The USA Disaster Situation Report
The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report
For September 28, 2000
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
------------------------------------------------------------
IN THIS ISSUE
------------------------------------------------------------
=> USA Daily Temperature Extremes
=> Special Notes
=> Current Tropical Weather Outlook
=> Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:
=> Severe Weather Probability Forecast
=> Precipitation Forecast and Excessive Rainfall Forecast
=> USA Flood Report
=> USA Fire Report and Forecast
=> USA Earthquake Report
=> Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports
=> Guest Column
=> CPSC, BRK Announce Recall of First Alert Fire Extinguishers
=> FEMA Approves Over $300,000 In Grant Funds For Leavenworth County
=> U.S. Weather Threats Assessment
=> DECON 2000 October 21-22, 2000 Rockville, Maryland
=> Pennsylvania Health Department Confirms West Nile Virus in Two Crows
=> The EIIP Virtual Forum October 2000 lineup.
=> Worsening Urban Air Pollution Won't Increase Global Temperature Over Next
100 Years
=> Classified Ads
=> Links Area
=> How to Be Featured as our Guest Columnist
------------------------------------------------------------
Sponsored by the SandbaggerTM
www.thesandbagger.com
Dan P. Stoye
800-770-SAND(7263).
For all your sand bagging needs
------------------------------------------------------------
=> Subscribe/Unsubscribe information
The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report
For September 28, 2000
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
------------------------------------------------------------
IN THIS ISSUE
------------------------------------------------------------
=> USA Daily Temperature Extremes
National Temperature Extremes
High Wed...104 At Death Valley CA
Low Thu...19 At Pellston MI
=> Special Notes
Year-to-Date for the United States
As of September 27, 2000 Number of Wildland Fires -- 79,962 Number of
Acres -- 6,875,263
=> Current Tropical Weather Outlook For The North Atlantic Caribbean Sea And
The Gulf Of Mexico
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Isaac
located about 820 miles east-southeast of Bermuda...and on Hurricane
Joyce...located about 1000 miles east of the Windward Islands.
Satellite imagery and surface observations indicate that the area of
disturbed weather in the northwestern Caribbean continues to become better
organized. Lowest pressure appears just off the northeast coast of Honduras.
A reconnaissance plane will investigate the area this afternoon to determine
whether a tropical depression has formed or not. This system is forecast to
move little during the next day or two and will likely bring torrential
rains to portions of Central America primarily over northeastern Honduras.
A slow westward-moving tropical wave crossing the Cape Verde Islands is
disorganized. Upper-level winds are not favorable for development.
Elsewhere...tropical storm formation is not expected through Friday.
=> Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:
Active Warnings:
Updated Thu Sep 28 11:06:28 2000
Flash Flood
Puerto Rico
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
EFFECTIVE UNTIL 200 PM AST THURSDAY AFTERNOON... FOR THE FOLLOWING
MUNICIPALITIES... IN SOUTHEAST PUERTO RICO
JUNCOS...HUMACAO...CAGUAS...NAGUABO...SAN LORENZO...LAS
PIEDRAS...MAUNABO...ARROYO...YABUCOA AND PATILLAS
Hurricane/Tropical Storm
United States
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF JOYCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 44.7 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM AST SUN OCT 1 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
11.0N 48.0W 45 X X X 45 TFFF 146N 610W X X X 9 9
11.0N 50.5W 1 29 1 X 31 TDPR 153N 614W X X X 8 8
11.5N 53.0W X 7 15 2 24 TFFR 163N 615W X X X 7 7
TTPP 106N 614W X X X 4 4 TAPA 171N 618W X X X 6 6
TTPT 112N 608W X X X 6 6 TKPK 173N 627W X X X 4 4
TGPY 120N 618W X X X 5 5 TNCM 181N 631W X X X 3 3
TBPB 131N 595W X X X 12 12 TISX 177N 648W X X X 2 2
TVSV 131N 612W X X X 7 7 ST CROIX VI X X X 2 2
TLPL 138N 610W X X X 8 8
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM FRI TO 8PM FRI
C FROM 8PM FRI TO 8AM SAT
D FROM 8AM SAT TO 8AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
Special Marine
Florida
* SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR... WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST
OUT 20 NM GULF WATERS FROM KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS NORTH 20
NM AND SOUTH 60 NM FROM DRY TORTUGAS * UNTIL 1100 AM EDT
Non Precipitation
Connecticut
Massachusetts
New Jersey
New York
Pennsylvania
Vermont
...FROST WARNING FOR TONIGHT...
Maine
...A COLD NIGHT AHEAD FOR DOWNEAST MAINE...
=> Severe Weather Probability Forecast
The forecast probability of an event is by the stated percentage or greater
for the event, within 25 miles of any point for the area described.
Tornado Risk - Slight
There is less than a 2% probability of a tornado.
Hail Risk - Slight
There is less than a 5% probability of hail 3/4 inch or larger.
Wind Risk - Slight
There is less than a 5% probability of winds in excess of 50 knots.
Tomorrow's Risk - Slight
There is less than a 5% probability of any severe weather tomorrow
=> Precipitation Forecast and Excessive Rainfall Forecast
Precipitation Forecast
The 24 hr precipitation forecasts no area to receive more than an inch of
rainfall
the 24 - 48 hr precipitation forecast is calling for over an inch of
rainfall over nortwest Washington
Excessive Rainfall Forecast
Rainfall is not expected to exceed flash flood values.
Snowfall and icing
The probability of heavy snow and/or significant icing is less than 20
percent.
=> USA Flood Report
NATIONAL HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS
0810 AM EDT THU SEP 28 2000
FLOOD SUMMARY
MINOR FLOODING IN FLORIDA: AS MUCH AS 9 INCHES OF RAIN BROUGHT
SIGNIFICANT STREET FLOODING TO THE ST. PETERSBURG, GULFPORT AND
ROCKLEDGE AREAS.
LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN COULD CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING IN PARTS OF
FLORIDA TODAY.
FLASH FLOODING:
FLOOD/FLASH FLOOD AND/OR URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORIES
WERE ISSUED OVER THE LAST DAY FOR LOCATIONS INCLUDING (IN
ALPHABETICAL ORDER BY STATE):
FLORIDA: BREVARD, LEE AND PINELLAS COUNTIES
VIRGIN ISLANDS: ST. JOHN AND ST. THOMAS
RIVER FLOODING:
RIVERS AND STREAMS WITH LOCATIONS EITHER ABOVE FLOOD STAGE OR
EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE INCLUDE (IN ALPHABETICAL
ORDER, BY STATE)
FLORIDA: THE MYAKKA RIVER
INDIANA: THE WHITE RIVER
NORTH CAROLINA: THE LUMBER AND NEUSE RIVERS
SOUTH CAROLINA: THE LITTLE PEE DEE RIVER
=> USA Fire Report and Forecast
INCIDENT MANAGEMENT SITUATION REPORT
THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 28, 2000 - 0530 MDT
NATIONAL PREPAREDNESS LEVEL II
CURRENT SITUATION:
Initial attack activity was minimal, with one new large fire reported in
Texas. Continued high pressure and clear skies may increase fire danger
in Texas and Oklahoma, while high cloudiness and cooler temperatures in
the northwest states should lessen fire activity there. The National
Interagency Coordination Center processed orders for air tankers, radio
equipment, crews and overhead. Very high to extreme fire indices were
reported in Oregon, Washington, California, Montana, Idaho, Nevada,
Arizona, Wyoming, Arkansas, Oklahoma and Texas.
SOUTHERN AREA LARGE FIRES:
COUNTY ROAD 127, Texas State Forest Service. This human-caused fire is 30
miles south of Austin, TX. Cedar, mesquite, juniper and oak are the
primary fuels involved. Seven structures are threatened.
GULLY SLOUGH, McFaddin National Wildlife Refuge. This fire is burning on
private and federal land 45 miles east of Houston, TX. The interior of
the fire is still burning actively.
ROCKY MOUNTAIN AREA LARGE FIRES:
VALENTINE COMPLEX, Valentine National Wildlife Refuge. This complex of
seven lightning-caused fires is 25 miles south of Valentine, NE. Mopup and
rehabilitation continue. This will be the last report for this fire
unless significant activity occurs.
NORTHERN ROCKIES AREA LARGE FIRES:
VALLEY COMPLEX, Bitterroot National Forest. A Type II Incident Management
Team (Furlong) is assigned. These fires are seven miles south of Darby,
MT. The complex consists of the Blodgett, Skalkaho, Bear, Taylor, Taylor
Spot, Hilltop, Razor, Fat, and Mink fires. Warmer and drier conditions
are causing an increase in fire activity. Helicopter bucket drops
continue on the Fat and Taylor fires. Monitoring of the uncontained
portion of the fire perimeter continues. No new hotspots have been
located outside the fireline.
MUSSIGBROD COMPLEX, Beaverhead-Deerlodge National Forest. These fires are
12 miles northwest of Wisdom, MT. The complex includes the Mussigbrod and
Maynard fires. Rehabilitation operations in the fire area are continuing.
This will be the last report for this fire unless significant activity
occurs.
MIDDLE FORK COMPLEX, Beaverhead-Deerlodge National Forest. These fires
are 30 miles southwest of Philipsburg, MT. The complex consists of the
Falls Creek, Cougar Creek, Coyote Springs, Medicine Lake, Skalkaho Pass,
Lick Creek, and Cooper Creek fires. Crews are making progress on
rehabilitation projects. This will be the last report for this fire
unless significant activity occurs.
EASTERN GREAT BASIN AREA LARGE FIRES:
CLEAR CREEK COMPLEX, Salmon-Challis National Forest. A Type II Incident
Management Team (Carr) is assigned. This complex consists of the Clear
Creek and Marlin Springs fires. Creeping and smoldering fire behavior
with intermittent torching has been observed in the heavy fuels. Crews
continue mopup operations further into the interior. Rehabilitation
efforts are ongoing in areas outside the Frank Church River of No Return
Wilderness.
SOUTHWEST AREA LARGE FIRES:
ARROW, Apache-Sitgreaves National Forest. This lightning ignited wildland
fire is being managed to accomplish resource objectives. The fire, which
started on 9/8, is five miles south of Hannigan Meadow, AZ. Some
precipitation has been received on the fire.
OUTLOOK:
High pressure will remain over Texas and Oklahoma, bringing sunny and dry
conditions. High temperatures will be from the mid 70's to the mid 80's.
Minimum relative humidities are forecast to be 30 to 35 percent. Winds
will be north to east at 5 to 10 mph.
A weak trough will bring cooler temperatures and higher humidities to
southern California, along with some local morning drizzle near the coast.
Sunny conditions will dominate by afternoon. High temperatures will be in
the 70's and 80's in the mountains and along the coast, and in the 90's to
lower 100's in desert areas. Minimum relative humidities will range from
20 to 35 percent. Winds will be southwest or upslope at 5 to 15 mph.
=> USA Earthquake Report
UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY
NATIONAL EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION CENTER
GOLDEN, COLORADO
LISTS OF U.S. EARTHQUAKES IN THE LAST 30 HOURS
Prepared by USGS/NEIC 2000 SEP 28 at 00:15 UTC
EARTHQUAKES IN WEST CENTRAL UNITED STATES
(35.8 TO 40.3 N, 102.0 TO 125.0 W)
Date Time (UTC) Lat Long Depth Magnitude
2000 SEP 27 18:51:31.00 38.8 N 122.8 W 5 km 3.2
15 miles SW of Clearlake, California
=> Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports
Note: All data is considered preliminary
Tornado Reports
No reports received
Hail Reports
No reports received
Wind Reports
No reports received
Fields marked UNK are unknown
All Times UTC
Wind Gusts in MPH
Hail Sizes in 1/100 of an Inch (75 = 0.75")
=> Guest Column
No Column Today
=> CPSC, BRK Announce Recall of First Alert Fire Extinguishers
WASHINGTON, D.C. - In cooperation with the U.S. Consumer Product Safety
Commission (CPSC), BRK Brands Inc., of Aurora, Ill., is voluntarily
recalling about 600,000 First Alert® household fire extinguishers. The
extinguishers can fail to discharge when the trigger is activated
failing to put out a fire, which puts consumers at risk of fire-related
injuries.
CPSC and BRK have received five reports from consumers of the fire
extinguishers failing to discharge when activated. No injuries have been
reported.
Only First Alert model FE1A10G with serial numbers beginning with: RH,
RK, RL, RP, RT, RU, or RW are included in this recall. The serial number
is located on the extinguisher's label, above the model number in a
rectangular box. "First Alert" is written on the units' label and
pressure gauge. The fire extinguishers are either red or white. Home
centers, mass merchandisers, and hardware stores nationwide sold the
fire extinguishers from September 1999 through September 2000 for
between $9 and $15.
Consumers with recalled fire extinguishers should immediately contact
First Alert at (866) 669-2736 anytime or visit the First Alert web site
at http://www.firstalert.com/more_information/index.htm to receive a
coupon for a new extinguisher.
First Alert fire extinguishers with a "100% Quality Tested" sticker
attached to the fire extinguisher label are not included in the recall,
regardless of the serial number.
For a picture of the fire extinguisher please go to the CPSC Website at:
http://www.cpsc.gov/cpscpub/prerel/prhtml00/00188.html
=> FEMA Approves Over $300,000 In Grant Funds For Leavenworth County
Kansas City, MO, September 27, 2000 -- The Federal Emergency Management
Agency (FEMA) announced today that Leavenworth County would receive more
than $300,000 in federal funds for a project that will reduce the risks of
future flood losses.
Beth Freeman, director of FEMA's regional office in Kansas City, Mo., said
that the funds would be provided through FEMA's Unmet Needs Program to
purchase and demolish seven residential structures that have had repetitive
flood damage.
"We are pleased that Leavenworth County has taken a proactive stance with
regards to its threat from floods," Freeman said. "Their program is just one
way that communities can reduce the effects of natural disasters on
themselves."
The $305,935 grant represents FEMA's contribution to the project. The total
cost of the project is estimated to be $359,924.
The state of Kansas, through the Kansas Division of Emergency Management,
and the local community will administer and disperse the federal funds. The
state determines which projects are submitted to FEMA for funding. Local
units of government submit the projects to the state and determine the order
in which the individual structures are purchased.
The county's goals for this voluntary acquisition project include public
safety and floodplain management. This project will remove families out of
harms way, reduce the risks to emergency workers, and help the community
meet their responsibilities for floodplain management and stay in good
standing with the National Flood Insurance Program. Once completed with the
acquisition project, the county plans to convert the land back to open
space.
The Unmet Needs Program provides 75% of the funds for approved projects that
lessen or eliminate the loss of lives and property in future disasters. The
remaining 25% must come from non-federal sources.
These federal funds came from a special appropriation from Congress for
unmet needs that were a direct result from the severe storms, flooding, and
tornadoes that resulted in a Presidential disaster declaration for the state
of Kansas in 1998.
=> U.S. Weather Threats Assessment
Valid Friday, September 29, 2000 - Tuesday, October 10, 2000.
Summary of Forecasts & Threats
SYNOPSIS:
THREATS
Little or no rainfall is expected over most of Texas and eastern New Mexico,
exacerbating drought conditions in those areas.
Long-term drought also continues over portions of the central Great Plains,
Montana and the northern Rockies, southern Texas, and much of the South, but
further relief of drought conditions is likely in most of these areas.
A threat of strong onshore winds and abnormally high tides exists along much
of the Atlantic coast from Fri Sep 29 through Tue Oct 3.
Another, less severe outbreak of cold air with snow in northern and central
portions of the Rockies and High Plains is possible Wed Oct 3 through Fri
Oct 5.
DETAILED SUMMARY
For Friday September 29 through Sunday October 1:
A strong high pressure from Canada moving slowly over the Northeast and
possible tropical activity to the south moving slowly northward off the
coast will set up a large-scale pressure gradient that will bring strong
onshore winds with abnormally high tides and some beach erosion to much of
the Atlantic Coast, particularly from Florida to the middle Atlantic area.
For Monday October 2 through Tuesday October 10:
Another outbreak of cold air accompanied by snow over northern and central
portions of the Rockies and High Plains is likely early in the period, but
it will probably not be as strong as the last one.
=> DECON 2000 October 21-22, 2000 Rockville, Maryland
The threat of possible use of chemical, biological, or radiological weapons
(CBR) by terrorists continues to serve as the impetus for domestic
preparedness by first responders. One of the major issues likely to
confront first responders is the potential for large numbers of casualties.
Most of these casualties will probably undergo decontamination. The type,
quantity, and method of release of a chemical or biological agent or
radiological material heavily influence the magnitude and scope of this
challenge.
Attendees will hear nationally recognized experts talk about specific
aspects of decontamination and also see displays/demonstrations of
improvised field decontamination systems.
In response to this challenge, the Maryland Emergency Management Agency
(MEMA) and the Montgomery County Fire and Rescue Service (MCFRS) are jointly
hosting a two-day symposium on the subject of field decontamination.
DECON 2000
Registration Form
Name (print): ___________________________________
Signature: __________________________
Title: ______________________________
Affiliation: ___________________________________
Email:_____________________________
Address: ___________________________________
___________________________________
Phone (daytime): ___________________________________
Send or Fax completed registration form no later than Friday October 6 to:
Montgomery County Fire and Rescue Service
Attention: Ms. Susie Smith
Executive Office Building
101 Monroe Street, 12th Floor
Rockville, MD 20850
240-777-2414 (Fax)
240-777-2441 (Office)
Attendance and lunches are free.
=> Pennsylvania Health Department Confirms West Nile Virus in Two Crows
HARRISBURG (Sept. 26) -- Secretary of Health Robert S. Zimmerman Jr. today
confirmed the West Nile virus infection has been found in two crows in
Southeastern Pennsylvania. Previously, all tests for West Nile virus in
Pennsylvania had been negative.
The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) National Wildlife Health Center in
Madison, Wis., today verified the presence of West Nile virus in two dead
crows -- one from Levittown, Bucks County, collected Sept. 8, and the second
from Treddfyrin, Chester County, collected Sept. 13. The Department of
Health uses the USGS Health Center as a backup laboratory for testing.
"No people have tested positive for West Nile virus in Pennsylvania, nor any
mosquitoes," Zimmerman said. "The risk of contracting West Nile encephalitis
remains low. Still, we all should do everything we can to prevent the spread
of this virus." Zimmerman encouraged Pennsylvanians to continue to reduce
their risk of exposure to mosquitoes by eliminating standing water.
Mosquitoes breed in standing water. Zimmerman also reminded Pennsylvanians
to call 1-877-PA-HEALTH if they come across dead birds -- especially crows.
Callers should report the location of the dead bird, the date and the number
of birds observed. Callers will receive proper handling instructions. The
toll-free information line, 1-877-PA-HEALTH, is answered 24 hours a day.
Direct assistance is available from 8 a.m. to 4:30 p.m., Monday through
Friday. A Department of Health representative is available for emergency
cases at other times.
This is the first time West Nile virus has been found in Pennsylvania since
the disease was first recognized in the United States during a 1999 outbreak
in the New York City area.
Bucks and Chester counties have been in enhanced surveillance for West Nile
virus since Pennsylvania began its mosquito-surveillance efforts on April 3.
On June 1, the Department of Environmental Protection (DEP) awarded Bucks
County $226,619 and Chester County $170,854 for mosquito surveillance and
larvae control. "We are working with Bucks and Chester county officials to
identify and eliminate large populations of the type of mosquito that can
carry the virus," DEP Secretary James M. Seif said. "In the meantime, we are
stepping up our mosquito-surveillance efforts in surrounding counties, to
determine if mosquitoes also are infected with the virus."
The 2000-01 state budget includes $9.8 million to prevent and lessen the
potential public-health effects of West Nile virus on Pennsylvanians. The
funds provide necessary staffing and an improved epidemiological
infrastructure for detecting the virus.
Prior to 1999, the virus was found only in Africa, Eastern Europe and West
Asia. Mosquitoes acquire the virus from infected birds and horses. Those
mosquitoes then can transmit the virus to people and animals. "Most cases of
West Nile virus infection result in a flu-like illness, with complete
recovery," Dr. Robert Muscalus, Physician General, said. "In certain
individuals, such as the elderly or those with compromised immune systems,
the virus can cause a more serious infection including encephalitis, which
is an inflammation of the brain.
"Although there is no specific treatment for the West Nile virus infection,
most people fully recover. Hospitalization may be needed only in some severe
cases."
Older people have the highest risk of developing severe illness because, as
people age, their bodies have a harder time fighting off disease. People
with compromised immune systems also are at increased risk. However, anyone
can get the virus.
For more information on West Nile virus or how to handle dead birds found in
the community, visit the Pennsylvania website at www.state.pa.us or directly
at www.WestNile.state.pa.us. Or call the Department of Health's information
line at 1-877-PA-HEALTH.
=> The EIIP Virtual Forum October 2000 lineup.
The Forum provides live online interaction
between subject matter experts and practitioners via the Internet and
the ease of one's own desktop at work, school or home.
Make note of the topics of interest and schedule them as you plan all
your meetings and activities for the month of October. All sessions are
on Wednesdays at 12:00 Noon Eastern Time. Login via
http://www.emforum.org/vforum/formchat.htm.
October 4 in the Virtual Library - "Donated Goods" - Monica Zacarelli,
PAHO
October 11 in the Forum - "World Disaster Reduction Day" - Nicole Appel,
Awareness & Promotion Officer, International Strategy for Disaster
Reduction (ISDR) Secretariat
October 18 in the Virtual Classroom - "Masters of Disasters Curriculum"
- Rocky Lopes, American Red Cross
October 25 in the Tech Arena - "Community Alert Network (CAN)" - Ken
Baechel, President
=> Worsening Urban Air Pollution Won't Increase Global Temperature Over Next
100 Years
Researchers funded in part by the National Science
Foundation (NSF) and affiliated with the Massachusetts
Institute of Technology have found that although urban air
pollution is expected to increase significantly in the coming
century, it will not have a big effect on global temperature
change.
While there may be temperature increases in certain regions,
global mean surface temperature will not go up significantly
because of urban air pollution, researchers at MIT's Joint
Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change wrote in a
paper to be published in the September 27 issue of the Journal of
Geophysical Research--Atmospheres.
"It is very important to understand the interplay between
air quality and climate, and recent advances in coupled chemistry
climate models make that possible," says Anne-Marie Schmoltner,
program director in NSF's division of atmospheric sciences.
"Changes in air quality could affect global climate, and
conversely, climate change could affect air quality. The results
presented by the MIT group provide insight into these complex
interactions."
Using a method that allows global coupled-chemistry climate
models to take urban air pollution into account in a new way, MIT
researchers found that compared to a reference run excluding
urban air pollution, the average tropospheric ozone concentration
decreases while high concentrations of ozone are projected in the
urban areas. As a consequence of the change
in the chemical composition of the troposphere, the lifetime
of methane increases. This leads to higher ambient methane
concentrations, even if emissions are unaltered.
"People thought things would go in this direction, but
they couldn't quantify it before," said Monika Mayer,
research scientist at MIT and lead author on the paper,
"Linking local air pollution to global chemistry and climate."
While scientists agree that urban air pollution can alter
concentrations of greenhouse gases such as ozone in the
troposphere, they have left the complicated chemistry of
urban air pollution out of global climate models.
"Global-scale models that do not take into account urban
areas' highly nonlinear atmospheric chemistry most likely
overestimate tropospheric ozone production due to
unreasonably high background nitric oxide concentrations,"
the authors write.
Yet, "high-resolution climate models don't have chemistry
coupled to them," said Mayer. "It takes months just to run a
global climate model without the chemistry."
Population projections show that in the next 100 years,
the concentration of people in urban areas will increase
dramatically. While 30-40 percent of air pollution currently
comes from urban areas, as much as 70 percent may originate
from cities in the future. The researchers carried out three
simulations of 100year projections that factored in the
effects of increased urban air pollution tied to population
increases and economic development in these areas. They found
that even with significant increases in air pollution, global
mean temperature should not change much, although there may be
more pronounced regional effects.
=> Classified Ads
Door-to-Door CoPilot Version 2.0 GPS TravRoute
List Price:
$299.99
Our Price:
$250.99
Platform: Windows 95, Windows 98, Windows NT
Media: CD-ROM
Availability: This item usually ships within 2-3 days.
Features:
Enter the street address of your destination, and CoPilot computes the exact
route
CoPilot speaks instructions telling you where to turn--every step of the way
Gives you new directions if you miss a turn, encounter traffic, or choose
another route
Complete nationwide information on one CD that features more than 96 million
addresses
GPS receiver picks up satellite signals and uses them to pinpoint your
location on earth
Shipping: Currently, item can be shipped only within the U.S.
http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/B00000J495/thedisastercenteA/
FREE 30 days of StormWarn by Email, Pager, PCS/GSM Phone, Business Fax at no
cost*
Sign up today and you'll receive no obligation, no commitment StormWarn . If
you find it helpful, you can then decide to continue service at very low
rates. Your account is held in strictest confidence and you won't keep
hearing from us if you decide not to keep the service. We believe in the
value of StormWarn, and we think you will too.
*Direct pages and faxes are limited to 50 bulletins during the trial period.
http://www.stormwarn.com/index.asp?a=10296
=> Links Area
Atlantic
Hurricane Isaac was located in the mid-Atlantic near 21.4N 48.8W at 15:00
UTC. Isaac has been moving in a northwesterly direction at 12 knots
with maximum sustained winds estimated at 90 knots, gusts to 110 knots.
Joyce has continued to strengthen and is now a hurricane. Joyce was located
near 12.4N 39.6W at 15:00 UTC moving in a westerly direction at 13 knots.
Maximum sustained winds are estimated at 70 knots, gusts to 85 knots.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Tropical/Atlantic/TRCisaac271_G8.jpg
Arkansas, Louisiana, Texas
Several heat signatures and smoke plumes are visible from fires burning in
Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi and Texas. Smoke plumes from the fires
trail out over the Gulf of Mexico.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Fires/US_Southeast/FSMHSusLA270_N4.jpg
Idaho, Montana, Oregon, Washington
Several heat signatures and smoke plumes are visible from fires burning in
northern Idaho, western Montana, northeastern Oregon and eastern Washington.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Fires/US_Northwest/FSMHSusNW271_N2.jpg
E. Canada, Atlantic
"This image is the eastern Canadian and Atlantic segment of a swath
transmitted by the Advanced Microwave Sounder Unit,
Sensor A (AMSU-A) on board the recently-launched NOAA-16 polar orbiting
satellite. Tuesday, 26 September 2000, 17:30 UTC,
48 km. resolution. The AMSU-A sensor detects microwave radiation at 15
wavelengths (channels). This image contains data
from all 15 channels in 15 panels. The channels are similar in appearance
but differ in the atmospheric and surface
processes they reveal. Some reveal surface features such as land or sea
surface temperature, and others reveal
atmospheric properties such as air temperature and water vapor content. The
data values in the image are temperatures
color coded from blue (cold) through green and yellow to red (warm). This
image was processed by the NOAA/NESDIS
Offices of Systems Development (OSD) and Satellite Operations (OSO)"
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Unique/Other/UNIAAan270_N6.jpg
E. North America
"This image is the eastern North American segment of a swath transmitted by
the Advanced Microwave Sounder Unit,
Sensor B (AMSU-B) on board the recently-launched NOAA-16 polar orbiting
satellite. Tuesday, 26 September 2000,
19:10 UTC, 16 km. resolution. The AMSU-B sensor detects microwave radiation
at five wavelengths (channels).
This image contains data from all five channels in five panels. The channels
are similar in appearance but
differ in the atmospheric and surface processes they reveal. Some reveal
surface features such as land or sea
surface temperature, and others reveal atmospheric properties such as air
temperature and water vapor content.
The data values in the image are temperatures color coded from blue (cold)
through green and yellow to red (warm).
This image was processed by the NOAA/NESDIS Offices of Systems Development
(OSD) and Satellite Operations (OSO)"
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Unique/Other/UNIABan270_N6.jpg
=> How to Be Featured as our Guest Columnist
If you have report or notice that you think would be of interest to the
readers of the SitRep please send an email to: host{at}disastercenter.com
------------------------------------------------------------
SPONSORSHIP NOTICE
Since 1994, The Sandbagger Corp. has manufactured sandbag filling
machines used by civilian and military agencies the world over for flood
control and back flooding from hurricanes. The United States Air Force,
Army Corps of Engineers and many of the cities in Florida have our
machines for this very purpose. The State of North Carolina bought four
of our machines during Hurricane Floyd. Our machines are currently being
used in Kosovo and have produced over 2,500,000 sandbags to date. We
have two types of machines, gravity fed and motorized. This is a
description of our MA Motorized Auger Model II,
System Components:
Sandbag filling machine to include four (4) filling stations
Safety Grid
Safety Shield
Auger and Agitator
Gas Engine
Hydraulic Motor
Vibrator (optional)
Description: This automated sandbag filling system is used to fill four
(4) sandbags simultaneously. It requires four (4) men to fill sandbags
and one (1) man to operate the front-end loader to keep the 2 cubic yard
hopper full. This unit is capable of filling at least 1600 bags per hour
using unskilled labor. It is also lightweight and pick-up truck
portable. This Sandbagger is equipped with a hydraulic driven
bi-directional auger and agitator to keep wet materials flowing.
Optional towing package available.
www.thesandbagger.com
Dan P. Stoye
800-770-SAND(7263).
------------------------------------------------------------
=> Subscribe/Unsubscribe information
The information presented here is not authoritative.
It contains preliminary and partial information reports. It is intended to serve as a general daily digest of disaster related reports. Any other use is not intended or authorized.
The Disaster Center is a partner with CASI - Central Atlantic Storm Investigators. CASI is a group of over a thousand amateur and professional meteorologists, storm spotters, and weather observers from around the world dedicated to the observation and documentation of weather events
http://www.weatherwatchers.org
The Current Report can be accessed at:
http://www.disastercenter.com/current.htm
If you wish to send a report please use our Disaster Center Situation Report Form form located at:
http://www.disastercenter.com/email/formSR.htm
To subcribe or unsubscribe to this list send an e-mail to:
sitrep-request{at}disastercenter.com
with the word
subscribe
or the word
unsubscribe
only, in the body of the message.
If you wish to contact the list owner send an e-mail to: host{at}disastercenter.com
Copyright The Disaster Center
Please feel free to to pass this e-zine along to your friends.
However we ask that keep it intact and forward it along in its entirety.
===================================================
CASI StormReports Email List
TOO MUCH StormReport EMAIL?
Set yourself to "Digest" to receive only ONE Email per day!
http://stormreports{at}casi-internal
CASI StormReports Administration Addresses:
Post message: stormreports{at}casi-internal
UNSUBSCRIBE: stormreports-unsubscribe{at}egroups.com OR
http://stormreports{at}casi-internal
ReSubscribe: stormreports-subscribe{at}egroups.com OR
http://stormreports{at}casi-internal
List owner: stormreports-owner{at}egroups.com
TO CHANGE YOUR ADDRESS PLEASE UNSUBSCRIBE THEN RESUBSCRIBE
Posting Suggestions URL:
http://www.weatherwatchers.org/members/casisr.html
===================================================
This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Sat Sep 30 2000 - 20:08:38 EDT
