CASILIST : Final Thoughts on Bonnie/Charley
From: J <j{at}weatherwatchers.org>
Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 00:06:42 -0400

Well I have to get some sleep eventually. I will probably get up for the 5am statements then take a nap until the 11's. ;) To keep up with the storm, keep your eye on http://casi.homesite.net/ http://www.weatherwatchers.org/tropical/ (which also links to other CASI Members' Tropical Pages) And for satellites I sure have been having fun with Basically best estimations at this time is that Bonnie is going to increase in strength and hammer some portion of the Bahamas tomorrow, then threaten the SouthEast US Coast. She is already practically a hurricane and surely will be declared one at 5am. According to the Sea Surface Temperature Map at http://www.fnoc.navy.mil/otis/otis_nrus_sst.gif Bonnie will be going through warm waters for a while, though not as warm as today. I think rapid strengthening will be likely but maybe not as soon as some people are callilng for. Bonnie does have the potential to become a major hurricane. Where she will hit (or not) is still a guessing game - but this afternoon the Hurricane Center's GFDL model was still calling for much more chance of landfall than the other forecast models. Charley will be over with by this time tomorrow night, having dropped 4-8" of rain over Texas. The "tropical wave" behind Bonnie may soon be declared a Tropical Depression. The Hurricane Center is always hesitant to name a storm without "wind proof" however it looks quite impressive on satellite. -- ============================================================== Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j{at}weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "Andy Warhol had it wrong, Everyone will be famous for 15 minutes *and* have their own Web page." --William Shatner || ICQ No. 136832 ||