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WeatherMatrix
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From: Thomas Giella KN4LF (kn4lf{at}tampabay.rr.com)
Date: Thu Dec 04 2003 - 11:52:08 EST
Florida Daily Weather Discussion
#2003-55 Published 12/04/03 At 12:00 PM
The cold spot in the state this morning was 46 deg. at Darby, Holder and
East Nobleton on the central peninsula. Here in SW Plant City I had a
reading of 54 deg. Up north Marianna had 50 deg. and down south Immokalee
had 52 deg.
We should see an increase in low and mid level moisture and above normal
temperature on a breezy SE-SW wind ahead of the next cold front during the
next 36 hour period. The cold front will sweep across the state on
Friday-Saturday 12/05-06/03 ushering in another cold spell through Monday
12/08/03. I expect subfreezing temperatures to visit portions of the inland
rural peninsula on Monday morning north of S.R. 50.
As I mentioned before I expect the month of December 2003 to be much colder
and wetter then November. Temperature will average out a little below normal
and precipitation a little above normal. Why? The North Atlantic Oscillation
will swing back into a negative phase, which always produces colder then
normal temperature in the Eastern U.S.
El Nino continues to slowly strengthen but will probably not impact our
sensible weather in the form of a consistent cool and wet period until the
latter part of January through March 2004. That leaves us vulnerable to crop
damaging freezes between mid December and mid January.
As of this morning we have an out of season tropical depression #20 that has
formed south of the Greater Antilles. It may become a short lived Tropical
Storm Odette and track NE across the big island of Hispaniola then get
chewed apart by strong westerly wind shear north of the big islands. A named
storm in December is unusual but not unprecedented.
West Central Florida area minimum temperatures early this morning were:
54 Suburban SW Plant City
51 Rural West Plant City
49 Rural North Plant City (Knights Station)
54 Urban Climate Station Plant City
51 Suburban East Tampa Vandenberg Airport
55 Rural FAWN Station Dover
49 Suburban Lakeland Linder Airport
55 Suburban NWS Office Ruskin
58 Rural Balm
46 Rural Darby
MM Rural NE Zephyrhills
57 Urban Brooksville
51 Suburban Brooksville Airport
49 Rural FAWN Nobleton
46 Rural East Nobleton
MM Rural Nobleton
46 Rural Holder
59 Urban & Coastal Tampa Intl Airport
60 Urban & Coastal Mac Dill AFB
MM Suburban Kenneth City
60 Urban & Coastal St. Pete/Clearwater Intl Airport
63 Urban & Coastal St. Pete Albert Whitted Airport
56 Suburban Sarasota/Bradenton Airport
Happy Holidays,
Thomas F. Giella
Retired Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster
SKYWARN Observer HIL-249
Plant City, FL, USA
Florida Space & Atmospheric Weather Institute:
http://www.kn4lf.com/fsawi.htm
Florida Daily Weather Discussion:
http://www.kn4lf.com/sub/fmci17.htm
KN4LF Daily Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Data Archive
Plus Daily HF/MF Radio Propagation Outlook:
http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf5.htm
Standard Disclaimer
NOTE! As I officially retired from "for profit" space and atmospheric
weather forecasting in 2000, I do not have the resources and time available
to conduct an in depth daily Meteorological synoptic analysis, therefore my
day to day accuracy will be less then in past years, when I had a 48 hour
forecast accuracy in the high 90% range. This discussion is billed as daily
and I generally will post at 11:00 AM and then when further updates are
necessary. On some days I will not make a post, it will always depend on
current weather events.
Also as the science of Meteorology and Weather Forecasting is still and
inexact science, these not for profit discussions, forecasts and outlooks
are not for use in lieu of official sources, are not for protection of life
or property, are for educational purposes only and are subject to human
error and acts of God, therefore no guarantee or warranty implied. This site
and all discussions, forecasts and outlooks herein is my intellectual
property and copyrighted © 1988-2003 by Thomas F. Giella and the Florida
Space And Atmospheric Weather Institute, all rights reserved. Reproduction
of information herein is allowed as long as proper credit is given.
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