[STORMREPORTS] USASitRep: For February 19, 2001

From: owner-sitrep{at}disastercenter.com
Date: Mon Feb 19 2001 - 11:43:53 EST


The USA Disaster Situation Report

The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report

For February 19, 2001
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
------------------------------------------------------------
IN THIS ISSUE
------------------------------------------------------------
=> USA Daily Temperature Extremes
=> Special Notes
=> Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:
=> Severe Weather Probability Forecast
=> Precipitation Forecast, Excessive Rainfall, Heavy Snow And/Or Significant
Icing Forecast
=> USA Flood Report
=> USA Fire Report and Forecast
=> USA Earthquake Report
=> Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports
=> Guest Column-
=> Sponsored by The Rothstein Catalog On Disaster Recovery
**** ARTICLES ****
=> Article The Second Tampere Conference on Disaster Communications,
Tampere,
Finland
=> Classified Ads
=> Links Area
=> How to Be Featured as our Guest Columnist
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=> Subscribe/Unsubscribe information

   The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report

For February 19, 2001
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
------------------------------------------------------------
IN THIS ISSUE
------------------------------------------------------------
   => USA Daily Temperature Extremes

National Temperature Extremes
High Sun...82 At Ft Myers FL
Low Mon...10 Below Zero At Whitefield NH

   => Special Notes

Stratwarm Alert Exists Stratwarm Monday
Comment: Major warming continues. A large warm area covers the Polar
region, Siberia, Europe
and the Atlantic region, leading to a reversed temperature gradient between
60N and the
Pole in the whole of the Stratosphere, except in the upper-most level, a
Polar anticyclone and a split,
southward displaced vortex lead to easterly winds at latitude 60N throughout
the Stratosphere.

   => Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:

Active Warnings:
Updated Mon Feb 19 11:30:49 2001

Flood

Indiana
Ohio
RIVER FLOOD WARNING FOR THE SAINT JOSEPH RIVER OHIO ABOVE
NEWVILLE...MINOR FLOODING WAS OCCURRING

Non Precipitation

California
WIND ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE CENTRAL COAST
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-..WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT TODAY

Winter Storm

California
PACIFIC COLD FRONT TO BRING SNOW TO THE MOUNTAINS TODAY...
...A SNOWY AND WINDY DAY ON TAP FOR THE MOUNTAINS...
.A SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC WILL SPREAD
MORE SNOW AND STRONG WINDS INTO NORTHERN CALIFORNIA TODAY.
SNOW... HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL PERSIST INTO TONIGHT OVER MOST
MOUNTAIN LOCALES...THEN TAPER TO SHOWERS ON TUESDAY. LOCALLY
STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO ANTICIPATED WITH THIS SYSTEM...WITH GUSTS
EXCEEDING 50 MPH OVER RIDGES AND THROUGH PASSES. SNOW LEVELS WILL
RANGE FROM 3000 TO 4500 FEET WITH THIS SYSTEM.
 SOUTH CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY- INCLUDING THE I-5 PASS AND OTHER
MOUNTAIN PASSES..WINTER STORM WARNING ABOVE 4000 FEET TODAY AND
TONIGHT...STORM TOTALS OF 10 TO 16 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY TUESDAY
MORNING ABOVE 4000 FEET.

Michigan
MACKINAC MI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MACKINAC ISLAND AND ST. IGNACE..WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR A TOTAL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW... SNOWFALL

Nevada
A STRONG PACIFIC STORM WILL BRING HEAVY SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS TO
THE EASTERN SIERRA AND NORTHEAST CALIFORNIA TODAY...CONTINUING
FROM THE LAKE TAHOE AREA NORTH TONIGHT...

Oregon

   => Severe Weather Probability Forecast

The forecast probability of an event is by the stated percentage or greater
for the event, within 25 miles of any point for the area described.

   Tornado Risk - Slight
There is a 2% probability of a tornado from central north through central
California.

   Hail Risk - Slight
There is a 5% probability of hail 3/4 inch or larger from central north
through central California.

   Wind Risk - Slight
There is less than a 5% probability of winds in excess of 50 knots.

   Tomorrow's Risk -
There is less than a 5% probability of any severe weather tomorrow.

   => Precipitation Forecast, Excessive Rainfall, Heavy Snow And/Or
Significant
Icing Forecast

Precipitation Forecast
The 24 hour precipitation forecast is calling for over 1 inch of
precipitation over central north
portions of coastal California from San Francisco north and central west
California.

The 24 - 48 hour precipitation forecast is calling for less than 1 inch of
precipitation.

Excessive Rainfall Forecast
Rainfall is not expected to exceed flash flood values.

USA heavy snow and/or significant icing
>From noon to midnight today EST the probability of 12 inches or greater of
snow is low over west
central California.
The moderate probability area is over a portion of central west California
south of Tahoe.
The high probability area is over a portion of central west California south
of Tahoe.
The probability of 1/4 inch or greater of ice accumulation is less than 20%

>From midnight to noon tomorrow EST the probability of 12 inches or greater
of snow is low over
portion of central north California.
The moderate probability area is over a portion of central north California.
The probability of 1/4 inch or greater of ice accumulation is less than 20%
Current USA Snow and Ice Cover
http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/surface/us_NESDISsnow.gif

   => USA Flood Report

   => USA Fire Report and Forecast

INCIDENT MANAGEMENT SITUATION REPORT
FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 16, 2001 - 1000 MST
NATIONAL PREPARDNESS LEVEL 1

CURRENT SITUATION:

The Southern Area reported eight new large fires this past week, with
eight large fires reaching containment. Eastern and Southwest Areas also
reported one large fire each. Initial attack activity was reported on a
daily basis in the Southern Area with a slow decline later in the week in
response to the cold front moving across the Area. High pressure is
expected to move in behind this front later in the weekend bringing warmer
temperatures and drier air.

SOUTHERN AREA LARGE FIRES:

STATION, Florida Division of Forestry. No additional information was
reported.

BIG BEND, Florida Division of Forestry. This fire is in monitor status.

COBB MARSH, Florida Division of Forestry. This fire is in monitor status.

TORY ISLAND, Florida Division of Forestry. This fire is near Homestead, FL
and is in monitor status.

CANAL COMMAND, Florida Division of Forestry. This fire is near Highlands,
FL and engines are currently working the fire.

SOUTHWEST AREA LARGE FIRES:

MACBRIDE #1, Lake Meredith National Recreation Area. This fire is six
miles south of the Alibates Flint Quarries National Monument and is
burning primarily in brush and mesquite.

OUTLOOK:

The current storm system in the region will make its way to Georgia by
this afternoon, with showers tapering off to the west. Most of the
Carolinas and Florida will be under mostly cloudy skies, with the
possibility of precipitation late tonight, early tomorrow. Daytime high
temperatures will reach into the 60's and 70's by the afternoon, and winds
will be gusty throughout the day coming out of the southwest.

A stationary frontal system will begin to move in southward and eastward,
bringing precipitation all the way down the coast to Central California by
late this afternoon. Snow showers can be expected across Montana, Wyoming
and over the Nebraska Panhandle. A high pressure over the Great Basin will
remain for most of the day, and will begin to weaken by late afternoon.
The Southwest will see mostly clear to partly cloudy skies throughout the
day. Daytime high temperatures will be in the 40's in the Pacific
Northwest, with 20's to 30's farther inland, while the Desert Southwest
will see high temperatures in the 50's to 60's.

Cold arctic air will make its way southward through the Midwest and arrive
over much of Kansas by this afternoon. The skies across the Northern
Midwest will be partly to mostly cloudy as the cold air moves its way
south. Rain, freezing rain, sleet and snow will fall over the Eastern
Midwestern states. The Ohio Valley will see precipitation throughout the
entire day. High temperatures will reach into the teen's and 20's. Winds
will be strong out of the North. Texas will finally get a break from the
rain as the storm system in the Southern Midwest moves farther north and
eastward. High temperatures will be in the 30's and 40's before the front
passes through. Most of Texas will reach high temperatures in the 50's and
60's, with 70's farther south.

As the system in the Northern Midwest moves eastward, the storm to the
south will meet with it in the Northeast. Many areas will receive rain,
freezing rain and snow by early afternoon. By evening the precipitation
will change to snow. Temperatures will drop dramatically by noon today.
The winds will be extremely variable throughout the day, first from the
south then from the southeast, finally shifting to an east-to-southeast
pattern. Daytime high temperatures will be in the 30's to 40's just
before the cold front moves in, with a dramatic cool-down.

   => USA Earthquake Report

UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY
NATIONAL EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION CENTER
GOLDEN, COLORADO
LISTS OF U.S. EARTHQUAKES IN THE LAST 30 HOURS
Prepared by USGS/NEIC 2001 FEB 19 at 00:15 UTC

EARTHQUAKES IN SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES
(29.0 TO 35.8 N, 102.0 TO 125.0 W)
Date Time (UTC) Lat Long Depth Magnitude
2001 FEB 18 06:09:31.00 33.7 N 116.8 W 3 km 3.3
10 miles ESE of Hemet, California

EARTHQUAKES IN WEST CENTRAL UNITED STATES
(35.8 TO 40.3 N, 102.0 TO 125.0 W)
Date Time (UTC) Lat Long Depth Magnitude
2001 FEB 17 22:54:18.97 38.3 N 118.3 W 10 km 3.8
25 miles SE of Hawthorne, Nevada

EARTHQUAKES IN STATE OF ALASKA
Date Time (UTC) Lat Long Depth Magnitude
2001 FEB 17 21:19:05.32 54.0 N 133.7 W 10 km 4.5
105 miles SSW of Craig, Alaska
2001 FEB 17 20:11:28.14 54.2 N 133.7 W 10 km 6.0
90 miles SSW of Craig, Alaska

01/02/18 13:04:53.41
 PRINCE EDWARD ISLANDS REGION
 Epicenter: -47.436 32.480
 MW 6.1

   => Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports

Note: All data is considered preliminary
Tornado Reports
No reports received
Hail Reports
No reports received
Wind Reports
No reports received
Fields marked UNK are unknown
All Times UTC
Wind Gusts in MPH
Hail Sizes in 1/100 of an Inch (75 = 0.75")

   => Guest Column

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   => The Second Tampere Conference on Disaster Communications, Tampere,
Finland
Over the past 10 years, Tampere has become a synonym for the facilitation of
the application of Telecommunications in Humanitarian Assistance:

In 1991, the city hosted the International Conference on Disaster
Communications, which adopted the Tampere Declaration. This statement of
experts from the major humanitarian organizations, regulatory authorities
and the private sector became the foundation for all the subsequent work
towards an international treaty to allow the un-hindered use of
telecommunication technology in international disaster response.

In 1994, Tampere hosted the Annual Meeting of the International Institute of
Communications (IIC), which included a Special Session on Disaster
Communications.

In 1998, Tampere welcomed the Intergovernmental Conference on Emergency
Telecommunications (ICET-98), which adopted the Tampere Convention on the
Provision of Telecommunications for Disaster Mitigation and Relief
Operations, an international treaty, deposited with the United Nations
Secretary-General. The Convention has so far been signed and ratified by 48
and 8 Member States respectively.

In 2001, Tampere will host the CDC-2001. In view of its character as a
conference of experts, with the same characteristics as the conference of 10
years ago, this conference is called The Second Tampere Conference on
Disaster Communications. Like the 1991 event, CDC-2001 is expected to agree
on a statement of experts; the Conference will provide an excellent
opportunity for governments to sign and ratify the Tampere Convention, but
its own resulting document will have the character of recommendations and
not that of an international treaty.

CDC-2001 is therefore open to participants from all sectors concerned with
the application of telecommunications to disaster mitigation and response
operations:

Humanitarian organizations, such as United Nations agencies, the Red Cross
movement, and national, regional and international governmental and no
governmental organizations (NGOs),
National and international regulatory authorities,
Private sector enterprises, such as national and multi-national
Telecommunications service providers and manufacturers of telecommunications
equipment,
Individual experts from all the above fields and from the academic sector.
All items on the agenda of the conference have aspects, which need the
co-operation among all the above groups. The urgently needed
inter-connectivity among the communications networks of all partners can not
be achieved, unless users and providers of telecommunications networks and
tools work together, if the regulatory framework allows the un-hindered use
of all appropriate means. Much has been achieved, since these issues were
first considered in the 1991 conference, but much remains to be done. Once
again it will be at Tampere Hall, that a decisive event takes place on the
way will be to the full application of the rapidly developing
telecommunications technology in the service of the most noble of tasks: The
prevention, and, where such is not possible, the alleviation of human
suffering caused by disasters.

Message from the Chairman of the Organizing Committee:

Welcome to Tampere - again!

The City of Tampere is today well known all around the world among people
and organizations playing key role on the field of Disaster Communications.
Ten years ago the first Conference of Disaster Communications created
'Tampere Declaration', three years later it was discussed in the 25th Annual
Conference of International Institute of Communications (IIC) in Tampere,
and four years later 1998 'Tampere Convention' was born in the
Intergovernmental Conference on Emergency Telecommunications (ICET-98) - of
course in Tampere. The period from the declaration to the convention was
seven years long.

Tampere Convention is not a end point. It is the beginning of a new era and
process. We have in our hands an international convention but we have to
make it to become true. The first step is a ratification - at the moment
this process is in the very early beginning. The second step is to test this
convention in a reality. Third step is to keep the global infrastructure of
the disaster communications on the highest possible level from both
technological and organizational point of view.

The Second Conference of Disaster Communications on May 28-30 in Tampere
will have its roots in the previous work. The President of Finland, Ms.
Tarja Halonen, has kindly agreed to be the patron of this conference. Ten
years ago the first Conference on Disaster Communications was announced to
be 'A Result-Oriented Conference'. Again - this year - we want to organize
'A Result-Oriented Conference'.

Hoping to see you at the conference,

Seppo Sisättö, PhD
Chairman of the Organizing Committee
http://www.reliefweb.int/telecoms/conference/cdc2001/index.html

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   => Links Area

Report Shows Global Warming Risks
http://news.excite.com/news/ap/010219/09/news-un-global-warming

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