[STORMREPORTS] USASitRep: For January 23, 2001

From: owner-sitrep{at}disastercenter.com
Date: Tue Jan 23 2001 - 12:23:40 EST


The USA Disaster Situation Report

The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report

For January 23, 2001
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
------------------------------------------------------------
IN THIS ISSUE
------------------------------------------------------------
=> USA Daily Temperature Extremes
=> Special Notes
=> Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:
=> Severe Weather Probability Forecast
=> Precipitation Forecast, Excessive Rainfall, Heavy Snow And/Or Significant
Icing Forecast
=> USA Flood Report
=> USA Fire Report and Forecast
=> USA Earthquake Report
=> Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports
=> Guest Column-
=> Sponsored by The Rothstein Catalog On Disaster Recovery
**** ARTICLES ****
=> Article New USGS Map Will Improve Earthquake Hazards Assessment In The
Bay
Area
=> Article Professional Groups Urge Incoming Administration To Take New
Approach to
Natural Hazards
=> Article Federal Wildland Fire Management Policy Report Published
=> Article OCHA Situation Report No. 1 Oil Spill - Galapagos Islands,
Ecuador
=> Article CHW Situation Report: El Salvador Earthquake
=> Classified Ads
=> Links Area
=> How to Be Featured as our Guest Columnist
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Sponsored by the The Rothstein Catalog On Disaster Recovery
http://www.disastercenter.com/Rothstein/
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=> Subscribe/Unsubscribe information

   The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report

For January 23, 2001
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
------------------------------------------------------------
IN THIS ISSUE
------------------------------------------------------------
   => USA Daily Temperature Extremes

National Temperature Extreme
High Mon...74 At Indio CA And Casa Grande And Gila Bend AZ
Low Tue...15 Below Zero At Belin NH

   => Special Notes

   => Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:

Active Warnings:
Updated Tue Jan 23 12:10:06 2001

Non Precipitation

California
LOCALLY STRONG WINDS FOR THE SHASTA VALLEY...

Winter Storm

California
SNOW TO BEGIN THIS AFTERNOON IN THE MT SHASTA AREA...
SNOW ADVISORY FOR THE MT SHASTA AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN NEAR THE 6000 FOOT LEVEL THIS AFTERNOON
AND LOWER TO THE 3000 FOOT LEVEL BY EVENING. THREE TO SIX INCHES OF
SNOW IS EXPECTED
COLD MID-WEEK WINTER STORM MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN CALIFORNIA...

Michigan
HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW MAY RETURN TO WESTERN UPPER MICHIGAN AND
PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL UPPER MICHIGAN...

New Mexico
SNOW ADVISORY FOR THE MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY INCLUDING THE
   ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA...
SNOW ADVISORY CANCELLED FOR THE SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS INTO
   THE NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS...

   => Severe Weather Probability Forecast

The forecast probability of an event is by the stated percentage or greater
for the event, within 25 miles of any point for the area described.

   Tornado Risk - Slight
There is less than a 2% probability of a tornado.

   Hail Risk - Slight
There is less than a 5% probability of hail 3/4 inch or larger.

   Wind Risk - Slight
There is less than a 5% probability of winds in excess of 50 knots.

   Tomorrow's Risk -
There is a 5% probability of any severe weather tomorrow over southwest
California.

   => Precipitation Forecast, Excessive Rainfall, Heavy Snow And/Or
Significant
Icing Forecast

Precipitation Forecast
The 24 hour precipitation forecast is calling for less than 1 inch of
precipitation.

The 24 - 48 hour precipitation forecast is calling for less than 1 inch of
precipitation.

Excessive Rainfall Forecast
Rainfall is not expected to exceed flash flood values.

USA heavy snow and/or significant icing
>From noon to midnight today EST the probability of 12 inches or greater of
snow is low over north
central California
The probability of 1/4 inch or greater of ice accumulation is less than 20%

>From midnight to noon tomorrow EST the probability of 12 inches or greater
of snow is low over
central west California
The probability of 1/4 inch or greater of ice accumulation is less than 20%
Current USA Snow and Ice Cover
http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/surface/us_NESDISsnow.gif

   => USA Flood Report

NATIONAL HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS
08:35 AM EST TUE JAN 23 2001

                        FLOOD SUMMARY

                  CONTINUED SOUTHERN FLOODING

MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES ALONG SEVERAL RIVERS IN TEXAS, LOUISIANA
AND MISSISSIPPI. MAJOR FLOODING IS CONTINUING ALONG THE BIG
BLACK RIVER IN MISSISSIPPI, WITH THOUSANDS OF ACRES OF
AGRICULTURAL LAND UNDERWATER.

FLASH FLOODING:
THERE WERE NO FLOOD/FLASH FLOOD AND/OR URBAN AND SMALL STREAM
FLOOD ADVISORIES ISSUED DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS

RIVER FLOODING:
RIVERS AND STREAMS WITH LOCATIONS EITHER ABOVE FLOOD STAGE OR
EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE INCLUDE:

     ALABAMA: THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER

     ARKANSAS: THE OUACHITA AND CACHE RIVERS

     LOUISIANA: THE PEARL, LOWER PEARL, CALCASIEU AND BOEUF
     RIVERS; RED CHUTE BAYOU, BAYOU DORCHEAT, LAKE D'ARBONNE

     MISSISSIPPI: THE BUTTAHATCHIE, MIDDLE PEARL, UPPER PEARL,
     BIG BLACK AND YOCKANOOKANY RIVERS

     TEXAS: THE TRINITY, GUADALUPE, SABINE, ANGELINA, NECHES,
     SULPHUR AND LOWER BRAZOS RIVERS; ATTOYAC, BLACK CYPRESS AND
     PINE ISLAND BAYOUS; CADDO LAKE, WHITE OAK CREEK

   => USA Fire Report and Forecast

The USA Fire Report and Forecast has not been updated.

   => USA Earthquake Report

UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY
NATIONAL EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION CENTER
GOLDEN, COLORADO
LISTS OF U.S. EARTHQUAKES IN THE LAST 30 HOURS
Prepared by USGS/NEIC 2001 JAN 23 at 00:15 UTC

EARTHQUAKES IN NORTHWESTERN UNITED STATES
(40.3 TO 50.0 N, 102.0 TO 125.0 W)
Date Time (UTC) Lat Long Depth Magnitude
2001 JAN 22 17:39:51.00 41.1 N 124.5 W 24 km 2.8
30 miles NW of Eureka, California

   => Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports

Note: All data is considered preliminary
Tornado Reports
No reports received
Hail Reports
No reports received
Wind Reports
No reports received
Fields marked UNK are unknown
All Times UTC
Wind Gusts in MPH
Hail Sizes in 1/100 of an Inch (75 = 0.75")

   => Guest Column

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**** ARTICLES ****
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   => New USGS Map Will Improve Earthquake Hazards Assessment In The Bay
Area

A new geologic map of surficial deposits in the nine-county San Francisco
Bay region that can be
used to evaluate earthquake hazards has been released in digital form by the
U.S. Geological Survey
in Menlo Park. The map shows 44 different types and ages of near-surface
deposits that range from
modern landfill to old stream sediments formed between 30,000 and 1.6
million years ago, and
includes estimates of the tendency of these deposits to liquefy during
earthquake shaking. Both the
map and associated texts are digital and are available for downloading over
the Web at no cost at
http://geopubs.wr.usgs.gov/open-file/of00-444/. The map is available as a
digital image at a scale of
one inch = 4.3 miles, and separately as a spatial database. The database is
quite detailed, with a
scale of one inch = 2,000 ft for much of the region, which is equivalent to
USGS 7.5-minute
quadrangles.

There is no doubt that the Bay region will experience large damaging
earthquakes in the future, and
preparation of this map is part of a long-term cooperative effort between
the USGS, the California
Division of Mines and Geology (CDMG), and others to better estimate the
hazard as a basis for
reducing damage from those earthquakes. Most of the new mapping has been
done by geologists
with William Lettis and Associates, Inc., under contract to the USGS. The
map, or more specifically,
the spatial database, is already in use by CDMG in its program to map
liquefaction hazards in the
region, by the Association of Bay Area Governments in its work to better
illustrate the hazard, and
by Bay Area Rapid Transit (BART) in its current examination of earthquake
hazard to that system.
As pointed out by Jim Davis, State Geologist of California, "This new
digital map of Quaternary
deposits gives us a greatly refined and more confident basis for carrying
out liquefaction hazard
zoning in the Bay region, as required by the State Seismic Hazard Mapping
Act."

The new map improves greatly over previously available information both in
its detail, which is a
five-fold improvement over much of the region; in its improved
categorization of deposits and
methods of delineating them; and in its estimation of the tendency of the
deposits throughout the
region to liquefy during earthquake shaking. "Most of the land adjacent to
the Bay and the major
rivers and streams in the region is underlain by unconsolidated deposits,
and these deposits are
particularly vulnerable to earthquake shaking and liquefaction of
water-saturated sand and silt,"
according to USGS geologist Carl Wentworth. "Because this is where much of
the urban
development in the region is located, the new map will be important in the
ongoing effort to reduce
earthquake risk in the region."

Although the new map was specifically designed to support evaluation of
liquefaction susceptibility, it
will also serve a critical role in estimating local amplification of
earthquake shaking and will be useful
for such other purposes as neotectonic analyses; engineering geologic and
geotechnical evaluations;
evaluating sand and gravel resources; modeling landscape evolution; and
regional hydrologic and
hydrogeologic characterizations.

As the nation's largest water, earth and biological science and civilian
mapping agency, the USGS
works in cooperation with more than 2,000 organizations across the country
to provide reliable,
impartial, scientific information to resource managers, planners, and other
customers. This
information is gathered in every state by USGS scientists to minimize the
loss of life and property
from natural disasters, contribute to the sound conservation, economic and
physical development of
the nation's natural resources, and enhance the quality of life by
monitoring water, biological, energy
and mineral resources.

   => Professional Groups Urge Incoming Administration To Take New Approach
to
Natural Hazards

WASHINGTON--A group of organizations concerned about staggering human
and economic losses caused by natural hazards is asking the incoming
administration to take a new national approach to disasters such as
hurricanes, floods, earthquakes, and wildfires.

Led by the American Meteorological Society (AMS) and the
University Corporation for Atmospheric Research (UCAR), more than 30
cosigning organizations want the Bush administration to make natural
disaster reduction a national priority and take specific steps to
build the country's resilience to natural hazards.

Natural disasters are taking a tremendous toll on the country.
For example, 1992's Hurricane Andrew resulted in 61 deaths, hundreds
of thousands homeless, and more than $23 billion in damages; the 1993
Midwest floods displaced more than 50,000 and created losses of
nearly $21 billion; 1994's Northridge earthquake resulted in 65
deaths, 12,000 hospitalized, and $45 billion in damages; and
Hurricane Floyd in 1999 triggered the evacuation of 4 million people
and drove more than 10,000 into shelters. These four events alone
caused damages of over $100 billion.

"Property destruction and business disruption due to disasters
now rival warfare in terms of losses," the group reported in a
document now being distributed to the Bush transition teams and
members of Congress.

The group predicts that the incoming administration will face
disasters carrying price tags ranging from $10 to $100 billion, such
as regional water shortages costing at least as much as the gasoline-
price increases of 2000, multiple power shortages due to weather
extremes, and military operations compromised by severe weather and
other hazards.

What can be done to build our resilience? The group has nine
specific recommendations. First and foremost, the administration
should conduct a national assessment of community vulnerability. This
assessment can then be used to prioritize mitigation efforts and
identify potential vulnerabilities. The other recommendations are to
_ develop incentives for communities and states to implement
mitigation measures;
_ improve the timeliness and reliability of hazard detection and
warnings;
_ build consideration of hazards into every relevant federal
government decision;
_ create partnerships among government, private enterprise, and
the academic community to reduce vulnerabilities;
_ make loss estimates for all disasters systematic and uniform;
_ use the model of aviation accidents for natural disasters,
where each incident prompts analysis, recommendations for
change, and follow-through;
_ work cooperatively with other nations to reduce vulnerability
to hazards; and
_ take hazard experience into account when making critical
appointments at agencies involved in natural hazard mitigation.

Co-signing organizations are the Alliance of American Insurers,
American Association for Wind Engineering, American Geological
Institute, American Geophysical Union, American Meteorological
Society, American Red Cross, Applied Technology Council, Association
of American Geographers, Association of American State Geologists,
Association of Contingency Planners, Association of State Floodplain
Managers, Blue Sky Foundation, Circum Pacific Council for Energy and
Mineral Resources, Consortium of Organizations for Strong Motion
Observation Systems, Dewberry & Davis LLC, Disaster Recovery Business
Alliance, and Earthquake Engineering Research Institute. Also,
Emergency Information Infrastructure Project, Institute for Business
and Home Safety, International Association of Emergency Managers,
International Code Council Inc., IRIS Consortium, MLC & Associates,
Multihazard Mitigation Council of the National Institute of Building
Sciences, National Emergency Management Association, National Fire
Protection Association, Reinsurance Association of America,
Seismological Society of America, State Farm Insurance Companies,
Telcordia Technologies, University Corporation for Atmospheric
Research, The Weather Channel, Western Disaster Center, Western
States Seismic Policy Council, and W.F. Baird & Associates. The
cosigners are members of a recently formed Natural Hazards Caucus
Work Group (http://www.agiweb.org/workgroup/), designed to support
the Congressional Natural Hazards Caucus
(http://www.senate.gov/~edwards/cnhc/).

The full document is available on the AMS and UCAR web sites:
http://www.ametsoc.org/ams and
http://www.ucar.edu/communications/awareness/2001.

   => Federal Wildland Fire Management Policy Report Published
Washington, January 23, 2001 -- The Interagency Federal Wildland Fire Policy
Review Working
Group (Working Group), at the direction of the Secretaries of the Interior
and Agriculture, has
completed a review of the 1995 Federal Wildland Fire Management Policy &
Program Review
(1995 Report) and its implementation. This Review and Update, with its
findings and
recommendations, provides a broad philosophical and policy foundation for
federal agency fire
management programs and activities.

The Working Group reached the following principal conclusions:

The 1995 Federal Fire Policy is still generally sound and appropriate.

As a result of fire exclusion, the condition of fire-adapted ecosystems
continues to deteriorate; the
fire hazard situation in these areas is worse than previously understood.

The fire hazard situation in the Wildland Urban Interface is more complex
and extensive than
understood in 1995.

Changes and additions to the 1995 Federal Fire Policy are needed to address
important issues of
ecosystem sustainability, science, education, communication, and to provide
for adequate program
evaluation.

Implementation of the 1995 Federal Fire Policy has been incomplete,
particularly in the quality of
planning and in interagency and interdisciplinary matters.

Emphasis on program management, implementation, oversight, leadership, and
evaluation at senior
levels of all federal agencies is critical for successful implementation of
the 2001 Federal Wildland
Fire Management.

The complete report is available in PDF format on the National Interagency
Fire Center's web site
http://www.nifc.gov/fire_policy/.

   => OCHA Situation Report No. 1 Oil Spill - Galapagos Islands, Ecuador
23 January 2001

1. On Wednesday, 17 January the 'Jessica', an Ecuadorian-registered ship,
ran aground on San Cristobal Island, part of the Galapagos Islands
archipelago, 1000 km off the coast of Ecuador (maps attached [not here
attached]).

2. Oil began leaking from the grounded ship on Friday, 19 January, when a
pipe in the ship's machine room burst. The situation worsened
significantly over the weekend as bad weather and rough seas pounded the
hull of the Jessica increasing the rate of escape of the remaining fuel on
board.

3. Although reports vary, indications are that some 650,000 litres
(144,000 gallons) of both fuel oil and bunker C (a heavier oil) of the
total 900,000 litres on board have leaked out.

4. On Sunday, 21 January, the Government of Ecuador made an international
appeal for assistance in responding and mitigating the environmental
impacts from the spill.

5. An 11-person strike team from the US Coast Guard, including 1 oil
spill expert, arrived on Sunday with specialized equipment including boom,
floating nets, skimming equipment and high capacity pumps. Some 75,000
litres of the spilled oil have been recovered but the rough sea conditions
have hampered the success of the oil recovery efforts.

6. New reports indicate that the oil has now reached shore in many areas
and is expected to impact a wide variety of aquatic and shoreline birds
and animals for which the ecologically rich Galapagos Islands are
internationally known. Species that might be potentially impacted (and
some of which have already been affected in a limited way) include the
giant Galapagos turtles, sea lions, sea iguanas and a wide array of sea
and shoreline birds and plants.

7. The International Maritime Organization (IMO) as the lead UN-agency
for ship-source oil spills is coordinating international response efforts.
The International Tank Owners Pollution Federation (ITOPF) has also
dispatched several experts to assess the damage and determine immediate
response priorities.

8. The Joint UNEP/OCHA Environment Unit has been in contact with the IMO
and has offered its assistance in mobilizing internationally aid and
expertise. In the interim, the Unit continues to closely monitor the
situation through its established international network and will provide
updates as new information becomes available.

   => CHW Situation Report: El Salvador Earthquake Church World Service:
Emergency
Response Program January 23, 2001

SITUATION: The death toll has climbed to more than 700 as a result of
last Saturday's massive 7.6 magnitude earthquake centered in Santa Tecla,
El Salvador, just outside the capital city San Salvador. Emergency relief
personnel concerns have moved from finding survivors to health and
sanitation issues for more than 500,000 Salvadorans affected by the
earthquake. CNN reported 24 cited cases of dengue fever - a fatal
mosquito-born disease and cholera outbreaks as a threat in overcrowded
temporary shelters across the region.

Damage to El Salvador's infrastructure is overwhelming. The American Red
Cross reports close to 200,000 homes damaged -- 70,000 completely
destroyed by the earthquake. Rural areas still suffer from loss of power,
blocked roadways, and lack of drinking water. The coffee industry, the
country's second largest source of income, has been hard hit. CNN reports
coffee production paralyzed by displacement and loss of field workers, and
by damage to access roads and crops.

RESPONSE: CWS Response Personnel Chris Herlinger and David Barnhart of
Presbyterian Disaster Assistance visited the area over the past 6 days on
behalf of CWS/ACT (Action By Churches Together), providing communications
and assessment support to the faith-based response.

As part of the ecumenical effort, Church World Service is immediately
supplying 4,000 blankets based on a request from Lutheran World Federation
(LWF) in San Salvador. Other partners in the ecumenical response include:
Salvadoran Lutheran Synod; Emanuel Baptist Church; CREDHO (Episcopal
Church Aid); Alfalit (Reformed Church); UNES (Salvadoran Ecological
Organization); and FESPAD (Foundation for Studies on the Application of
Rights).

CWS is planning a long-term needs assessment and will support a
forthcoming Emergency appeal from Action By Churches Together (ACT).

To support Church World Service Response efforts in El Salvador please
send support to Account # 6727 El Salvador Earthquake.

CHURCH WORLD SERVICE, Attn. El Salvador Earthquake, #6727, P.O. Box 968,
Elkhart, IN 46515. Phone pledges or credit card donations:
1-800-297-1516, ext. 222. On-line contributions to:
http://www.churchworldservice.org

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   => Links Area

SNOW COVER OVER MIDWEST AND NORTHEAST STATES
Midwest/Northeast US
In this GOES-8 image, snow cover (indicated by the yellow arrows) is visible
over the Midwest and
Northeast states.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Snow/US_Northeast/SNWusNE022_G8.jpg

FIRES IN ARGENTINA
Argentina
Heat signatures (red) are visible from fires burning in Argentina.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Fires/Argentina/FHSarg022_N4.jpg

FIRES IN VENEZUELA
Venezuela
Heat signatures (red) and smoke (light blue) are visible from fires burning
in Venezuela.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Fires/Venezuela/FSMHSven022_N4.jpg

TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (CHARLY)
South Indian Ocean
Tropical Cyclone 06S (Charly) was located in the South Indian Ocean near
18.3S and 73.9E at
06:00 UTC. Charly has
been moving westward at 11 knots with maximum sustained winds estimated at
90 knots, gusts to
110 knosts.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Tropical/IndOcean/TRCcharly022_MT.jpg

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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Sun Feb 04 2001 - 18:34:33 EST