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[STORMREPORTS] Hurricane-Cyclone Strikes Brazil / Scientists Baffled / Meteorologists Disagree...

From: PjrOhio{at}EarthLink.Net
Date: Sat Mar 27 2004 - 18:57:20 EST


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Here are a few News Search links and
some select articles from this morning:

 Google News Search:
 http://tinyurl.com/2a33f

 YaHoo News Search:
 http://tinyurl.com/22qcn

 _________________________________________

  Posted on Fri, Mar. 26, 2004

  Surprise! Hurricane forms off Brazilian coast

  By MARTIN MERZER
  mmerzer{at}herald.com

  Extraordinarily surprised forecasters at the
  National Hurricane Center scrambled Friday to
  help Brazilian meteorologists track the first
  hurricane ever reported in the South Atlantic.

  The stealth hurricane, located about 275 miles
  off Brazil's southern coast, has no name because
  it's not supposed to be there. No one was even
  sure who was responsible to track it.

  "It appears that we have our first ever South
  Atlantic hurricane, at least the first we know of,"
  said Jack Beven, a forecaster at the hurricane
  center in West Miami-Dade County. "We're all kind
  of scratching our heads over here. We're not
  exactly geared up for this area."

  Data about the storm were scarce, but Beven said
  he believed it was a minimal Category 1 hurricane,
  with wind of 74-95 mph. It appeared to be drifting
  slowly toward Brazil, but it was too early to say
  if it would strike land.

  He said forecasters at the hurricane center were
  attempting to help Brazilian meteorologists, who
  may have other things to worry about but have
  never before seen a hurricane.

  "We know there hasn't been a hurricane in that
  area since at least the satellite era, the mid-60s
  at the minimum," Beven said.

  He emphasized that the storm was a meteorological
  curiosity and had nothing to do with South Florida's
  week of wind or chances of getting struck by a
  hurricane this year. Our six-month hurricane season
  begins June 1.

  "This has no predictive value at all for the normal
  Atlantic season," he said.

  ___________________________________________

 Powerful Storm Hits Southern Brazil Coast

 Saturday, March 27, 2004

 By BERND RADOWITZ

 RIO DE JANEIRO, Brazil - A large storm spiraled
 toward southern Brazil on Saturday as a debate
 raged between Brazilian and U.S. meteorologists
 over whether it was a hurricane.

 The U.S. National Hurricane Center in Florida
 estimated the storm was a full-fledged, Category I
 hurricane with winds of between 75 and 80 mph,
 making it the first hurricane ever spotted in the
 South Atlantic. AccuWeather, Inc., a private
 forecasting company, said it also considered the
 storm a hurricane.

 Brazilian scientists disagreed, saying the storm
 had top winds of 50 to 56 mph, far below the 75 mph
 threshold of a hurricane. The state of Santa Catarina
 put its civil defense on alert Saturday night,
 warning of high waves.

 The U.S. forecasters said the worst part of the storm
 would hit Brazil early Sunday somewhere between the
 cities of Florianopolis and Porto Allegre, a span of
 about 130 miles. The Brazilians said the storm could
 peter out before then.

"Winds and rains will not be significant, so we don't
 need to alarm the population," said meteorologist Dr.
 Gustavo Escobar of the Brazilian Center for Weather
 Prediction and Climatic Studies.

 U.S. scientists said they were baffled by the Brazilian
 position.

"We think the Brazilians are, quite frankly, out to
 lunch on this one," said Michael Sager, an AccuWeather
 meteorologist. "I think they're trying to play it down
 and not cause a panic. I don't know what they're doing,
 but they're obviously wrong."

 All sides said they were basing their estimates on
 satellite data, since the United States has no hurricane
 hunter airplanes in the area and Brazil doesn't own any.

 Satellite images showed a spiral-shaped mass of clouds
 with an open area in the center. Escobar called it an
 "extra-tropical cyclone."

 Sager said the storm had a clear, well-defined eye and
 that it had lasted for more than 36 hours. Storms that
 are not hurricane-strength sometimes form strong eyes,
 but not for that long, he said.

 Kelen Andrade, another meteorologist with the Brazilian
 center, said the storm was swirling only in a clockwise
 motion and was not showing motion in the opposite
 direction at higher altitudes, another mark of a
 hurricane. Sager disagreed.

"If you know what you're looking at, you can see that
 counterrotating quite readily," he said.

 He predicted the storm would make landfall at hurricane
 strength just before dawn near the town of Torres.

 Earlier Saturday, the outer edges of the storm brushed
 the coast of Brazil's southern Santa Catarina state with
 winds estimated at about 25-30 mph and moderate rains,
 Escobar said. The area is about 430 miles south of
 Rio de Janeiro.

 Winds in nearby Florianopolis, a city of 700,000, were
 only about 12 mph, rainfall was mild, and no damage was
 reported, said meteorologist Kelen Andrade.

 Jack Beven, a hurricane specialist at the National
 Hurricane Center in Miami, said the eye of the storm was
 near 29 degrees south latitude and 48 degrees west
 longitude by Saturday evening. That would place it about
 50 miles east of the city of Laguna.

"To us, it has all the satellite appearance and intensity
 of a hurricane," Beven said. "I don't know what data
(the Brazilians) are looking at. They may have data
 services locally that don't go out on the national data
 service."

 He said no agency is sending out regular hurricane
 advisories on the storm.

"Down there, this is such a rare and unique event. The
 whole situation is strange," Beven said. "We're trying
 to help out, but because of the uniqueness of this event,
 it may be out of their expertise to some degree."

  ___________________________________________

 28 Mar 2004 05:57:13 GMT

 Cyclone hits Brazil, 7 fishermen feared dead

 RIO DE JANEIRO, Brazil, March 28 (Reuters) -

 A rare cyclone bringing strong winds and rain may
 have killed seven fishermen and had damaged houses
 and caused blackouts on the southern coast of Brazil,
 civil defense officials said on Sunday.

 Brazil's official weather service has denied the
 weather phenomenon is a hurricane as U.S.
 meteorologists said earlier, but warned of gusty
 winds in the southern state of Santa Catarina on
 Sunday.

"The center of the cyclone is already above the ground
 in Santa Catarina and we have some municipalities
 without power, some roofs damaged by wind and by trees,"
 said Civil Defense Capt. Marcio Luiz Alves.

 He said one fishing boat sank on Saturday night and
 its crew of seven was missing.

"There are fears that they drowned, Also, there are four
 fishing boats in a critical situation as they cannot
 return to the shore due to the storm," Alves said.

 Wind speed in some areas of Santa Catarina reached over
 60 mph (100 kph), while waves reached to 16 feet
 (5 metres).

 Alves said an early storm warning allowed civil defense
 officials to warn residents and many had left the shore
 area.

 He said the storm was expected to lose its strength by
 the morning as it hit a mountain range.

 On Friday, the U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami
 said the first hurricane ever was forming in the south
 Atlantic off the coast of Brazil, classifying it as a
 Category 1 hurricane -- the least powerful on
 forecasters' five-level scale, with winds between 74 and
 95 mph (119 and 153 kph).

 Kelen Andrade, a meteorologist with the state Weather
 Forecasting and Climatic Studies Center said that while
 satellite images could have suggested a hurricane, more
 detailed studies showed an extratropical cyclone.

"Brazil has never had hurricanes and it is not having one
 now," she said, explaining the eye of a hurricane was
 hotter than its edges, while the center of an extratropical
 cyclone, which forms above colder waters, was cold.

 Wind speed in a cyclone also tended to be lower than that
 of a hurricane, weather officials said.

  ___________________________________________

  Tropical Storm Lashes Brazil, Kills One

  Sunday March 28, 2004 9:31 AM

  By BERND RADOWITZ

  Associated Press Writer

  RIO DE JANEIRO, Brazil (AP) - A child died in a collapsed
  house and seven fishermen were missing and feared dead
  early Sunday as a large spiraling storm lashed the coast
  of southern Brazil, Civil Defense officials said.

  Meanwhile, Brazilian and U.S. meteorologists disagreed
  over whether the storm was a hurricane - the first on
  record in the South Atlantic.

 "It has gotten more severe in the last two hours," said
  Santa Catarina state Civil Defense official Marcio Luiz
  Alves.

  He said a child died in a collapsed house when an area
  of beach resorts was hit by the high winds. A fishing
  vessel with seven people on board was missing, while four
  other vessels were struggling to get to shore, Alves said.

  The storm, dubbed Catarina by meteorologists, hit the
  coasts of Santa Catarina and Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil's
  southernmost states, late Saturday with heavy rains and
  winds of up to 60 mph.

  The storm damaged homes, downed trees and knocked out
  power for several hundred thousand people across some 40
  municipalities, according to civil defense officials in
  the two states.

 "We are now bracing for the worst, which could come in the
  next couple of hours," said Ariel Goncalves, a spokesman
  for the Rio Grande do Sul Civil Defense Agency.

  The storm hit land around the beach resort of Laguna, a
  town of 40,000 people. It also struck Torres, a city of
  400,000 in the neighboring state of Rio Grande do Sul.

  Laguna and Torres are about 500 miles south of Rio de
  Janeiro.

  Meanwhile, there was a debate among Brazilian and U.S.
  meteorologists over whether the storm was a hurricane.

  The U.S. National Hurricane Center in Florida estimated
  the storm was a full-fledged, Category I hurricane with
  central winds of between 75 and 80 mph, making it the
  first hurricane ever spotted in the South Atlantic.
  AccuWeather, Inc., a private forecasting company, said it
  also considered the storm a hurricane.

  Brazilian scientists disagreed, saying the storm had top
  winds of 50 to 56 mph, far below the 75 mph threshold of
  a hurricane.

 "Winds and rains will not be significant, so we don't need
  to alarm the population," meteorologist Dr. Gustavo
  Escobar of the Brazilian Center for Weather Prediction
  and Climatic Studies said earlier Saturday.

  U.S. meteorologists said they were baffled by the
  Brazilian position.

 "We think the Brazilians are, quite frankly, out to
  lunch on this one," said Michael Sager, an AccuWeather
  meteorologist. "I think they're trying to play it down
  and not cause a panic. I don't know what they're doing,
  but they're obviously wrong."

  All sides said they were basing their estimates on
  satellite data, since the United States has no hurricane
  hunter airplanes in the area and Brazil doesn't own any.

  Satellite images showed a spiral-shaped mass of clouds
  with an open area in the center. Escobar called it an
 "extra-tropical cyclone."
 
  Sager said the storm had a clear, well-defined eye and
  that it had lasted for more than 36 hours. Storms that
  are not hurricane-strength sometimes form strong eyes,
  but not for that long, he said.

  Kelen Andrade, another meteorologist with the Brazilian
  center, said the storm was swirling only in a clockwise
  motion and was not showing motion in the opposite
  direction at higher altitudes, another mark of a hurricane.
  Sager disagreed.

 "If you know what you're looking at, you can see that
  counterrotating quite readily," he said.

  Guardian Unlimited © Guardian Newspapers Limited 2004

.

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