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WeatherMatrix
© 2002 WeatherMatrix.Net - Redistribution
Prohibited. Usage logged.
From: smwincva_wxman{at}webtv.net
Date: Mon Sep 15 2003 - 22:10:50 EDT
Winchester (nw) VA
I have compiled the following information on the potential landfall of
Hurricane Isabel Thursday. Some of this information is redundant to
regular weather watchers. But this information is also for those who may
not follow weather on a daily basis. Please feel free to forward this
message to those who may benefit from it.
I asked earlier today about what might fly away (outside) in minimal
hurricane conditions (possible here early Fri am), and several replies
were to the effect of "BRING IT ALL IN". I'll post replies Tuesday
night.
Also Tuesday evening i will work on local media links in either the
hurricane watch zone or forecasted impact zone.
Steve Minghini
========
National Hurricane Center
Public statement on Isabel
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3+shtml/142042.shtml?
Other items offered in NHC products:
Discussion is technical, but easy to understand if you have any
knowledge on weather.
Forecast/Advisory describes wind field forecast,
Probabilities shows the chance a tropical system will pass
within 65 miles of a given point within 72 hours. Primary used by
emergency managers.
Maps/Charts Shows the forecast track of a storm, and it's
strength.
Archive- Past statements on the storm
All products are updated at 5am, 11am, 5pm, 11pm. Some products are
issued more often once watches/warnings are issued.
======
Several meteorolgists offer their insights in daily discussions.
Larry Cosgrove (WeatherAMERICA newsletter)
http://www.weathermatrix.net/archive/wxamerica/0000.shtml
Gary Gray
http://www.millenniumweather.com/tropical/discuss.html
Robert Lightbrown
http://www.crownweather.com/tropical.html
========
Model Forecasts
Description of models used http://www.hurricanealley.net/hurmdls.htm
Tropical http://files.hurricanealley.net/storms/13LTRP.html
Global Models
http://files.hurricanealley.net/storms/13LGLB.html
Models Ensemble
http://files.hurricanealley.net/storms/13LENS.html
Additional info
http://files.hurricanealley.net/storms/13L.html
======
Web sites/tropical links
( I only have included a few, there are many fine sites)
AccuWeather.com
http://hurricane.accuweather.com/adcbin/hurricane/storms.asp?ocean=atlantic&storm=Isabel
Intellicast
http://www.intellicast.com/Local/USNationalStd.asp?loc=usa&seg=StormCenter&prodgrp=Tropical&product=ActiveTropical&prodnav=none&pid=none
Lou's Weather Watch
http://community-2.webtv.net/ltursi/LOUSWEATHERWATCH/index.html
Weather.com (The Weather Channel)
http://www.weather.com/newscenter/tropical/
Weather Matrix
http://www.weathermatrix.com/tropical/
Weather Underground
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/
=======
The NWS said only 2 other hurricanes have a similar intensity at
landfall then w/ track toward Washington DC. They are the Chesapeake
Potomac Hurricane of 1933, and Hazel in Oct 1954.
Read more about mid Atlantic hurricanes:
>From Greg Keefer's website, a NWS observer for the Hagerstown MD area
http://www.i4weather.net/hazel.html
Infamous Hurricanes, from the NHC website, w/ info on Hazel
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/HAW2/english/history.shtml
History of Virginia Hurricanes
http://www.vaemergency.com/library/vahurr/va-hurr.htm
More history, HPC
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/research/roth/vahur.htm
=========
High Resolution satellite images of Isabell
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Current/
The "stadium affect" describes the sharp cutoff of storm clouds on the
eyewall. Image from Saturday 9/13:
http://home.earthlink.net/~pjrohio/weather/ESSI/ISABEL/2003_09/Date_13/is4_1115.jpg
======
Local National Weather Service websites
PA
Mt. Holly (Philadelphia)
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/phi/
State College
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/ctp/
NC:
Newport/Morehead City
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/mhx/index.html
Raleigh
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/rah/index.html
Wilmington
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/ilm/
VA:
Blacksburg (Roanoke)
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/rnk/
Sterling (Baltimore/Washington)
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/lwx/
Wakefield (Norfolk)
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/akq/
Click on the map at http://www.weather.gov/ and that will take you to
local websites also.
========
Emergency Information websites
Official Websites
MD:
Hurricane Prepareness
http://www.mema.state.md.us/hazard_hurricane.html
main page
http://www.mema.state.md.us/
VA:
http://www.vdem.state.va.us/
Norfolk (VA) EOC
http://www.norfolk.gov/Emergency/
PA:
main page:
http://www.pema.state.pa.us/
Disaster Prepareness
http://www.pema.state.pa.us/pema/cwp/view.asp?A=566&QUESTION_ID=254845
NC
North Carolina Emergency Management Operations Center probally would
have info. However with searches at MSN & Google, I could not find it.
Local Info for the Outer Banks:
Dare Co. (Nags Head area)
http://208.11.168.6/EmgyMgmt/Alert/index.asp
Carteret Co (Morehead City area)
http://www.co.carteret.nc.us/hurricane/hurricane.htm
Washington DC
http://www.washingtondc.gov
Emergency Preparedness
http://dc.gov/citizen/preparedness/index.shtm
FEMA:
http://www.fema.gov/
American Red Cross
http://www.redcross.org/home/
Other websites:
Public Safety and Emergency Management
http://www.statelocalgov.net/topic-safety.htm
Disaster Center
http://www.disastercenter.com/
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