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[STORMREPORTS] Florida Freezing Temperatures

From: Thomas Giella FMCI (fmci{at}tampabay.rr.com)
Date: Thu Jan 16 2003 - 16:13:24 EST


2003 Florida Daily Weather Discussion
http://www.kn4lf.com/sub/fmci17.htm

#2002-13 Published Thursday 01/16/03 At 11:00 AM EST

The cold spot in the state early this morning was 23 deg. at East Nobleton
in west central Florida and also 23 deg. at Venus on the south central
peninsula WNW of Lake Okeechobee. Nearby Archbold saw 29 deg. This is in the
heart of the new citrus growing region. The cold spot across the north was
24 deg. at Crestview, with the cold spot across the south at Clewiston and
Ortona with 39 deg.

In the Tampa Bay area the minimum temperatures early this morning were:

34 deg. Rural West Plant City
32 deg. Rural North Plant City (Knights Station)
39 deg. Urban Climate Station Plant City
35 deg. Suburban East Tampa Vandenberg Airport
37 deg. Rural FAWN Station Dover
40 deg. Suburban Lakeland Linder Airport
40 deg. Suburban NWS Tampa Bay Office Ruskin
41 deg. Rural Balm
43 deg. Urban/Coastal Tampa International Airport
45 deg. Urban/Coastal St. Pete/Clearwater Airport
44 deg. Urban/Coastal Mac Dill AFB
41 deg. Suburban Sarasota/Bradenton Airport
50 deg. Urban/Coastal St. Pete. Albert Whitted Airport

This Thursday afternoon 01/16/03 should see a brief temperature warm up into
the low to mid 70's BUT unfortunately the Arctic cold front will come
screaming into the state on early Friday morning, with high temperatures
occurring before sunrise, with a steady temperature fall during the day. The
central peninsula will see an advection (windy) freeze early Saturday
morning. Unfortunately advection freezes generally negate naturally warmer
locations near large bodies of water and even in urban locations, with hill
locations often colder then low spots and water irrigation systems less
effective.

Early Sunday morning 01/19/03 will also be very cold with a reinforcing shot
of Arctic air arriving, with another fast moving 500 mb shortwave trough,
creating an advective freeze situation possibility again. Also there is a
possibility of seeing some snow flurries across portions of the central
peninusula Sunday morning.

I still expect early Monday morning 01/20/03 to be the bitterly coldest
under radiational cooling conditions, with a hard freeze flirting with the
inland rural heart of the citrus industry from the south central peninsula
into the northern Everglades, with the subfreezing line extending southward
into the inland rural Redlands agricultural region SW of Miami.

Tuesday-Wednesday early mornings 01/21-22/03 look warmer but still cold.

Unfortunately it also appears that the third salvo of Arctic air that will
arrive for Thursday-Friday 01/23-24/03 MAY be even colder yet.

Thomas Giella
FL Meteorological & Climatic Institute
http://www.kn4lf.com/sub/fmci.htm

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