special Notes

Stratwarm Alert Exists Stratwarm Saturday
Comment: The circulation in the lower Stratosphere remains disturbed as a
result of the major
warming. The reversed temperature gradient persists up to 20 HPa. In the
middle and upper
Stratosphere, the vortex weakens and becomes less distorted. Slow
transition to Summer
conditions most probable.

   => Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:

Active Warnings:
Updated Sat Mar 17 11:24:16 2001

Flood

Louisiana
Texas
FLOOD WARNING FOR VILLAGE CREEK AT WEISS BLUFF...

Tennessee
FLOOD WARNINGS CONTINUE FOR THE BUTTAHATCHIE RIVER...NOXUBEE
RIVER...AND THE TALLAHATCHIE RIVER IN NORTH MISSISSIPPI.

Winter Storm

Colorado
SNOW TO CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN COLORADO TODAY...
...SNOW ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHWEST AND
WEST CENTRAL COLORADO TODAY...

New Jersey
SUSSEX NJ-...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
SUNDAY MORNING...

New Mexico
LATE WINTER STORM TO BRING SNOW TO NORTHERN NEW MEXICO TODAY...
.A STORM NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS AREA EARLY THIS MORNING WILL MOVE
ACROSS NORTHERN NEW MEXICO TODAY...BRINGING SNOW TO MUCH OF THE
NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE.

New York
ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY... .AN UPPER AIR
DISTURBANCE MOVING EAST FROM OHIO TO PENNSYLVANIA THIS AFTERNOON
WILL SPREAD MORE SNOW ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER, THE NIAGARA
FRONTIER AND PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN FINGER LAKES REGION.

Ohio
ASHTABULA INLAND OH-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE OH-WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TODAY...
CUYAHOGA OH-GEAUGA OH-LAKE OH-LORAIN OH-..WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY FOR THIS MORNING...

Oklahoma
SNOW TO DEVELOP IN THE WESTERN TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES
AND SPREAD EAST AS THE DAY PROGRESSES.

Pennsylvania
CARBON PA-MONROE PA-.WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY LATE THIS AFTERNOON
INTO SUNDAY MORNING...
BRADFORD PA-SUSQUEHANNA PA-WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY CONTINUES
THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY TONIGHT...
LACKAWANNA PA-LUZERNE PA-PIKE PA-WAYNE PA-WYOMING PA-..WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY CONTINUES THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
TONIGHT...
CAMERON PA-CLEARFIELD PA-ELK PA-MCKEAN PA-NORTHERN CENTRE
PA-NORTHERN CLINTON PA-NORTHERN LYCOMING PA-POTTER PA-SULLIVAN
PA-TIOGA PA-WARREN.A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
THROUGH THIS EVENING...

Texas
SNOW TO DEVELOP IN THE WESTERN TEXAS AND
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES AND SPREAD EAST AS THE DAY PROGRESSES.

   => Severe Weather Probability Forecast

The forecast probability of an event is by the stated percentage or greater
for the event, within 25 miles of any point for the area described.

   Tornado Risk - Slight
There is less than a 2% probability of a tornado.

   Hail Risk - Slight
There is less than a 5% probability of hail 3/4 inch or larger.

   Wind Risk - Slight
There is less than a 5% probability of winds in excess of 50 knots.

   Tomorrow's Risk -
There is less than a 5% probability of any severe weather tomorrow.

   => Precipitation Forecast, Excessive Rainfall, Heavy Snow And/Or
Significant
Icing Forecast

Precipitation Forecast
The 24 hour precipitation forecast is calling for over 1 inch of
precipitation over the central and
southern coast of Washington, the central and northern coast of Oregon, a
small portion of central
south Washington, and far south southeast Louisiana.

The 24 - 48 hour precipitation forecast is calling for over 1 inch of
precipitation over far northeast
Washington, a small portion of central south Washington, north central and
northeast Florida.

Excessive Rainfall Forecast
Rainfall is not expected to exceed flash flood values.

USA heavy snow and/or significant icing
>From noon to midnight today EST the probability of 4 inches or greater of
snow is low over
northeast New Mexico, the far northwestern portion of Texas's panhandle and
the extreme southeast
portion of Oklahoma's panhadle. Also over central south New York, from far
northeast to far
central north Pennsylvania.
The probability of 1/4 inch or greater of ice accumulation is less than 20%

>From midnight to noon tomorrow EST the probability of 4 inches or greater of
snow is less than
20%
The probability of 1/4 inch or greater of ice accumulation is less than 20%
Current USA Snow and Ice Cover
http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/surface/us_NESDISsnow.gif

   => USA Flood Report

Not Available

   => USA Fire Report and Forecast
INCIDENT MANAGEMENT SITUATION REPORT
FRIDAY, MARCH 16, 2001 - 1000 MST
NATIONAL PREPARDNESS LEVEL 1

CURRENT SITUATION:

New large fire activity was reported in the Eastern and Southern Areas.
All large fires were contained in the Eastern Area and nine large fires
reached containment in the Southern Area. Moderate initial attack activity
continues in the Southern Area with the Eastern Area being light. Most of
the Southeast will have cloudy skies with rain showers expected from
Tennessee over to North Carolina. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
expected for central Florida as well.

SOUTHERN AREA LARGE FIRES:

JOE JR., Florida Division of Forestry. This fire is near Lakeport, FL.
Crews continue with mop up.

GERTIE BROWN, St. Marks National Wildlife Refuge. The fire is near
Sopchoppy, FL. Mop up continues and fire activity is low.

SOPCHOPPY, Florida Division of Forestry. This fire is near Sopchoppy, FL.
No new information received.

DALLUS CREEK, Florida Division of Forestry. This fire is near Perry, FL.
Crews continue with mop up.

RED BEACH, Florida Division of Forestry. This fire is in Highlands County,
FL. Mop up is continuing.

MULTI COMMAND, Florida Division of Forestry. This fire is in Dade County,
FL. Crews are continuing with mop up.

SUMMERSET COMMAND, Florida Division of Forestry. This fire is in Martin
County, FL. No new information received.

OUTLOOK:

 The Southeast can expect a chance of showers from Tennessee to North
Carolina today, with only
partly cloudy skies south. A cold front moving through Central Florida will
produce scattered
showers and thunderstorms from Daytona Beach to Miami. Arkansas, Louisiana
and Alabama will
have high temperatures in the mid 50's to mid 60's, eastward the high
temperatures will reach the
upper 60's to 70's, while Southern Florida will see high temperatures in the
80's.

 Low pressure continues to sit off the Northwestern coastline producing rain
showers over
Washington and western Oregon. A trough that moved inland yesterday will
develop low pressure
over the Four Corners region, producing rain showers from southwestern Utah
to Denver and
snowfall over Aspen and Salt Lake City. The desert Southwest will have
cloudy skies. High
temperatures will reach the 40's across eastern Washington and Montana down
through Nevada,
Utah and Colorado. The coast will reach high temperatures in the 50's, with
California, Arizona and
New Mexico in the low 50's to low 60's. Low pressure in the east will
continue to push
precipitation across the upper Midwest today. High pressure moving towards
South Dakota will
help clear skies over the Plains States. Kansas, Southern Missouri and most
of the Ohio River
Valley will have high temperatures in the mid 40's to low 50's. Oklahoma and
northern Texas will
have high temperatures in the 50's, while central and southern Texas will
have high temperatures in
the 60's and 70's.

 A low pressure system over Maryland will produce rain over the Virginia's
northward as it moves
out over the Atlantic later in the day. The extreme Northeast will be
variably cloudy and remain dry.
High temperatures will be in the 30's along the Canadian border, 40's from
Pennsylvania to central
Maine and low 50's to low 60's in the Virginia's, Washington D.C. and
Delaware.

   => USA Earthquake Report

UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY
NATIONAL EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION CENTER
GOLDEN, COLORADO
LISTS OF U.S. EARTHQUAKES IN THE LAST 30 HOURS
Prepared by USGS/NEIC 2001 MAR 17 at 00:15 UTC

EARTHQUAKES IN WEST CENTRAL UNITED STATES
(35.8 TO 40.3 N, 102.0 TO 125.0 W)
Date Time (UTC) Lat Long Depth Magnitude
2001 MAR 16 03:46:58.00 37.3 N 121.7 W 7 km 3.0
10 miles E of San Jose, California

EARTHQUAKES IN EASTERN UNITED STATES
(25.0 TO 50.0 N, 65.0 TO 102.0 W)
Date Time (UTC) Lat Long Depth Magnitude
2001 MAR 16 04:39:04.34 28.2 N 89.2 W 10 km 3.7
85 miles SSE of Buras, Louisiana

   => Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports

Note: All data is considered preliminary
Tornado Reports
No reports received
Hail Reports
No reports received
Wind Reports
No reports received
Fields marked UNK are unknown
All Times UTC
Wind Gusts in MPH
Hail Sizes in 1/100 of an Inch (75 = 0.75")

   => Guest Column

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   => The U.S. Fire Administration has received notice of the following
firefighter
fatalities:
Name: Bret Tarver
Rank: Firefighter
Age: 41
Status: Career
Years of Service: 8
Date of Incident: 3/14/2001
Time of Incident: 1700hrs
Date of Death: 3/14/2001
Fire Department: Phoenix Fire Department
Fire Department Address: 150 S. 12th St., Phoenix, AZ 85034
Fire Department Phone: (602) 262-6297
Fire Department Chief: Alan Brunacini
Cause of Death: Firefighter Tarver died of burns and smoke inhalation when
he was overcome by
rapid fire progress while working a fire inside of a shopping center
supermarket.
Funeral and Memorial Information: Viewing - Sunday 3-18-01 at All Saints
Episcopal Church,
6300 N Central,
1600 ­ 1900hrs.
Service - Monday 3-19-01 at Valley Cathedral, 6225 N Central, 1000hrs.
Interment - Monday 3-19-01 at Greenwood Memorial Cemetery, 719 N 27th
Ave. following the memorial service.
Memorial Fund - "Family of Bret Tarver" care of the Phoenix Fire
Department, 150 S. 12th St., Phoenix, AZ 85034.

===============================
Name: Gerald W. Fields
Rank: Firefighter
Age: 63
Status: Career
Years of Service: 32
Date of Incident: 03/10/2001
Date of Death: 03/10/2001
Fire Department: Dallas Fire Department
Fire Department Address: 1500 Marilla St., Suite 7AS Dallas, TX 75201
Fire Department Phone: (214) 670-5466
Fire Department Chief: Steve E. Abraira
Cause of Death: Firefighter Fields died of an apparent heart attack while
on-duty at the fire station.

   => Alaska Spring Breakup Outlook
The National Weather Service has posted Spring Breakup Outlook for Alaska.
The flood potential
from snowmelt and ice jams this spring breakup season follows: Areas of
slightly above average
flood potential include Tanana and Yukon River Basins. Areas having average
flood potential
include South Central Alaska and the North Slope. Areas of below average
flood potential include
Kuskokwim Basin, Bristol Bay, Seward Peninsula, Southeast Alaska, and
Northwest Alaska. The
greatest factor in determining the severity of breakup remains the weather
during April and May.
Early warm weather generally extends the period over which the snowmelt
volume reaches the
rivers, thus reducing the peak discharge. However, cold weather in April
and early May followed
by rapid warming will cause the majority of snowmelt volume to reach the
streams over a short time
period, increasing the peak in streamflow. According to the long-range
seasonal outlook for March,
April and May, there are indications for the above normal temperatures to
remain over the western
half of Alaska with normal readings elsewhere. For more detail and to see a
flood potential map,
refer to the NWS web site at www.alaska.net/~akrfc. The next Spring
Breakup Outlook is
scheduled at 2:00 p.m., Friday, March 23.

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   => Links Area

FIRES IN VENEZUELA AND COLOMBIA
Venezuela
Heat signatures (red) and smoke (light blue) are visible from fires burning
in Venezuela and
Colombia.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Fires/Venezuela/FSMHSven075_N4.jpg

LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE OHIO VALLEY
Ohio Valley
This GOES-8 image shows a low pressure system centered over the Ohio Valley
that spread
snow across Missouri, Iowa, northern Illinois, southern Michigan, northern
Indiana and northern
Ohio on Friday. Thus far, Decatur County, Iowa, on the Missouri line has
picked up the most
snow with 14 inches.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Storms/US_Midwest/STMusMW075_G8.jpg

FIRES IN SUDAN AND ETHIOPIA
Sudan and Ethiopia
Heat signatures (red) and smoke (light blue haze) are visible from fires
burning in Sudan
and Ethiopia.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Fires/Africa_E/FSMHSsudan075_N4.jpg

FIRES IN CUBA
Cuba
Heat signatures (red) and smoke (light blue haze) are visible from fires
burning in Cuba.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Fires/Cuba/FSMHScuba075_N4.jpg

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