CASILIST : Hurricane Bonnie update
From: J <j{at}weatherwatchers.org>
Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 05:55:47 -0400
At this time the NHC's forecast shows the storm pointing towards
Charleston SC at the end of the forecast period, 72 hours. AccuWeather
shows the storm pointing at Wilmington NC. Neither predicts what it
will do after that point, that point being where the storm is 100 to 300
miles offshore. The WeatherUnderground has the storm coming ashore in
Wilmington NC. These are a few of the predictions. But, the weather
forecast models took yet another turn last night and are now mostly
predicting the storm to scrape the shore, enough to bring some Tropical
Storm force winds to NC, but to not come on shore. Its closest pass or
landfall will likely be late Wed. or Thur, maybe even later if it
doesn't get going - moving at 5mph this morning.
So once again - no one knows. Except that we do not that it's not
definite that it will miss us - so keep an eye on it. I'll be sending a
more comprehensive report when I get home from work today along with the
5pm update.
Bonnie's winds have not increased in the past 18 hours and her pressure
is rising. The eyewall has even disappeared temporarily. This could be
partially due to the fact that she has cooled the water underneath her
by blocking the sunlight and even upwelling cooler waters. If she gets
moving again then there might be a chance for a little more
strengthening.
http://www.weatherwatchers.org/tropical/
--
==============================================================
Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j{at}weatherwatchers.org
Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org
"They're not who we're looking for; they're just meteorologists-
storm chasers." --Peter Watts, "Millennium" || ICQ No. 136832 ||