The USA Disaster Situation Report
The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report
For December 13, 2000
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
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IN THIS ISSUE
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=> USA Daily Temperature Extremes
=> Special Notes
=> Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:
=> Severe Weather Probability Forecast
=> Precipitation Forecast, Excessive Rainfall, Heavy Snow And/Or Significant
Icing Forecast
=> USA Flood Report
=> USA Fire Report and Forecast
=> USA Earthquake Report
=> Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports
=> Guest Column-
=> Sponsored by The Rothstein Catalog On Disaster Recovery
**** ARTICLES ****
=> Article Western Governors Weigh Wildfire Risk
=> Article Federal Court Order May Block Northwest Fuels Treatments
=> Article U.S. Weather Threats Assessment Valid Friday, December 15,
2000 - Tuesday,
December 26, 2000
=> Classified Ads
=> Links Area
=> How to Be Featured as our Guest Columnist
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The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report
For December 13, 2000
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
------------------------------------------------------------
IN THIS ISSUE
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=> USA Daily Temperature Extremes
National Temperature Extremes
High Tue...86 At Ft Pierce FL
Low Wed...24 Below Zero At Flag Island MN
=> Special Notes
The high probability area for snow is over central east Indiana, north
central to central west Ohio.
The high probability area for icing is over north northeast Mississippi,
western and extreme northern
Tennessee, the south southeast 3/4 of Kentucky, West Virginia except the far
northwestern area and
far north northwestern North Carolina.
=> Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:
Active Warnings:
Not Available
=> Severe Weather Probability Forecast
The forecast probability of an event is by the stated percentage or greater
for the event, within 25 miles of any point for the area described.
Tornado Risk - Slight
There is a 2% probability of a tornado over south southeast Louisiana, far
southern Mississippi, and
far southern Alabama.
The 5% probability area covers far south southeast Louisiana extreme
southern Mississippi, and
extreme southern Alabama.
Hail Risk - Slight
There is less than a 5% probability of hail 3/4 inch or larger.
Wind Risk - Slight
There is a 5% probability of winds in excess of 50 knots over the south
southeast 1/2 of Louisiana,
far southern Mississippi, and southwest Alabama.
The 15% probability area covers south southeast Louisiana, extreme southern
Mississippi, and
extreme southern Alabama.
Tomorrow's Risk -
There is less than a 5% probability of any severe weather tomorrow.
=> Precipitation Forecast, Excessive Rainfall, Heavy Snow And/Or
Significant
Icing Forecast
Precipitation Forecast
The 24 hour precipitation forecast is calling for over 1 inch of
precipitation over far central west,
central northwest, central and central east California, central east and
eastern Arkansas, far
northwest Mississippi, the northwest 1/3 of Tennessee, southeast Missouri,
central and western
Kentucky, far southern Illinois and far southern Indiana,
The 24 - 48 hour precipitation forecast is calling for over 1 inch of
precipitation over extreme
northwest California, far southwest, northwest coastal, and western central
Oregon, and central
Washington north to south.
Excessive Rainfall Forecast
Rainfall is not expected to exceed flash flood values.
USA heavy snow and/or significant icing
>From noon to midnight today EST the probability of 4 inches or greater of
snow is low over east
southeast Missouri, the southwest 2/3 of Illinois, Indiana, Ohio except the
extreme southern area and
west central and western Pennsylvania,
The moderate probability area is over east southeastern Illinois, Indiana
except the southeastern and
northwestern area, the northwest 2/3 of Ohio.
The high probability area is over central east Indiana, north central to
central west Ohio.
The probability of 1/4 inch or greater of ice accumulation is low over
eastern Arkansas, far northeast
Louisiana, central and northern Mississippi, northwest Alabama, extreme
north northeast Georgia,
Tennessee, Kentucky, West Virginia, far southeast Illinois, southwest
Indiana, southwest Ohio, south
southwest Pennsylvania, western Maryland, the northwest 1/2 of Virginia and
northwest North
Carolina.
The moderate probability area is over far eastern Arkansas, Kentucky, far
southeast Ohio, West
Virginia, the northwest 1/3 of Virginia, far northwest North Carolina and
Tennessee except the
south southeast area.
The high probability area is over north northeast Mississippi, western and
extreme northern
Tennessee, the south southeast 3/4 of Kentucky, West Virginia except the far
northwestern area and
far north northwestern North Carolina.
>From midnight to noon tomorrow EST the probability of 4 inches or greater of
snow is low over
southeast through central north northeast Pennsylvania, New York except the
western and northern
and far southeastern areas, the southern 2/3 of Vermont, the southern 2/3 of
New Hampshire, and
the northwestern 1/2 of Massachusetts.
The moderate probability area is over far central north Pennsylvania, from
central south through
central east New York, the southern 1/2 of Vermont and west southwest New
Hampshire.
The high probability area is over central New York.
The probability of 1/4 inch or greater of ice accumulation is low over
northwest North Carolina,
Virginia except the southeast area, Maryland except the southeast area, west
northwest New Jersey,
the southeast 1/2 of West Virginia, the southeast 2/3 of Pennsylvania, south
southeast New York,
Connecticut, central south to south west Massachusetts and Rhode Island.
The moderate probability area is over extreme northeastern Tennessee,
extreme northwest North
Carolina, the northwest 1/2 of Virginia, the southwest 1/3 of West Virginia,
the northwest 2/3 of
Maryland, the southeast 1/2 of Pennsylvania, far northeast New Jersey,
southeast New York.
The high probability area is over far southeast West Virginia, far north
northwest Virginia, and the
southeast 1/3 of Pennsylvania except the extreme southeast area.
=> USA Flood Report
The United States Flood Summary is not available.
=> USA Fire Report and Forecast
The USA Fire Report and Forecast has not been updated.
=> USA Earthquake Report
UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY
NATIONAL EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION CENTER
GOLDEN, COLORADO
LISTS OF U.S. EARTHQUAKES IN THE LAST 30 HOURS
Prepared by USGS/NEIC 2000 DEC 13 at 00:15 UTC
EARTHQUAKES IN SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES
(29.0 TO 35.8 N, 102.0 TO 125.0 W)
Date Time (UTC) Lat Long Depth Magnitude
2000 DEC 11 18:04:27.00 34.0 N 116.7 W 12 km 3.4
10 miles ENE of Banning, California
=> Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports
Note: All data is considered preliminary
Tornado Reports
No reports received
Hail Reports
No reports received
Wind Reports
No reports received
Fields marked UNK are unknown
All Times UTC
Wind Gusts in MPH
Hail Sizes in 1/100 of an Inch (75 = 0.75")
=> Guest Column
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**** ARTICLES ****
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=> Western Governors Weigh Wildfire Risk
DECEMBER 12 -- SAN DIEGO, CA: Governors from 18 western states are urging
federal
agencies to do more to reduce the risk of major wildfires like those that
burned millions of acres this
summer.
Members of the Western Governors' Association, according to a report in the
Billings Gazette,
adopted a resolution that conflicts with the view of environmentalists, who
argue that fuels reduction
projects will lead to what they consider excessive logging on federal lands.
Republican Gov. Dirk Kempthorne of Idaho, where fires burned over a million
acres this summer,
said failure to thin the forests has created an unsafe situation. "The
current forest health policy is not
working, and I contend it went up in smoke this season," Kempthorne said.
The governors'
resolution maintains that millions of acres of federal forests are in poor
ecological health with an
unacceptable risk of wildfire. Between 40 and 65 million acres of land are
at moderate to high risk of
fire, mostly in the West, according to Colin Hardy, a Forest Service
researcher who attended the
governors' winter meeting in San Diego.
Kempthorne, chairman of the association, said this year was the worst since
1910. Wildfires burned
more than 6.5 million acres this year; the 10-year average is about 3
million acres, and the low is
about 1.5 million. The story's available from the Billings Gazette, and the
Western Governors'
Association is also online.
http://www.westgov.org/
=> Federal Court Order May Block Northwest Fuels Treatments
DECEMBER 12 -- SEATTLE, WA: A federal judge last week blocked more than
170 federal
timber sales, along with dozens of road and trail projects, in western
Oregon, Washington, and
northern California after finding that they pose immediate harm to
threatened and endangered fish.
The Oregonian reported that U.S. District Judge Barbara Rothstein issued an
injunction halting
timber sales in federal forests throughout the Cascades and westward to the
Coast Range. The order
also suspends road and trail maintenance, bridge construction, prescribed
fires, and other fuels
projects that were approved under the same reviews as the timber sales.
Because Rothstein's decision applies to nine national forests and five BLM
districts, it is perhaps the
broadest regional suspension of timber harvests since a judge in 1992 halted
logging in Northwest
forests to protect the northern spotted owl. The injunction declares that
federal agencies have not
complied with the mandates of the Northwest Forest Plan, the 1993 attempt to
protect threatened
species and sustain the logging industry.
"It's going to stop a lot of timber sales, but it also shows the extent to
which we have to repair the
federal logging program," said Doug Heiken of the Oregon Natural Resources
Council, one of the
environmental groups that sought the injunction. The Endangered Species Act
requires the Forest
Service and BLM to obtain clearance from the National Marine Fisheries
Service before permitting
forest projects that may affect protected fish. Because the judge has
invalidated that clearance,
however, the agencies cannot legally proceed with projects in drainages
where threatened fish are
found.
Affected forests include the Mount Hood, Umpqua, Siuslaw, Siskiyou, and
Rogue River national
forests in Oregon, the Gifford Pinchot in Washington, and the Klamath,
Shasta-Trinity, and Six
Rivers in California. The story's online from the Oregonian.
=> U.S. Weather Threats Assessment Valid Friday, December 15, 2000 -
Tuesday,
December 26, 2000.
Summary of Forecasts & Threats
SYNOPSIS: Outbreaks of very cold Canadian air are predicted to affect much
of the northern and
central contiguous U.S. during this period, as well as the northern half of
Alaska. The frigid air is
forecast to originate over the usual source region of western Canada, with
some of the arctic air
heading into Alaska, and some plunging southward and eastward, overspreading
the Lower 48
states mainly from the Continental Divide eastward. Brief penetrations of
arctic air are also possible
for the Mid-Atlantic region.
THREATS
Well below normal temperatures are expected for much of the northern half of
the country, east of
the Divide, from Wed., Dec. 20th to Tue., Dec. 26th.
Snowy conditions are forecast over the Great Lakes region on Dec 15th, with
heavy lake-effect
snow possible over the usual climatologically favored areas.
Drought continues across the central Florida peninsula during this
assessment period.
DETAILED SUMMARY
For Friday December 15 through Sunday December 17: Another major outbreak of
arctic air is
predicted to push southward and eastward from Canada into the Upper
Mississippi Valley and
Great Lakes region during this period. This very cold airmass is likely to
trigger heavy lake-effect
snowfall to areas downwind of the Great Lakes on Friday, Dec 15th.
For Monday December 18 through Tuesday December 26: Continuing cold weather
is forecast for
the Great Lakes region, with another blast of arctic air predicted for the
nations midsection during
this period. Very cold temperatures are also in store for northern and
central Alaska during the first
few days of this forecast period. Long-term drought continues over
north-central Florida.
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