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WeatherMatrix
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Prohibited. Usage logged.
From: admin-auto{at}weathermatrix.net
Date: Fri Apr 09 2004 - 05:57:00 EDT
-- THIS IS A *SUMMARY ONLY* TO SEE COMPLETE ARTICLE PLEASE SEE BOTTOM OF EMAIL --
HEADLINES:
Severe Weather Episode Taking Shape Over South Central U.S.; Same System
(With Associated Upper Air Disturbance) Threatens To Bring Widespread Heavy
Rainfall Across Much Of Dixie, Appalachia And East Coast
EXPECTED NORTH AMERICA SEVERE OR EXTREME WEATHER NEXT 24 HOURS:
SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK below for details.
Another aspect of the growing storm is the shield of heavy rainfall, already
taking shape over the central U.S. Today and tomorrow, the northern fringes of
the stratiform precipitation may mix with or occasionally change to wet snow
and sleet, but the important accumulations of the white stuff will be limited
to higher elevations of CO....WY....and the NE Panhandle. In the cold and
overrunning sectors of the developing cyclone, 1-3" of rainfall could occur,
involving much of the "Arklatex" vicinity and the lower Tennessee Valley into lower
Appalachia. A breakaway impulse should spread a quick hit of moderate rains
through the Piedmont and Atlantic Coastal Plain, reaching New England on Sunday
night.
Contrasting with the widespread colder air over the Great Plains and Midwest,
ridging along the Continental Divide should reestablish warm and dry
conditions over the western third of the nation by Day 3. I do not see the "false
summer" returning to the Rocky Mountains and High Plains until far into the medium
range, however. Another shortwave is forecast to drop into the mean 500MB
trough, bringing more cooling with some showers and thunder to NE....KS....OK on
April 11.
Short-Range Numerical Weather Prediction Models
(red dot indicates preferred model)
______________________________________________________________________
Tabular NGM and ETA FOUS Output
RUC ETA. ETA 06z ETA 18z NGM GFS-5
RGEM. SREF MM5 CRAS UKMET COAMPS BAMex
______________________________________________________________________
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______________________________________________________________________
SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
(potential for tornadoes, damaging winds, and large hail within the next 24
hours)
ISOLATED Severe Thunderstorms
(Microbursts, Large Hail, Isolated Tornadoes)
AZ....C, S NM....N TX....OK....W AR
STORM CHASER TARGET CITY: Shawnee OK
(Saturday)
SCATTERED Severe Thunderstorms
(Microbursts, Large Hail, Tornadoes)
extreme SE OK....C, E TX....LA....S AR....MS....N AL
STORM CHASER TARGET CITY: Mansfield LA
(Sunday)
SCATTERED Severe Thunderstorms
(Microbursts, Large Hail, Tornadoes)
extreme SE LA....S MS....S AL....FL....S, C GA....S SC
STORM CHASER TARGET CITIES: Mary Esther FL and Ybor City FL
HEAVY RAINFALL OUTLOOK
(potential for an inch or more total rainfall within the next 24 hours)
Isolated Locations In
WY....CO....NE....KS....OK....N TX
(QPF 1-3) (4-12" Snow Possible In WY....CO....W NE)
--This daily* summary is made possible by WeatherMatrix using the "WEATHERAmerica" email list which is authored by WeatherMatrix Member Larry Cosgrove
To see the full text of today's WEATHERAmerica Newsletter, see: http://www.weathermatrix.net/archive/wxamerica/0000.shtml
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The WEATHERAmerica Newsletter and Excerpts Thereof (C) 2002 Larry Cosgrove
Due to circumstances beyond our control, this newsletter is not guaranteed daily.
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