The USA Disaster Situation Report
The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report
For September 27, 2000
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
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IN THIS ISSUE
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=> USA Daily Temperature Extremes
=> Special Notes
=> Current Tropical Weather Outlook
=> Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:
=> Severe Weather Probability Forecast
=> Precipitation Forecast and Excessive Rainfall Forecast
=> USA Flood Report
=> USA Fire Report and Forecast
=> USA Earthquake Report
=> Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports
=> Guest Column
=> President Clinton Declares A Major Disaster Exists In The State Of Ohio
=> Classified Ads
=> Links Area
=> How to Be Featured as our Guest Columnist
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The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report
For September 27, 2000
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
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IN THIS ISSUE
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=> USA Daily Temperature Extremes
National Temperature Extremes
High Tue...105 At Thermal CA And Coolidge AZ
Low Wed...19 At West Yellowstone MT
=> Special Notes
President Clinton Declares A Major Disaster Exists In The State Of Ohio
=> Current Tropical Weather Outlook For The North Atlantic Caribbean Sea And
The Gulf Of Mexico
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Isaac
located about 1245 miles east-southeast of Bermuda...and on Hurricane
Joyce...recently upgraded from a tropical storm...located about 1350 miles
east of the Windward Islands.
Disorganized cloudiness...showers and thunderstorms extend over the
northwest Caribbean Sea from just northeast of Honduras to near eastern
Cuba. Any tropical cyclone development would be slow to occur.
A westward-moving tropical wave is located near the Cape Verde Islands. This
system is not well organized and any development will be slow to occur.
Elsewhere...tropical storm formation is not expected through Thursday.
=> Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:
Active Warnings:
Updated Wed Sep 27 12:33:14 2000
Hurricane/Tropical Storm
United States
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.8 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM AST SAT SEP 30 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
24.2N 52.3W 52 X X X 52 29.0N 55.5W 1 16 5 1 23
26.3N 54.3W 21 10 X X 31 BERMUDA X X X 3 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM THU TO 8PM THU
C FROM 8PM THU TO 8AM FRI
D FROM 8AM FRI TO 8AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
=> Severe Weather Probability Forecast
The forecast probability of an event is by the stated percentage or greater
for the event, within 25 miles of any point for the area described.
Tornado Risk - Slight
There is less than a 2% probability of a tornado.
Hail Risk - Slight
There is less than a 5% probability of hail 3/4 inch or larger.
Wind Risk - Slight
There is less than a 5% probability of winds in excess of 50 knots.
Tomorrow's Risk - Slight
There is less than a 5% probability of any severe weather tomorrow
=> Precipitation Forecast and Excessive Rainfall Forecast
Precipitation Forecast
The 24 hr precipitation forecast shows no area receiving over an inch of
rainfall
The 24 - 48 hr precipitation forecast is calling for over an inch of
rainfall over far northwest Washington,
Excessive Rainfall Forecast
Rainfall rates should not exceed flash flood values
=> USA Flood Report
NATIONAL FLOOD SUMMARY
HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION CENTER
8:00 A.M. EDT, WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 27, 2000
FLOOD SUMMARY
RAIN MOVES OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING WAS REPORTED IN
SECTIONS OF NORTH CAROLINA AND INDIANA. RAINFALL AND SNOWMELT CAUSED MINOR
FLOODING IN THE VICINITY OF MCCARTHY.
FLASH FLOODING:
FLOOD/FLASH FLOOD AND/OR URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORIES WERE ISSUED
OVER THE LAST DAY FOR LOCATIONS
INCLUDING(IN ALPHABETICAL ORDER BY STATE):
RIVER FLOODING:
RIVERS AND STREAMS WITH LOCATIONS EITHER ABOVE FLOOD STAGE OR EXPECTED TO
RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE
INCLUDE (IN ALPHABETICAL
ORDER, BY STATE)
O ALASKA: THE MCCARTHY CREEK AND OTHER STREAMS IN THE MCCARTHY AREA.
O FLORIDA: MYAKKA AND SOPCHOPPY RIVERS.
O NORTH CAROLINA: LITTLE PEE DEE, LUMBER, NEUSE RIVERS
O INDIANA: WHITE RIVER
=> USA Fire Report and Forecast
INCIDENT MANAGEMENT SITUATION REPORT
WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 27, 2000 - 0530 MDT
NATIONAL PREPAREDNESS LEVEL II
CURRENT SITUATION:
One new large fire was reported in the Southern Area. Containment was
reached on two large fires, one in the Southern Area, and one in the
Eastern Great Basin Area. Initial attack activity was light in all areas.
Very high to extreme fire indices were reported in Oregon, Arizona,
Arkansas, California, Nevada, Oklahoma and Texas.
SOUTHERN AREA LARGE FIRES:
GULLY SLOUGH, Mackay Island National Wildlife Refuge. This fire is
burning on private and federal land 45 miles east of Houston, TX.
Fireline construction objectives are being met.
ROCKY MOUNTAIN AREA LARGE FIRES:
VALENTINE COMPLEX, Valentine National Wildlife Refuge. This complex of
seven lightning-caused fires is 25 miles south of Valentine, NE. Mopup and
rehabilitation continue. No new information was reported.
NORTHERN ROCKIES AREA LARGE FIRES:
VALLEY COMPLEX, Bitterroot National Forest. A Type II Incident Management
Team (Furlong) is assigned. These fires are seven miles south of Darby,
MT. The complex consists of the Bear, Taylor, Taylor Spot, Hilltop,
Razor, Fat, and Mink fires. The Blodgett fire and the Skalkaho Complex
are now included in this complex. The adjustments to acreage and costs
reflect this change. Fire activity has become more active with the warmer
temperatures and lower humidity. Crews are making good progress on
rehabilitation efforts.
MUSSIGBROD COMPLEX, Beaverhead-Deerlodge National Forest. These fires are
12 miles northwest of Wisdom, MT. The complex includes the Mussigbrod and
Maynard fires. Rehabilitation plans for the main fire area are being
initiated. Road closures continue to be patrolled.
MIDDLE FORK COMPLEX, Beaverhead-Deerlodge National Forest. These fires
are 30 miles southwest of Philipsburg, MT. The complex consists of the
Falls Creek, Cougar Creek, Coyote Springs, Medicine Lake, Skalkaho Pass,
Lick Creek, and Cooper Creek fires. Rehabilitation continues.
EASTERN GREAT BASIN AREA LARGE FIRES:
CLEAR CREEK COMPLEX, Salmon-Challis National Forest. A Type II Incident
Management Team (Carr) is assigned. This complex consists of the Clear
Creek and Marlin Springs fires. Some smoldering with very little open
flame has been observed. Rehabilitation continues.
OUTLOOK:
*** A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS POSTED IN THE STATE OF MISSISSIPPI FOR LOW
FUEL MOISTURES ***
Oklahoma, Texas and the Gulf Coast states can expect sunny skies. High
temperatures will be in the 70's and 80's, with afternoon relative
humidity ranging from 25 to 40 percent. Winds will be from the southeast
or northeast at 10 to 15 mph.
A dry airmass continues to dominate the western and central United States
as high pressure aloft remains over the Rocky Mountains. The Western
Great Basin can expect some isolated showers and thunderstorms from a weak
disturbance moving in from the south. High pressure will begin to shift
east as a weak trough approaches the west coast. High temperatures will
range from the 60's to 70's in the Pacific Northwest and into the 80's and
90's in southern Oregon and California. Afternoon minimum relative
humidity will range from 20 to 40 percent and winds will be southwest to
northwest at 10 to 15 mph.
=> USA Earthquake Report
UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY
NATIONAL EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION CENTER
GOLDEN, COLORADO
LISTS OF U.S. EARTHQUAKES IN THE LAST 30 HOURS
Prepared by USGS/NEIC 2000 SEP 27 at 00:15 UTC
EARTHQUAKES IN WEST CENTRAL UNITED STATES
(35.8 TO 40.3 N, 102.0 TO 125.0 W)
Date Time (UTC) Lat Long Depth Magnitude
2000 SEP 26 07:27:28.73 38.7 N 119.5 W 10 km 4.2
30 miles SW of Yerington, Nevada
2000 SEP 26 07:20:28.59 38.7 N 119.5 W 10 km 4.5
25 miles SW of Yerington, Nevada
=> Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports
Note: All data is considered preliminary
Tornado Reports
No reports received
Hail Reports
No reports received
Wind Reports
No reports received
Fields marked UNK are unknown
All Times UTC
Wind Gusts in MPH
Hail Sizes in 1/100 of an Inch (75 = 0.75")
=> Guest Column
No Column Today
=> President Clinton Declares A Major Disaster Exists In The State Of Ohio
The President today declared a major disaster exists in the State
of Ohio and ordered Federal aid to supplement state and local recovery
efforts in the area struck by severe storms and a tornado on September
20, 2000.
The President's action makes Federal funding available to affected
individuals in Greene County. Assistance can include disaster housing,
grants, low-cost loans to cover uninsured property losses, and other
programs to help individuals and business owners recover from the
effects of the disaster. Federal funding is also available on a cost
share basis for hazard mitigation measures.
James L. Witt, Director of the Federal Emergency Management Agency
(FEMA), named Louis Botta as the Federal Coordinating Officer for
Federal recovery operations in the affected area. The agency said that
damage surveys are continuing in other areas, and additional assistance
and counties may be added after the assessments are completed
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=> Links Area
Atlantic
Hurricane Isaac was located in the mid-Atlantic near 18.8N 44.4W at 15:00
UTC. Isaac has been moving in a west-northwesterly direction at 10 knots
with maximum sustained winds estimated at 80 knots, gusts to 95 knots. Joyce
formed as a depression on 25 September and strengthened overnight. Joyce was
located
near 11.7N 34.9W at 15:00 UTC. The storm has been moving in a westerly
direction at 12 knots with maximum sustained winds estimated at 35 knots,
gusts to 45 knots.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Tropical/Atlantic/TRCisaac270_MT.jpg
Louisiana, Texas
Several heat signatures are visible from fires burning in the coastal areas
of Louisiana and Texas. Smoke plumes from the fires trail out over the Gulf
of Mexico.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Fires/US_Southeast/FSMHSusLA269_N2.jpg
Manitoba, North Dakota
Several heat signatures and smoke plumes are visible from fires burning in
southern Manitoba, Canada, and northeastern North Dakota, United States.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Fires/US_Plains/FSMHSusND269_N2.jpg
Idaho
Several heat signatures and smoke plumes are visible from fires burning in
northern Idaho.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Fires/US_Northwest/FSMHSusID270_N2.jpg
Africa, Atlantic, Pacific
"First image swath transmitted by the Advanced Microwave Sounder Unit,
Sensor B (AMSU-B) on board the recently-launched NOAA-16
polar orbiting satellite. Friday, 22 September 2000, 13:00 to 15:00 UTC, 15
km. resolution. The AMSU-B sensor detects microwave radiation
at five wavelenghts (channels). This image contains data from channel 1 (89
GHz). The other four channels are similar in appearance
but differ in the atmospheric and surface processes they reveal. This first
image was processed by the NOAA/NESDIS Offices of Systems Development (OSD)
and Satellite Operations (OSO)"
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Unique/Other/UNIamsub266_N6.gif
Antarctica, Australia, Brazil, Western Pacific
"First image swath transmitted by the Advanced Microwave Sounder Unit,
Sensor A (AMSU-A) on board the recently-launched NOAA-16 polar orbiting
satellite. Tuesday, 26 September 2000, 16:00 to 17:00 UTC, 45 km.
resolution. The AMSU-A sensor detects microwave radiation at fifteen
wavelenghts (channels). This image contains four channels of data in four
panels. The other channels are similar in appearance but differ in the
atmospheric and surface processes they reveal. These images were
processed by the NOAA/NESDIS Offices of Systems Development (OSD) and
Satellite Operations (OSO)"
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Unique/Other/UNIamsua3270_N6.gif
=> How to Be Featured as our Guest Columnist
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