Some URL's about Bonnie: Storm Batters Wilmington (thanks Bill Harrell) http://starnews.wilmington.net/daily/08271998/front_pa/2035.htm http://starnews.wilmington.net/daily/08271998/local_st/local_st.htm CNN Coverage: http://www.cnn.com/WEATHER/9808/27/bonnie.03/ (more links at bottom of page under "Related Stories" Also read about Hurricane Danielle, which is taking the same path of Bonnie and is now northeast of Puerto Rico: http://cnn.com/WEATHER/9808/27/hurricane.danielle.03/index.html Member Reports: --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 07:47:35 EDT From: Littflowr1{at}aol.com To: j{at}weatherwatchers.org Update from Cumberland County NC We came thru this great,,,sporadic power outages reported in county, some trees down, but no where near the damage of Fran. At 7:41 am, still heavy cloud cover and windy, gusts at up to 15 to 20 miles per hour reported in my area of Fayetteville, stronger in other areas. Rain has been on and off all night,,the heaviest was at about 3Pm yesterday. We are looking forward to saying good bye to Bonnie and turning our attention to Danielle. That is if Bonnie ever decides to leave the NC coast. Vincenza and Alex Carter --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 12:26:22 -0400 From: Charles Anzman <sbccomp{at}sbccomputer.com> Organization: SBC To: casilist{at}weatherwatchers.org Well crew, as earlier reported, when we were down sunning in Point Pleasant, the Coast Guard (and a few choppers) flew over to a rescue, of what was supposedly a swimmer taken out to sea by the rip-tide. WCBS radio this morning is reporting that the entire thing may have been a hoax??!!. Evidentally this 'young man' was about to face numerous charges in Bergen County, NJ (not the least of which was 'assault')... The event was reported by his fiancee (who is now also missing). Looks like the worst is past... Quick recovery for those that lost power....etc (Been there, done that...NOT fun).. Charlie http://www.sbccomputer.com/vidcam.html --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 16:33:15 -0400 From: "Mike Reddin" <mreddin{at}nii.net> To: <j{at}weatherwatchers.org> CC: <ne.weather{at}channel1.com> Tropical Storm Bonnie now located just south of Elizabeth City, NC is heading off to the Northeast at 10mph according to the NHC. They noted an increase in winds reported by buoy and Nexrad radar and improvement of the satellite imagery. This is because the eastern side of Bonnie is over water temps in the lower 80s, and just to it's north temps average around 79-81 for about 120 miles. Hence she may regain hurricane intensity tonight as it moves completely offshore. the ETA and NOGAPS show Bonnie heading NE or even NNE and move it across Cape Cod on Saturday [Nogaps a bit slower than the ETA but identical tracks]. The AVN shows Bonnie passing over Nantucket [roughly 41/70] and passing about 30nm south of Chatam in 48 hours. The NHC has extended Tropical Storm warnings to Watch Hill Rhode Island and Watches to Plymouth Massachusetts. Their favoring their GFDL model and have their track for Bonnie passing through 40.7N 69.7 W, thats about 60NM southeast of Nantucket as it then turns more ENE. The wind field [which will likely expand with time] would clip the warned area with 34-50kt winds and maybe the islands might get brushed with 50-65kt wind field. Obviously if Bonnie does stay on the more northerly track and strikes Cape Cod, there will need to be an extension of advisories. The big news story here will not be the winds but the potential for flooding rains. The ETA model cranks out 3+" of rainfall in a 12-18 hour time period with the local weather service office anticipating much higher amounts possible if the ETA's predications ring true. This means the track would need to be over or near the Cape with the storm maintaining it's current structure. Well while the track is questionable [linear persistence at 45 degrees takes the storm over the Cape at this time], the storm structure is not only intact but improving at the moment.. if this trend continues and the 35-45 degree motion holds, then most of eastern Mass, RI, southern CT and especially the Cape maybe under the gun for serious rainfall and strong gusty winds. Obviously nothing like what North Carolina got but still deserves serious consideration. Mike Reddin