NEW IMAGES: NEXRAD 1Hour Precip, StormTotal, Reflectivity, Comp. Reflectivity - Capture from AccuWeather software at 10:47pm for Morehead City NC, this is a temporary image just for you guys' info: http://www.weatherwatchers.org/temp/241z.gif NEXRAD Reflectivity Output from Morehead City Radar at 8:40pm from actual 88D output courtesy Powell Way http://www.weatherwatchers.org/temp/Storm.gif I am also getting ready to update the thumbnail picture and CASI Tracker at http://www.weatherwatchers.org/tropical/1998/2/ as we speak... Sorry I've been "out of it" for the last few hourse folks, I just couldn't stay awake anymore after being up since 2am. Getting older ;) Keep in mind that as Bill Harrell reminds me, this is 3 hurricanes in 3 years for landfall near ILM. Will this year be another '96? Who knows but it's not starting out good... http://www.weatherwatchers.org/carolina/nchurricanes/ Now I am back awake for an update... here are a plethora of messages from members, starting out with a note from Mike that casi.homesite.net is updated again, check it out! Status of the storm: moving very slowly, will cause massive amounts of rain and flooding over E. NC tonight and tomorrow. 180,000 without power. =================================================================== http://casi.homesite.net Wow, I hope someone is actually looking at this website, as I've spent my entire time at work working on it, doh! (Good thing I'm the owner). ;) As many of you know, there is a significant difference between the Hurricane Center's forecast track and many of the other short range and medium range models. ETA/AVN keeps Bonnie along the coast then at 72 hours moves it to southern New England, making a secondary landfall around Narragansett Bay, RI. NGM is on it's own by racing Bonnie ahead of the trof, passing near 40N/70W and hitting eastern Mass and the Cape with flooding rains and gusty winds. The Navy NOGAPS and the NHC's GFDL hooks it northeast and accelerates it well south of the cape. The main concern with the ETA/AVN scenario is not so much the New England connection but the fact that you have a slowly weakening Cat-3 hurricane sitting along the coast for almost 2 days!! Anyways for complete details and comparison photos visit cassia.homesite.net I also started linking archives for buoy data, recon flights and your own reports your mailing off to J. Please let me know if for some reason you do not want a report appearing on the website. Mike Reddin =================================================================== Organization: William N. Harrell, Jr. To: j{at}weatherwatchers.org will email a report Bottom Line: Wind Damage, Cat 1 level, except within 1/2 mile of beachfront, there were some uprooted trees within .5 mile of beach in New Hanover Storm Surge Cat 2 Level avged about 6-8 feet Only minor complete ocean overwash Most flooding came in the back way from the sounds (not due to wind, but because sound side of WB and along waterway is lower than dune line) Media has overhyped this one Only twice had to slow to crawl on I-40 At 700pm, eyewall ended about Burgaw, last of blustery effects about Rose Hill more later Big threat may be inland rain, 12inches in Lumberton already as of right now, a filled eye centered about over WRightsville when I was in New Hanover County 4-630pm, there was a big lull on the edge of the ragged eye, certainly not a classic CDO like in Fran, more like Bertha. HEADLINE: BONNIE SCORES 3 FOR 3 ON WILMINGTON: 3rd Landfalling Hurricane there in 3 year. Hurricane Mecca Bill Wed, 26 Aug 1998 22:16:41 =================================================================== >> Hi , >> I am in Central Maryland . And our sky's are blue it looks to be a great >> day ! ...but that high overcast in MD is definitely Bonnie's outer cloud shield!!! --Herb c/o Mid-Atlantic Wx Station http://members.aol.com/herb0412/index.html =================================================================== Subject: Unofficial Storm Report on Tornado Touchdown in Riverdale Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 17:21:50 -0400 (EDT) From: CASI-South <stormchaser{at}coastalnet.com> To: J <j{at}weatherwatchers.org> We have had a Tornado to touchdown in Riverdale this afternoon, with more Tornado Warnings being issued for other cities as I type this message. The destruction in Riverdale was not that bad, as there were some limbs down and power lines down, but for the most part no real structural damage. One house was knocked off of its foundation according to Emergency Services reports. More later............. ---Chris Phillips =================================================================== From: Francis Duval <FDuval{at}flosc.net> Organization: Stom Trackers To: Just a note from Darlington SC. Bonnie has not been much of a problem to us.Only wind up to 40mph and .18 of rain. We think the worst is over.Good luck to all who are in the path of the storm. =================================================================== From: rlf <rlf{at}sccoast.net> Organization: SCCoast.Net To: J <j{at}weatherwatchers.org> Jesse, I'm 5 miles south of the NC border on Hwy 76 and about 45 miles inland from North Myrtle Beach. Power just came back on, it was out since 11:30 AM. Had several hours of sustained winds of 25-30 with high gust of 49. Local TV reports pretty extensive damage from Little River south to at least Surfside Beach. Details still sketchy. Ron =================================================================== From: "Mike Reddin" <mreddin{at}nii.net> To: <j{at}weatherwatchers.org> CC: <ne.weather{at}channel1.com> Based on the loop of Bonnie over the last 4 hours, Radar loops from Intellicast and the last couple of Recon reports, I believe Bonnie may be executing a tight loop along the coastline, now about 15-20 miles east of Cape Fear, apparent motion looks to be east-northeast at speeds of about 5-8 knots max. This *might* give weight to the predictions of the AVN/ETA from this morning's run and right now ETA NAILED the 00z position better than any model [especially the TPC's GFDL]. The other option is that it has stalled and is meerly wobbling, but again that gives in to the ETA/AVN senario but only time will tell. Another interesting thing to point out is the cirrus outflow and outer feeder bands are advancing north/northwestward slowly but steadily into West Virginia to Central PA. This really should not be occuring if the westerlies were poised to crash the 500mb ridge. Instead, it appears the ridge is forcing moisture northwestward and it is overrunning a convergence zone (surface and aloft) from WV to MA. This zone should be pushing southeast per the NHC/TPC's expectations, but looking at regional radar and the enhancement on satellite, the zone is stationary in MA and retreating westward slowly elsewhere. This tells me that the shortwave is now north of Bonnie and is passing her by, though a mean trough persists at about 85/90W at 500mb. Thoughts or opinions, where are you Gary Gray?? ;) "My Bonnie lies over the ocean, my Bonnie may go out to sea, my bonnie lies over the ocean, or will the ridge bring her back to me??" Mike Mike Reddin =================================================================== Subject: Member Storm Report-Fayetteville/Hope Mills Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 20:24:53 EDT From: SVRStorms{at}aol.com To: stormreport{at}weatherwatchers.org From: Douglas Bennett Location: Fayetteville/Hope Mills As of 2000hrs, 26AUG98, we have been receiving steady, moderate rain for several hours which has now surpassed 2 inches. Sustained winds have been in the 30-35mph range for three hours with consistant gusts in the range of 49-55mph. We've had reports of downed trees and powerlines with some intermitant power outages. In addition, a construction site was damaged (collapsed walls) in Hope Mills. However, no major damage has been reported at this time. A curfew has been established in the area so I won't be able to survey the situation until morning. =================================================================== Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 18:02:46 -0700 From: "JimmieBise,Jr" <jimmiebjr{at}olg.com> To: "J" <j{at}weatherwatchers.org> A report from here in Southern Maryland. Skies are clouding up quickly, and temps remain in the low 90's with high humidity. Looks to be perhaps a storm band from Bonnie, perhaps. The clouds are piling up from the horizon and the winds are picking up as well. I don't have access to any weather instruments from my e-mail position, so I apologize for not being more specific. I'd expect conditions to change more quickly farther to the south, along the Potomac River and Chesapeake Bay. -Jim Bise, Jr. =================================================================== ---------------------------------------------------------------------