The USA Disaster Situation Report
The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report
For December 28, 2000
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
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IN THIS ISSUE
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=> USA Daily Temperature Extremes
=> Special Notes
=> Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:
=> Severe Weather Probability Forecast
=> Precipitation Forecast, Excessive Rainfall, Heavy Snow And/Or Significant
Icing Forecast
=> USA Flood Report
=> USA Fire Report and Forecast
=> USA Earthquake Report
=> Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports
=> Guest Column-
=> Sponsored by The Rothstein Catalog On Disaster Recovery
**** ARTICLES ****
=> Article FEMA -- Winter Storms Pose Fire Threat
=> Article Full-Scale Anthrax Vaccine Program May Restart in October
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=> Links Area
=> How to Be Featured as our Guest Columnist
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The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report
For December 28, 2000
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
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IN THIS ISSUE
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=> USA Daily Temperature Extremes
National Temperature Extremes
High Wed...80 At Simi Valley CA
Low Thu...24 Below Zero At Lone Rock...Phillips...And Merril WI
=> Special Notes
According to The U.S. Census Bureau the population of the United States is
281,421,906.
=> Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:
Active Warnings:
Updated Thu Dec 28 12:06:49 2000
Flood
Arkansas
FOR THE LITTLE RIVER AT HORATIO ARKANSAS...MINOR FLOODING IS IN
PROGRESS...
FOR THE OUACHITA RIVER AT CAMDEN, MINOR FLOODING FORECAST
FOR THE OUACHITA RIVER AT THATCHER L&D, MINOR FLOODING FORECAST
Louisiana
FOR THE RED RIVER AT GRAND ECORE LOUISIANA... FLOODING IS FORECAST...
WITH THE RIVER RISING AND CRESTING NEAR 33.5 FEET DURING NEW YEARS
DAY. FLOOD STAGE IS 33 FEET.
EXPECT SIGNIFICANT BACKWATER FLOODING TO DEVELOP ON BAYOU
PIERRE...SALINE BAYOU...NANTACHES BAYOU...AND KISATCHIE BAYOU.
FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FOR RED CHUTE BAYOU FROM HAUGHTON
LOUISIANA TO ITS CONFLUENCE WITH LOGGY BAYOU IS SOUTHERN BOSSIER
PARISH...
FOR THE LITTLE RIVER AT HORATIO ARKANSAS...MINOR FLOODING IS IN
PROGRESS..
Mississippi
FOR THE YOCKANOOKANY RIVER...INCLUDING KOSCIUSKO 2SSE...OFAHOMA...
MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
Texas
FOR THE GUADALUPE RIVER... MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED...
Non Precipitation
Colorado
FAR EASTERN COLORADO AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA. WINDS WILL
INCREASE AS THE MORNING PROGRESSES AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON.
Iowa
STRONG WINDS TO ADVANCE ACROSS THE AREA...
FOR WESTERN IOWA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
Kansas
WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM...
WINDY CONDITIONS TO NORTHWEST KANSAS
North Dakota
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THIS MORNING...
Nebraska
WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM... NORTHWEST WINDS OF 30 MPH
WILL GUST TO 45 MPH FOR MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON HOURS. GUSTS TO 50
MPH ARE POSSIBLE FROM INTERSTATE 80 NORTHWARD.
WIND ADVISORY TODAY FOR THE WESTERN NEBRASKA PANHANDLE
South Dakota
TRAVEL WITH LIGHTWEIGHT OR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL BE DIFFICULT
TODAY DUE TO STRONG WINDS.
Winter Storm
Iowa
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED INTO EARLY AFTERNOON IN
OPEN AREAS
Illinois
SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS CENTRAL ILLINOIS BY EVENING...
ANOTHER ROUND OF ACCUMULATING SNOW TO PORTIONS OF EASTERN IOWA
AND NORTHWEST ILLINOIS. MOST AREAS IN THE ADVISORY WILL RECEIVE
ANYWHERE FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES OF NEW POWDERY SNOWFALL.
Minnesota
AN AREA OF WRAP AROUND SNOWFALL WILL BRUSH THROUGH EAST CENTRAL
AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA... SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA
North Dakota
SNOW WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF IN SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA THIS
AFTERNOON AND OVER WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA BY EARLY EVENING.
ACROSS NORTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA
LINGERING LIGHT SNOW WILL TAPER OFF TO FLURRIES.
Nebraska
STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR ON THE WESTERN FLANK OF THE SYSTEM
THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA... NORTHEAST NEBRASKA
DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS WILL DEVELOP.
South Dakota
INTENSE LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA INTO
NORTHWEST IOWA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR
ON THE WESTERN FLANK OF THE SYSTEM THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH
DAKOTA DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS FROM 25 BELOW TO 50 BELOW
ZERO WILL DEVELOP.
Wisconsin
SNOW WILL FALL ACROSS NORTHEAST MINNESOTA AND NORTHWEST
WISCONSIN THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
=> Severe Weather Probability Forecast
The forecast probability of an event is by the stated percentage or greater
for the event, within 25 miles of any point for the area described.
Tornado Risk - Slight
There is less than a 2% probability of a tornado.
Hail Risk - Slight
There is less than a 5% probability of hail 3/4 inch or larger.
Wind Risk - Slight
There is less than a 5% probability of winds in excess of 50 knots.
Tomorrow's Risk -
There is less than a 5% probability of any severe weather tomorrow.
=> Precipitation Forecast, Excessive Rainfall, Heavy Snow And/Or
Significant
Icing Forecast
Precipitation Forecast
The 24 hour precipitation forecast is calling for over 1 inch of
precipitation over east southeast
Alabama, central and southern Georgia, northeast Florida and southern South
Carolina.
The 24 - 48 hour precipitation forecast is calling for over 1 inch of
precipitation over a portion of
northeast North Carolina.
Excessive Rainfall Forecast
Rainfall is not expected to exceed flash flood values.
USA heavy snow and/or significant icing
>From noon to midnight today EST the probability of 4 inches or greater of
snow is low over the
southeast 1/4 of Minnesota, the norheast 1/2 of Iowa, northwest 1/5 of
Illinois, and the southwest
2/3 of Wisconsin.
The moderate probability area is over southeast Minnesota, norheast Iowa,
northwest Illinois, and
southwest Wisconsin.
The probability of 1/4 inch or greater of ice accumulation is less than 20%
>From midnight to noon tomorrow EST the probability of 4 inches or greater of
snow is low over the
east southeast 1/4 of Wisconsin, the northeast 1/2 of Illinois, the
northwest 1/3 of Indiana, and the
west southwest 1/3 of Michigan.
The moderate probability area is over far southeast Wisconsin, northeast
Illinois, far northwest
Indiana, and far southwest Michigan.
The probability of 1/4 inch or greater of ice accumulation is less than 20%
Current USA Snow and Ice Cover
http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/surface/us_NESDISsnow.gif
=> USA Flood Report
NATIONAL HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS
0830 AM EST THU DEC 28 2000
FLOOD SUMMARY
FLOODING IN SOUTHERN PLAINS
HEAVY PRECIPITATION FROM A MAJOR WINTER STORM HAS CAUSED
MODERATE FLOODING ALONG THE NAVASOTA AND LOWER BRAZOS
RIVERS IN TEXAS. IN ADDITION, SEVERAL RIVERS AND CREEKS IN TEXAS,
OKLAHOMA, ARKANSAS, LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI HAVE RISEN
ABOVE FLOOD STAGE WITH PRIMARILY MINOR FLOODING.
FLASH FLOODING:
NO FLOOD/FLASH FLOOD AND/OR URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD
ADVISORIES WERE ISSUED OVER THE LAST DAY.
RIVER FLOODING:
RIVERS AND STREAMS WITH LOCATIONS EITHER ABOVE FLOOD STAGE OR
EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE INCLUDE:
ARKANSAS: BAYOU DORCHEAT AND LITTLE RIVER
LOUISIANA: BAYOU DORCHEAT AND BAYOU D'ARBONNE
MISSISSIPPI: BIG BLACK
OKLAHOMA: BLUE RIVER; CLEAR BOGGY CREEK
TEXAS: TEXAS: RED, SULPHUR, SABINE, COWLEECH FORK OF THE
SABINE, SOUTH FORK OF THE SABINE, SOUTH SULPHUR, NECHES,
TRINITY, EAST FORK TRINITY, NAVASOTA ARANSAS LOWER BRAZOS
AND NECHES, RIVERS, WHITE OAK, SISTER GROVE, CHAMBERS
AND WEST MUSTANG CREEKS; BLACK CYPRESS BAYOU
=> USA Fire Report and Forecast
The USA Fire Report and Forecast has not been updated.
=> USA Earthquake Report
UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY
NATIONAL EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION CENTER
GOLDEN, COLORADO
LISTS OF U.S. EARTHQUAKES IN THE LAST 30 HOURS
Prepared by USGS/NEIC 2000 DEC 28 at 00:15 UTC
EARTHQUAKES IN SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES
(29.0 TO 35.8 N, 102.0 TO 125.0 W)
Date Time (UTC) Lat Long Depth Magnitude
2000 DEC 26 21:27:56.00 34.3 N 116.9 W 4 km 3.0
25 miles N of Banning, California
2000 DEC 27 17:58:22.85 30.2 N 113.4 W 10 km 4.0
80 miles S of Puerto Penasco, Sonora, Mexico
2000 DEC 27 00:27:14.00 32.7 N 118.1 W 6 km 4.1
50 miles SW of Oceanside, California
EARTHQUAKES IN NORTHWESTERN UNITED STATES
(40.3 TO 50.0 N, 102.0 TO 125.0 W)
Date Time (UTC) Lat Long Depth Magnitude
2000 DEC 27 13:15:11.00 40.5 N 124.4 W 28 km 4.0
25 miles SSW of Eureka, California
=> Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports
Note: All data is considered preliminary
Tornado Reports
No reports received
Hail Reports
No reports received
Wind Reports
No reports received
Fields marked UNK are unknown
All Times UTC
Wind Gusts in MPH
Hail Sizes in 1/100 of an Inch (75 = 0.75")
=> Guest Column
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**** ARTICLES ****
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=> FEMA -- Winter Storms Pose Fire Threat
Washington, DC, December 27, 2000 -- As the nation is hit with a series of
severe winter storms,
the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) cautions widespread power
outages
increases the threat of residential fires. Portable electric generators,
alternate heating sources such as
kerosene or propane heaters, and candles for lighting can pose a danger to
those inexperienced in
their use.
"Every year, fire kills more Americans than all natural disasters combined,"
said FEMA Director
James Lee Witt. "With heating as the second leading cause of both
residential fires and fire deaths,
everyone must be very fire safety conscious in their homes during and after
a winter storm."
FEMA has developed a Winter Storms and Fire Safety fact sheet with important
tips for anyone
facing the potential threat of fire during the winter season. More
information on this topic are also
available from FEMA's U.S. Fire Administration web site at
www.usfa.fema.gov.
=> Full-Scale Anthrax Vaccine Program May Restart in October
By Jim Garamone
American Forces Press Service
WASHINGTON, Dec. 28, 2000 -- DoD officials expect the full-
scale anthrax immunization program to restart in October
2001. Officials are confident that Bioport, the sole
producer of the vaccine, will overcome problems and receive
approval for their new facility.
"The producer of the vaccine has made some substantial
progress in recent weeks," said Marine Maj. Gen. Randall
West, senior adviser to the Secretary of Defense for
Biological and Chemical Protection.
West said DoD has been speaking with the Food and Drug
Administration, the Centers for Disease Control and others
monitoring Bioport. "They and we have confidence that
[Bioport is] going to achieve approval for new production
and that will probably occur not later than the third
quarter of the coming year," he said during an interview.
This means full-scale vaccination would probably begin by
October.
On November 28, DoD announced it was halting anthrax
immunizations for service members bound for Korea.
Currently, only service members and DoD civilians reporting
for duty in Southwest Asia will receive the inoculations.
In Korea, the vaccination program hasn't completely stopped
but it has been slowed down, West said. "There are some
vaccine supplies there that we will continue to use until
they are gone," he said.
Officials made the decision because of the shortage of FDA-
certified vaccine. The vaccine program will resume once
tested and certified supplies of the vaccine start flowing.
Officials said service members and DoD civilians who have
started the six-shot series will not have to start at
ground zero when the program restarts. "Personnel that have
had their shot protocols interrupted will not have to go
back and start over. They will pick up where they left
off," West said.
West said DoD is disappointed that it cannot provide
vaccine to the total force right now. "We're trying to
provide it in the area where we feel the threat is
highest," he said. "There is, however, some additional
supply available to a unit if they were deploying against
an adversary that we knew to possess the capability and had
reason to believe might use it."
The inoculation program has generated controversy. About
400 service members have refused the shots. As of Dec. 7,
2000, almost 2 million individual doses of the vaccine have
been administered to 496,026 active and reserve service
members. There were 1,326 reports of adverse reactions to
the vaccine. Most were minor reactions at the shot site. A
total of 52 required hospitalization. All returned to duty.
DoD ordered the inoculation program in 1996 with the first
vaccines administered in March 1997.
The department is seeking a second source for biological
warfare protection. "We don't want to be in a position
where we have to rely on a sole-source, non-government
producer in the future," West said. "We would like to have
capabilities like that duplicated. We would like to have a
facility where we can call all the shots and make all the
decisions. So we are pursuing a government-owned production
facility -- not just for anthrax but to include several
other vaccines we would need in the future."
He said such a facility would not be operational for at
least five to seven years.
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=> Links Area
WINTER STORM SYSTEM IN SOUTHEAST US
Southeast US
This GOES-8 image shows a winter storm system that dumped snow and ice over
the Southern
Plains
states on Tuesday and Wednesday. The storm iced areas in New Mexico, North
Texas, Arkansas,
and
Oklahoma causing major power outages and hazardous traveling conditions.
Snow cover is also
visible
over the Missouri River Valley.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Storms/US_Southeast/STMusSE362_G8.jpg
FIRES IN ARGENTINA
Argentina
Heat signatures (red) and smoke (light blue) are visible from fires burning
in Argentina.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Fires/Argentina/FSMHSarg362_N4.jpg
TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B
Sri Lanka/India
Tropical Cyclone 04B was located off the western coast of Sri Lanka near 7.9
N and 79.4 E at
06:00 UTC. The
cyclone has been moving west-southwestward at 4 knots with maximum sustained
winds estimated
at 50 knots, gusts to 65 knots.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Tropical/Arabian_Sea/TRC04BA362_MT.jpg
Scientists say that the West Antarctic Ice Sheet is retreating more slowly
than they thought. In fact, it
may have been growing just 8,000 years ago -- long after the end of the most
recent Ice Age.
http://science.nasa.gov/headlines/y2000/ast27dec_1.htm?list32860
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