Published 02/19/01 11:00 AM The tentative past 24 hour temperature extremes
are 30 deg. at Crestview in the NW panhandle and 82 deg. at Ft. Myers along
the SW gulf coast.
The second large brush fire of 1000's of acres in recent weeks is burning to
my NE in Polk County. My location is choked by thick smoke and the acrid
odor of the fire this morning, on NE winds.
Here in the sunshine state, it looks like our next best chance of rain
(30-40%)will be Thursday/Friday 02/22-23/01, with more moisture returning on
SE-S flow, compared to the last non event. We still appear safe from the
next and coldest arctic air outbreak of the season, at this time. This
arctic airmass appears to be the coldest since December 1989.
However teleconnection patterns continue to signal an increasingly negative
NAO and more "consistent" cross polar flow of arctic air into the lower 48
states, beginning the last week of February and into the first week of
March. I suppose some may not heed my warning, after being wrong about
winters resurgence for this month but using teleconnection patterns for long
range outlooks has only failed me three times in 28 years!
Here in Florida a hard freeze threat lessens climatologically by the
beginning of March but "a threat is possible" during this period, as March
should come roaring in like a lion. Hard freezes have certainly occured in
the past during this time of the season and agricultural and utility
interests should pay close attention to the weather.
Our outlook for February issued on 10/01/01 called for slightly below normal
temperature and near normal precipitation. This will not verify, though our
outlooks for October 2000 through January 2001 did.
We are also still confident that a more active subtropical jetstream wil
bring drought denting rains to the state in March. Our outlook for March
issued on 10/01/01, calls for near normal temperature and precipitation.
Take Care,
Thomas Giella
P.O. Box 1987 Plant City, Fl. 33564
Business Phone: 813-764-9555
Business Fax: 813-764-8468
Business Email: websites{at}tampabay.rr.com
Business Email: signsandwebsites{at}hotmail.com
Personal Email: thomasgiella{at}hotmail.com
Giella Woodsign And Website Designs:
http://www.giellawoodsignandwebsitedesigns.com
Plant City, Fl. Area Business Links:
http://www.giellawoodsignandwebsitedesigns.com/index-17.htm
Florida Meteorological And Climatic Institute:
http://giellaweather.tripod.com
KN4LF Radio Resources:
http://kn4lf.tripod.com
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Thu Mar 01 2001 - 08:59:39 EST