NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
200 PM EDT MON AUG 7 2000
..WORK ZONES BY 330 PM...
..ZONES BY 350 PM...
..CHANGES...
CURRENT FCST LOOKS GOOD. WILL MAINLY KEEP THINGS CLOSE TO WHAT WE
HAVE NOW...BUT CUT POPS OUT FOR MANY AREAS ON TUE.
..DISC...
..SHORT TERM...
LOTS OF CLDS...FAIRLY WARM AT MID LEVELS...AND LACK OF SURFACE
CONVERGENCE...HAS KEPT STORMS FROM FORMING. BEST CHC WOULD BE FAR
SE NEXT FEW HOURS...WHERE THERE IS A LITTLE CONVERGENCE. WILL KEEP
CHC SHOWERS IN NW...AND CHC SHOWERS/STORMS IN OTHER AREAS...EARLY ON.
..LONG TERM...
ETA STILL WANTS TO MOVE ANOTHER STRONG CLUSTER OF STORMS TOWARD W PA
LATE TUE. AS LAST NIGHT...HINTS THAT QPF FIELD WOULD
SPLIT...HEAVIEST ACROSS S PA...AND SOME UP TOWARD THE NY/PA BORDER.
SYSTEMS SEEM TO PLAY ON MOISTURE TO THE SOUTH...AND BETTERN WIND
FIELDS TO THE N.
THINK ETA PUTS TOO MUCH WEIGHT ON NORTHERN VORT MAX...AND AGREE WITH
MODEL DISC. THAT ACTION WILL TRACK FURTHER S. THUS WILL GO WITH CHC
TUE NIGHT AND WED...BUT FAR NW/SW AREAS...WHERE LIKELY SHOULD WORK.
BOTH MODELS HINT THAT MAIN MCS WOULD TURN TO THE RIGHT AND STAY
MAINLY TO THE SW OF C PA. A FEW MORE SHOWERS/STORMS CUTTING ACROSS
NY/N PA...AS WAS THE CASE LAST NIGHT.
CHC STILL WED/THU. SYSTEM WANTS TO CUTOFF FOR END OF WEEK...THUS
CHC INTO FRIDAY AND SAT. BETTER WX FOR SUNDAY.
THAT MAY BE SHORT LIVED...AS AT 240 HRS OUT...MRF HAS VERY FAST FLOW
BETWEEN UPPER LVL RIDGE AND VORTEX...WILL LEAVE IN THE WX WAR ZONE.
WHAT ELSE IS NEW FOR THIS STORMY SUMMER hello, It looks like the next few hours look good but some storms fireing south of us and east in york pa.
_______________________________________________________________________
Free Unlimited Internet Access! Try it now!
http://www.zdnet.com/downloads/altavista/index.html
_______________________________________________________________________
===================================================
CASI StormReports Email List
TOO MUCH StormReport EMAIL?
Set yourself to "Digest" to receive only ONE Email per day!
http://stormreports{at}casi-internal
CASI StormReports Administration Addresses:
Post message: stormreports{at}casi-internal
UNSUBSCRIBE: stormreports-unsubscribe{at}egroups.com OR
http://stormreports{at}casi-internal
ReSubscribe: stormreports-subscribe{at}egroups.com OR
http://stormreports{at}casi-internal
List owner: stormreports-owner{at}egroups.com
TO CHANGE YOUR ADDRESS PLEASE UNSUBSCRIBE THEN RESUBSCRIBE
Posting Suggestions URL:
http://www.weatherwatchers.org/members/casisr.html
===================================================
This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Thu Aug 31 2000 - 21:00:25 EDT