The USA Disaster Situation Report
The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report
For March 18, 2001
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
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IN THIS ISSUE
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=> USA Daily Temperature Extremes
=> Special Notes
=> Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:
=> Severe Weather Probability Forecast
=> Precipitation Forecast, Excessive Rainfall, Heavy Snow And/Or Significant
Icing Forecast
=> USA Flood Report
=> USA Fire Report and Forecast
=> USA Earthquake Report
=> Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports
=> Guest Column-
=> Sponsored by The Rothstein Catalog On Disaster Recovery
**** ARTICLES ****
=> Article How to Market to FEMA 25 Tips to Increase Your Chances of
Becoming a
FEMA Contractor
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=> Links Area
=> How to Be Featured as our Guest Columnist
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The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report
For March 18, 2001
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
------------------------------------------------------------
IN THIS ISSUE
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=> USA Daily Temperature Extremes
National Temperature Extremes
High Sat...90 At West Palm Beach FL
Low Sun...1 At Mora MN
=> Special Notes
Stratwarm Alert Exists Stratwarm Sunday
Comment: Lower Stratosphere circulation remains disturbed as a result of the
major warming.
Reversed temperature gradient up to 20 HPa. The vortex is weakening and
becoming less
disturbed. Slow transition to Summer conditions most probable.
Severe weather threat for central Florida Monday.
=> Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:
Active Warnings:
Updated Sun Mar 18 10:40:54 2001
Non Precipitation
Montana
STRONG WIND WILL DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
MONTANA LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY
Winter Storm
Oklahoma
Texas
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM OVER NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO WILL
MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST KANSAS BY SUNDAY MORNING.
=> Severe Weather Probability Forecast
The forecast probability of an event is by the stated percentage or greater
for the event, within 25 miles of any point for the area described.
Tornado Risk - Slight
There is less than a 2% probability of a tornado.
Hail Risk - Slight
There is less than a 5% probability of hail 3/4 inch or larger.
Wind Risk - Slight
There is a 5% probability of winds in excess of 50 knots over southern
Florida.
Tomorrow's Risk -
There is a 5% probability of any severe weather tomorrow over Florida except
the far northern part
of the State.
The 15% probability area covers Florida except the far northern part of the
State.
The 25% probabiltiy area covers from central through south Florida, except
the extreme southern
area.
Florida -- Potential for a few supercells and tornadoes near the warm front.
Although the greatest
threat for organized severe storms is expected to move across fl during the
late afternoon and
evening hours...strong/severe convection may redevelop along the cold front
during the night with
new storms possibly moving into the peninsula after 06-09z.
=> Precipitation Forecast, Excessive Rainfall, Heavy Snow And/Or
Significant
Icing Forecast
Precipitation Forecast
The 24 hour precipitation forecast is calling for over 3 inches of
precipitation over central west and
northern coastal Washington.
Over 2 inches of precipitation is forecast over central west and northern
coastal Washington.
Over 1 inch of precipitation is forecast over extreme west northwest Oregon,
central west and west
central Washington, and north central and portions of northeastern Florida.
The 24 - 48 hour precipitation forecast is calling for less than 2 inches of
precipitation over southern
Gerogia, and far central north through far northeast Florida. Also a small
portion of central east
Florida.
Over 1 inch of precipitation is forecast over central and southern Georgia,
far east southeast
Alabama, far southern South Carolina, and Florida except the western
panhandle and the south
southeast areas of the State.
Excessive Rainfall Forecast
Rainfall is not expected to exceed flash flood values.
USA heavy snow and/or significant icing
>From noon to midnight today EST the probability of 4 inches or greater of
snow is less than 20%
The probability of 1/4 inch or greater of ice accumulation is less than 20%
>From midnight to noon tomorrow EST the probability of 4 inches or greater of
snow is less than
20%
The probability of 1/4 inch or greater of ice accumulation is less than 20%
Current USA Snow and Ice Cover
http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/surface/us_NESDISsnow.gif
=> USA Flood Report
Not available
=> USA Fire Report and Forecast
INCIDENT MANAGEMENT SITUATION REPORT
FRIDAY, MARCH 16, 2001 - 1000 MST
NATIONAL PREPARDNESS LEVEL 1
CURRENT SITUATION:
New large fire activity was reported in the Eastern and Southern Areas.
All large fires were contained in the Eastern Area and nine large fires
reached containment in the Southern Area. Moderate initial attack activity
continues in the Southern Area with the Eastern Area being light. Most of
the Southeast will have cloudy skies with rain showers expected from
Tennessee over to North Carolina. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
expected for central Florida as well.
SOUTHERN AREA LARGE FIRES:
JOE JR., Florida Division of Forestry. This fire is near Lakeport, FL.
Crews continue with mop up.
GERTIE BROWN, St. Marks National Wildlife Refuge. The fire is near
Sopchoppy, FL. Mop up continues and fire activity is low.
SOPCHOPPY, Florida Division of Forestry. This fire is near Sopchoppy, FL.
No new information received.
DALLUS CREEK, Florida Division of Forestry. This fire is near Perry, FL.
Crews continue with mop up.
RED BEACH, Florida Division of Forestry. This fire is in Highlands County,
FL. Mop up is continuing.
MULTI COMMAND, Florida Division of Forestry. This fire is in Dade County,
FL. Crews are continuing with mop up.
SUMMERSET COMMAND, Florida Division of Forestry. This fire is in Martin
County, FL. No new information received.
OUTLOOK:
The Southeast can expect a chance of showers from Tennessee to North
Carolina today, with only
partly cloudy skies south. A cold front moving through Central Florida will
produce scattered
showers and thunderstorms from Daytona Beach to Miami. Arkansas, Louisiana
and Alabama will
have high temperatures in the mid 50's to mid 60's, eastward the high
temperatures will reach the
upper 60's to 70's, while Southern Florida will see high temperatures in the
80's.
Low pressure continues to sit off the Northwestern coastline producing rain
showers over
Washington and western Oregon. A trough that moved inland yesterday will
develop low pressure
over the Four Corners region, producing rain showers from southwestern Utah
to Denver and
snowfall over Aspen and Salt Lake City. The desert Southwest will have
cloudy skies. High
temperatures will reach the 40's across eastern Washington and Montana down
through Nevada,
Utah and Colorado. The coast will reach high temperatures in the 50's, with
California, Arizona and
New Mexico in the low 50's to low 60's. Low pressure in the east will
continue to push
precipitation across the upper Midwest today. High pressure moving towards
South Dakota will
help clear skies over the Plains States. Kansas, Southern Missouri and most
of the Ohio River
Valley will have high temperatures in the mid 40's to low 50's. Oklahoma and
northern Texas will
have high temperatures in the 50's, while central and southern Texas will
have high temperatures in
the 60's and 70's.
A low pressure system over Maryland will produce rain over the Virginia's
northward as it moves
out over the Atlantic later in the day. The extreme Northeast will be
variably cloudy and remain dry.
High temperatures will be in the 30's along the Canadian border, 40's from
Pennsylvania to central
Maine and low 50's to low 60's in the Virginia's, Washington D.C. and
Delaware.
=> USA Earthquake Report
UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY
NATIONAL EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION CENTER
GOLDEN, COLORADO
LISTS OF U.S. EARTHQUAKES IN THE LAST 30 HOURS
Prepared by USGS/NEIC 2001 MAR 18 at 00:15 UTC
EARTHQUAKES IN WEST CENTRAL UNITED STATES
(35.8 TO 40.3 N, 102.0 TO 125.0 W)
Date Time (UTC) Lat Long Depth Magnitude
2001 MAR 17 02:55:42.00 37.5 N 118.8 W 7 km 3.3
25 miles WNW of Bishop, California
EARTHQUAKES IN STATE OF ALASKA
Date Time (UTC) Lat Long Depth Magnitude
2001 MAR 16 22:18:08.00 60.0 N 152.7 W 79 km 4.4
45 miles WNW of Homer, Alaska
=> Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports
Note: All data is considered preliminary
Tornado Reports
No reports received
Hail Reports
No reports received
Wind Reports
No reports received
Fields marked UNK are unknown
All Times UTC
Wind Gusts in MPH
Hail Sizes in 1/100 of an Inch (75 = 0.75")
=> Guest Column
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**** ARTICLES ****
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=> How to Market to FEMA 25 Tips to Increase Your Chances of Becoming a
FEMA
Contractor
Before making contact with FEMA try these suggestions:
These suggestions are applicable to:
Small Businesses
HUBZone Businesses
Service Disabled Veteran-owned businesses
Women-owned Businesses
Small Disadvantaged Businesses
8(a) Concerns
Minority Business Enterprises
Use the Commerce Business Daily (CBD) - Contact the companies who have
already won for
subcontractor, supplier or teaming opportunities.
Track expected completion dates - The Federal Procurement Data Center tracks
these. You'll get a
heads up before the next Request For Proposal (RFP) hits the Commerce
Business Daily (CBD).
Read agency forecasts, http://www.fema.gov/ofm/forecast.htm, -- Each agency
publishes a look
ahead at what it intends to purchase in coming fiscal years.
Get listed in government-wide databases -- FEMA uses government-wide
databases to locate small
businesses, i.e. the Small Business Administration's Pro-Net, and the
General Services
Administration's GSA Advantage, and the Department of Defense's (DOD)
Central Contractor
Registration. Register with these databases and FEMA will locate your
business.
Become a contractor at a Disaster Field Office - Disaster Field Office
locations and telephone
numbers can be accessed by calling FEMA's acquisition voice message system
at 202-646-4006 or
contact the FEMA regional office where the disaster has occurred.
Watch the web -- Federal and state agencies are placing more and more
procurement opportunities
on their web sites. Bookmark your favorites, or choose a service like
Government Sales Net that
tracks new web opportunities. FEMA posts its procurement opportunities on
FedBizOpps.
Get listed in electronic catalogs -- GSA advantage, Pro-Net, and other
electronic commerce
initiatives will let you list your product for government browsing.
Link from your catalog listing to your web site -- Let an interested buyer
jump from your product
description over to your company site.
Make your web site sell -- Play up your experience and past performance
record as well as your
product listing and financial stability.
E-mail your qualifications to FEMA program offices (the potential users of
your product or service)
-- You'll find a listing of agency e-mail addresses while Surfing our
website. Keep USERS NOT
buyers in the loop on your products. Make sure you include your web site in
the e-mail -- most
agencies will be able to link right from your message.
Evaluate FACNET -- Some agencies are still sending their Requests For Quotes
through the
FACNET system. Your best bet is to contact the buying offices you do
business with and find out if
they use the system and how much. If you're missing opportunities, you may
want to shop for
VANs. FEMA does not send procurement opportunities through FACNET.
Request a debriefing on every job you lose -- You'll get important tips
about where your proposal
was weak, where you need to beef up your experience, chisel your price, or
team with a competitor.
Monitor draft Requests For Proposals (RFP) -- The agency will often indicate
if it is leaning towards
your competitor. Here's your chance to get the specs changed so you can
compete.
FOIA a copy of prime's subcontracting plans -- Agencies should have these on
file for every large
business prime they've awarded to. This will show subcontracting goals. You
can also get the SF
294/295 forms that show how many subcontracts they've awarded. Target the
primes who haven't
met their goals yet to get your foot in the door.
Get yourself on several prime's teams -- Prime contractors will get a
preference if they list their subs
in the solicitation rather than just committing to a percentage and filling
in the names later. Start
relationship building with the primes you see in the CBD Awards to partner.
Take advantage of cooperative purchasing -- When you sign an agreement with
a federal or state
agency, see if there are other buying offices or localities that can
purchase off the same agreement.
Make sure you're set up to do that. Then market to the other entities,
making sure you mention how
easily they can now order.
Accept the government credit card -- and mention it in all of your
literature. The government buys
more than $5 billion in goods and services annually with the purchase card.
Most COs will choose
the purchase card over the paperwork to make a buy.
Get on the road -- Grab organization charts of your top FEMA program offices
to target your
marketing sessions. Remember to target potential USERS of your
products/services; these are not
FEMA's contracting personnel. Get appointments with the potential users of
your products/services.
A face-to-face demo of a product can say what a brochure or web site can't.
Compete for multiple order contracts -- Go after GSA Schedule and Indefinite
Delivery Indefinite
Quantity (IDIQ) contracts. These are popular contracting vehicles with
government buyers because
of little or no paperwork and fast delivery. If a product or service is
available through one of these
vehicles -- especially information technology-- the agency will go this
route instead of issuing an
RFP.
Don't stop marketing after award -- If you win a multiple ordering
agreement, you still have to
compete for the tasks. Keep marketing, especially on contracts where there
is no minimum
guarantee of orders. Multiple order agreements include National Blanket
Purchase Agreements
(BPA), Task Order Agreements, Indefinite Delivery Indefinite Quantity (IDIQ)
contracts, and
agency specific vehicles like Government Wide Acquisition Contracts (GWAC).
Follow the federal money to the states -- Federal grants to the states make
up half an agency's
budget in some cases.
Clean up your performance rating -- Get copies of how agencies evaluated
you. Clear up any
inaccuracies, and try to counteract negative information with positive
ratings from other jobs. List
best references first in your proposals.
Team, partner, or form a joint venture -- If you're strong in one business
area, but inexperienced in
another, find a subcontractor or teaming partner who can fill in the areas
where you're weak. The
federal government encourages teaming. (FAR 9.6)
Market to the right people - FEMA contracting personnel do not develop
specific needs that are
filled through contracts. FEMA's needs are evaluated in each program office
where the Agency's
requirements are generated. Therefore, it is imperative that you do your
homework and locate the
appropriate FEMA program office that buys your product or service in order
to market to them.
Persevere - Making the right connection can take time. Perseverance will pay
off.
Remember to follow all these tips before making contact with FEMA.
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