The USA Disaster Situation Report
The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report
For December 9, 2000
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
------------------------------------------------------------
IN THIS ISSUE
------------------------------------------------------------
=> USA Daily Temperature Extremes
=> Special Notes
=> Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:
=> Severe Weather Probability Forecast
=> Precipitation Forecast, Excessive Rainfall, Heavy Snow And/Or Significant
Icing Forecast
=> USA Flood Report
=> USA Fire Report and Forecast
=> USA Earthquake Report
=> Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports
=> Guest Column-
=> Sponsored by The Rothstein Catalog On Disaster Recovery
**** ARTICLES ****
=> Article Washington State EMD: Winter Weather -- Preparing for Power
Outages
=> Article Two Northwest Governors Urge Conservation As Cold Spell Looms
=> Article Preparations For The 2001 Washington State SAR Conference Are
Underway
=> Article Secretary Slater Releases BTS Winter Holiday Travel Information
and Warns
Air Travelers to Allow Extra Time in Preparation
=> Article The U.S. Fire Administration has received notice of the following
firefighter
fatality:
=> Classified Ads
=> Links Area
=> How to Be Featured as our Guest Columnist
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Sponsored by the The Rothstein Catalog On Disaster Recovery
http://www.disastercenter.com/Rothstein/
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=> Subscribe/Unsubscribe information
The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report
For December 9, 2000
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
------------------------------------------------------------
IN THIS ISSUE
------------------------------------------------------------
=> USA Daily Temperature Extremes
National Temperature Extremes
High Fri...83 At Fort Myers FL
Low Sat...15 Below Zero At Berlin NH
=> Special Notes
=> Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:
Active Warnings:
Updated Sat Dec 9 10:41:59 2000
Non Precipitation
Minnesota
DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
.RAPIDLY FALLING TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH BLUSTERY NORTH WINDS
WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
OVER NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.
North Dakota
DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
.RAPIDLY FALLING TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH BLUSTERY NORTH WINDS
WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
OVER NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.
Wyoming
HIGH WIND WARNING FOR THE SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS AND PLATTE
COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
Winter Storm
California
WETTER WEATHER RETURNING TO NORTHERN CALIFORNIA...
.A WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING MODERATE AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION TO
THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN
THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS BY LATE THIS MORNING AND SPREAD SOUTH AND
EASTWARD INTO THE NORTHERN SIERRA NEVADA BY LATER TODAY.
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY ON
SUNDAY.
Colorado
WINTER STORM WATCH FOR THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHEAST UTAH AND
NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL COLORADO BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT
HEAVY SNOWFALL OVER THE HIGHER MOUNTAINS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING. WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH 30 TO 45 MPH WINDS OVER
EXPOSED TERRAIN WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.
Idaho
A STRONG PACIFIC COLD FRONT WILL SPREAD SNOW ACROSS EXTREME
SOUTHEAST IDAHO...EXTREME SOUTHWEST WYOMING AND THE MOUNTAINS
AND MOUNTAIN VALLEYS OF NORTHERN UTAH TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. NORTH
OF INTERSTATE 80 HEAVY SNOW IS LIKELY THIS EVENING...LASTING THROUGH
MIDDAY SUNDAY. SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 80 HEAVY SNOW IS LIKELY BY
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...LASTING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
WINTER STORM WATCH TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...
MUCH HEAVIER SNOW IS LIKELY TONIGHT THROUGH
MIDDAY SUNDAY. NEW SNOW ACCUMULATIONS MAY REACH ONE FOOT
BELOW 7000 FEET WITH 10-20 INCHES POSSIBLE AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW IS LIKELY AT THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS...MAKING TRAVEL DIFFICULT.
Minnesota
HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER TO IMPACT EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND THE
RED RIVER VALLEY OF NORTHWEST MINNESOTA
A BLAST OF ARCTIC AIR PLUNGING SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION
WILL RESULT IN WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS 40 TO 60 BELOW ZERO ACROSS
EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND THE RED RIVER VALLEY OF NORTHWEST
MINNESOTA
Montana
WIND CHILL...SNOW...AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING...
DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS
BETWEEN 30 AND 50 BELOW ARE ALSO EXPECTED. 3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW WILL
FALL ACROSS THE AREA BY SUNDAY MORNING...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS IN THE MOUNTAINS.
North Dakota
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT NORTHWEST AND NORTH
CENTRAL...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT SOUTHWEST
AND SOUTH CENTRAL...
WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH WILL CREATE AREAS OF DRIFTING SNOW AND
REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING SNOW AT TIMES...AND WIND CHILLS OF 20
TO 40 BELOW ZERO.
TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS BY SUNDAY MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO BE
FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH SOME HIGHER TOTALS POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHWEST
NORTH DAKOTA.
Utah
A STRONG PACIFIC COLD FRONT WILL SPREAD SNOW ACROSS EXTREME
SOUTHEAST IDAHO...EXTREME SOUTHWEST WYOMING AND THE MOUNTAINS
AND MOUNTAIN VALLEYS OF NORTHERN UTAH TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. NORTH
OF INTERSTATE 80 HEAVY SNOW IS LIKELY THIS EVENING...LASTING THROUGH
MIDDAY SUNDAY. SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 80 HEAVY SNOW IS LIKELY BY
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...LASTING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
Wyoming
DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS
BETWEEN 30 AND 50 BELOW ARE ALSO EXPECTED. 3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW WILL
FALL ACROSS THE AREA BY SUNDAY MORNING...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS IN THE MOUNTAINS.
=> Severe Weather Probability Forecast
The forecast probability of an event is by the stated percentage or greater
for the event, within 25 miles of any point for the area described.
Tornado Risk - Slight
There is less than a 2% probability of a tornado.
Hail Risk - Slight
There is less than a 5% probability of hail 3/4 inch or larger.
Wind Risk - Slight
There is less than a 5% probability of winds in excess of 50 knots.
Tomorrow's Risk -
There is less than a 5% probability of any severe weather tomorrow.
=> Precipitation Forecast, Excessive Rainfall, Heavy Snow And/Or
Significant
Icing Forecast
Precipitation Forecast
The 24 hour precipitation forecast is calling for less than 1 inch of
precipitation.
The 24 - 48 hour precipitation forecast is calling for less than 1 inch of
precipitation.
Excessive Rainfall Forecast
Rainfall is not expected to exceed flash flood values.
USA heavy snow and/or significant icing
>From noon to midnight today EST the probability of heavy snow is low over
the central, central
south and southeast 1/4 of Montana, far north northwest Wyoming, northwest
South Dakota, south
southwest North Dakota and the eastern portion of Michigan's northern
Peninsula.
The probability of significant icing is less than 20 percent.
>From midnight to noon tomorrow EST the probability of heavy snow is low over
a portion of
northeast Wyoming, southwest to central south South Dakota, the eastern
portion of Michigan's
northern Peninsula and northern Michigan
The probability of significant icing is low over central north to south
southwest North Carolina.
=> USA Flood Report
The United States Flood Summary is not available.
=> USA Fire Report and Forecast
INCIDENT MANAGEMENT SITUATION REPORT
FRIDAY, DECEMBER 8, 2000 - 1000 MST
NATIONAL PREPAREDNESS LEVEL I
CURRENT SITUATION:
No new large fires were reported for the past week. Initial attack
activity was light in most Geographical Areas with the Southern Area
reporting the most. No units are currently reporting very high or extreme
fire danger levels.
OUTLOOK:
A slow moving low pressure system off the Southern California coast will
move onshore today bringing a chance of showers across Southern California
to northwestern New Mexico. High pressure over the Rocky Mountains will
bring clear skies to most of the Pacific Northwest. High temperatures
should be in the 40's over the Pacific Northwest and mostly 60's to 70's
in the Southwest.
A ridge of high pressure will move over the Midwest following a low
pressure system that brought snow to the upper Midwest yesterday. Partly
cloudy skies will remain over the southern portions of the Midwest through
the day due to another low pressure system arriving over Louisiana by this
afternoon. Temperatures are expected to range from the upper 40's to the
lower 60's.
The Southern Area should have cloudy skies with the cold front that is
associated with a low pressure system that is approaching the Northeast.
Most of the precipitation will remain in the far northern portion of the
region, except for southern Florida, which should experience some showers.
Daytime highs will range from the 50's and 60's, except southern Florida,
which will have highs in the 70's and 80's.
Cold daytime high temperatures and snowfall is expected across most of the
Northeast. Accumulations of snow will be one to three inches across the
region. High temperatures are only expected to be in the 20's in the upper
portion of the area, and 40's in the Virginia's.
=> USA Earthquake Report
UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY
NATIONAL EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION CENTER
GOLDEN, COLORADO
LISTS OF U.S. EARTHQUAKES IN THE LAST 30 HOURS
Prepared by USGS/NEIC 2000 DEC 09 at 00:15 UTC
EARTHQUAKES IN WEST CENTRAL UNITED STATES
(35.8 TO 40.3 N, 102.0 TO 125.0 W)
Date Time (UTC) Lat Long Depth Magnitude
2000 DEC 8 07:41:11.00 38.8 N 122.8 W 3 km 4.2
15 miles SSW of Clearlake, California
EARTHQUAKES IN STATE OF ALASKA
Date Time (UTC) Lat Long Depth Magnitude
2000 DEC 8 05:54:46.00 61.5 N 149.9 W 56 km 3.5
20 miles N of Anchorage, Alaska
=> Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports
Note: All data is considered preliminary
Tornado Reports
No reports received
Hail Reports
No reports received
Wind Reports
No reports received
Fields marked UNK are unknown
All Times UTC
Wind Gusts in MPH
Hail Sizes in 1/100 of an Inch (75 = 0.75")
=> Guest Column
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**** ARTICLES ****
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=> Washington State EMD: Winter Weather -- Preparing for Power Outages
Power Outages Everyone experiences power interruptions from time to time.
Many of these outages
come at times of weather extremes or accompany various disasters. When the
power is out, safety
becomes a major concern. The following information is meant to help you when
the lights go out!
* Register life-sustaining equipment with your utility company.
* Make sure you have an alternate heat source and supply of fuel.
* Consider purchasing a generator, especially if someone in the house
requires life-sustaining
equipment that runs on electricity.
* When installing generators, follow the manufacturer's instructions very
carefully.
* If your house if the only one without power, check your fuse box or
circuit breaker panel. Turn off
appliances before replacing fuses or resetting circuits.
* If power is out in the neighborhood, disconnect all electrical heaters and
appliances to reduce the
initial demand and protect the motors from possible low voltage damage.
* Unplug computers and other voltage sensitive equipment to protect them
against possible surges
when the power is restored.
* Conserve water, especially if you are on a well.
* Keep your refrigerator and freezer doors closed. If the door remains
closed, a fully loaded freezer
can keep foods frozen for two days.
* Never use a charcoal barbeque inside the home.
* If you use candles for light keep in mind they can cause a fire. It's far
better to use batteries
operated flashlights or glow sticks for alternative lighting.
* If you use a kerosene heater, gas lantern or stove inside the house,
maintain ventilation to avoid a
build up of toxic fumes.
* If your power is out leave a light switch in the on position to alert you
when services are restored.
* If you own an electric garage door opener, learn how to open the door
without power.
* Prepare a power outage kit, or better yet make it a part of your disaster
preparedness kit.
Consider having light sticks, flashlights, a battery-powered radio, with
extra batteries and a wind-up
clock as a part of the kit.
* Have a corded telephone available; remember cordless phones will not work
when the power is
out.
=> Two Northwest Governors Urge Conservation As Cold Spell Looms
OLYMPIA - The governors of Washington and Oregon today called upon citizens
and businesses
in those states to begin conserving as much electricity and natural gas as
possible immediately in
anticipation of a deep cold spell expected to arrive on the west coast on
Monday.
"A number of factors are combining in the next few days that require us to
ask people to begin
conserving power immediately," said Washington Gov. Gary Locke. "Voluntary
conservation today
may mean we'll avoid disruptions when the cold weather arrives Monday."
Oregon Gov. John Kitzhaber said, "Cold weather and a tight energy supply
make it especially
important that people in the Northwest reduce their energy use as they go
about their day. Even the
smallest acts of conservation will add up to help us through this
situation."
"I urge every family and every business to take some simple steps that will
help immensely to avert
disruptions," Locke added. He urged people to cut energy use from 5 to 10
percent by:
Turning off lights in empty rooms
Turning on Christmas lights after 8 p.m. and turning them off before going
to bed.
Turning off computers, radios and televisions when not in use
Turning heaters down to 66 or 67 degrees and wearing sweaters indoors
Using microwave ovens instead of electric stoves
Running dishwashers before bed instead of during peak periods
Turning down water heater thermostats
Using one appliance at a time
Locke has directed state agencies to take steps to curtail energy use. The
Capitol dome lights have
been turned off. The Capitol Christmas lights will be on only during
off-peak hours, from 8 to
midnight, to conserve energy.
The governor will issue further directives to state agencies for further
curtailment of energy use.
"It's important to use as little electricity as possible during peak hours,
which are from 6:30 to 8:30
a.m. and 4 to 8 p.m.," Locke said.
"Normally we can buy power from California at this time of year," Locke
stated. "But that state is
experiencing a variety of problems and it has no power to sell."
Locke explained a number of factors have been combining in the region to
cause increasing concerns
about energy supplies during peak demands, including:
The Bonneville Power Administration cannot generate enough electricity for
the growing population
of the region.
The extension of a natural gas pipeline from Canada to Washington to the
Chicago area now means
state residents must compete with the Midwest to purchase gas
Deregulation at the federal level and in California and other states has
removed the incentive for
some utilities to build new power plants for "peak demand" production
Transmission systems need to be upgraded to deal with increasing demands.
=> Preparations for the 2001 Washington State SAR Conference are well
underway.
The conference will be held May 25-27, 2001 (Memorial Day weekend) at the
Mason County
Fairgrounds near Shelton, Washington. Pre-conference courses will begin on
May 21.
Last year's Washington State Conference with over 1200 participants, 60
separate classes, and six
pre-conference courses was one of the largest ground SAR conferences ever
held in North
America. We're working hard to make the 2001 conference every bit as good as
last years.
The conference web site is
<http://so.co.mason.wa.us/documents/SAR_information.htm>. There
you'll find information on everything from class topics to the conference
menu. We've just added
some photos of the fairgrounds...plenty of RV hook-ups as well as primitive
camp sites. Most, if not
all, sit-down classes will be held in individual buildings on the
fairgrounds (one class per building!) Of
course, there's plenty of room outside for hands-on classes as well.
Registration info is available on the web site. If you have additional
questions contact me at
<c.long{at}emd.wa.gov> or Mason County Deputy Sheriff Bill Adam at
<will2msn{at}msn.com>.
Chris Long
Washington State SAR Coordinator
=> Secretary Slater Releases BTS Winter Holiday Travel Information and
Warns
Air Travelers to Allow Extra Time in Preparation
U.S. Transportation Secretary Rodney E. Slater today cautioned air
travelers to allow extra time to travel during the winter holiday season
as he released a report showing that during the 1999 winter holiday
season, the greatest number of flight delays took place on the days
leading up to Christmas Eve.
The analysis was prepared by the Bureau of Transportation Statistics
(BTS), an agency of the U.S. Department of Transportation (DOT).
"Consistent with President Clinton and Vice President Gores commitment to
put people first, the U.S. Department of Transportation is undertaking a
broad effort to improve customer service and information flow for air
travelers," Secretary Slater said. "Improving customer service ranks
second only to safety here at DOT, and the information from BTS will help
travelers understand past winter holiday travel patterns so they can
properly prepare for this winter holiday."
The BTS analysis found the following about winter holiday travel in 1999:
Flights delayed more Flights delayed more
than one-half hour than one hour
Monday, Dec. 20 15.7% 6.7%
Tuesday, Dec. 21 11.8% 3.8%
Wednesday, Dec. 22 17.7% 6.3%
Thursday, Dec. 23 17.6% 7.6%
Friday, Dec. 24 5.7% 1.9%
Saturday, Dec. 25 2.9% 1.1%
Sunday, Dec. 26 8.1% 3.5%
Monday, Dec. 27 12.0% 3.9%
"BTS is making this information on the performance of the air travel
system available to help travelers who are preparing for the winter
holiday season, " Dr. Ashish Sen, BTS Director, said. "We are always
seeking ways to serve the public. I welcome any suggestions."
Detailed information on overall delays, cancellations and diversions, the
performance of the largest U.S. airlines and delays at the nations 29 most
heavily traveled airports can be found on the BTS website at www.bts.gov.
Travelers should be aware that previous flight delay patterns may not be
repeated during this winter holiday season and that the number and
duration of delayed flights is highly dependent on weather conditions.
=> FIRE CONFERENCE 2000 - A New Era in Fire Management
DECEMBER 08 -- SAN DIEGO, CA: The first national congress on fire ecology,
prevention, and
management was held November 27 through December 1 in San Diego. The
conference brought
together fire researchers, managers, and other professionals to consider the
past, present, and future
of fire management.
Forest Service Chief Emeritus Jack Ward Thomas gave the keynote address,
explaining that the
Forest Service has been through three eras - and is entering a fourth. "The
custodial era lasted from
1907 to 1945," he said. "The timber emphasis era stretched from 1945 to
1987. The environmental
era, wherein the effects of the spate of environmental laws passed in the
late 1960s and 1970s began
to have interactive effect, covered the period 1987 to 1992. We have been in
a new era since 1992
- the era of ecosystem management, which has evolved naturally and gradually
out of the
environmental era, and is still unfolding."
Thomas said a new era in the wildland fire business has also arrived. "We
have trumpeted what we
could do if given the opportunity," he said. "Now, it will be up to you to
put up or shut up. The pleas
for attention have been answered. Money, big money, is in hand. The time for
change has arrived.
Now what?"
"This challenge from Congress and the administration is, in reality, almost
a leap of faith," said
Thomas, "and is certainly the best chance in well over a decade for agencies
to demonstrate that
objectives can be formulated, constituencies built, and resultant programs
executed safely and
expeditiously - with promised results. Success could buttress a sense of
mission, and would provide
a platform of confidence and pride on which to reconstruct the land
management agencies of the new
century."
"Failure could be fatal to the chances of using fire routinely as a
significant tool in ecosystem
management," he said. "Failure could destroy some of the remaining public
and political faith in the
land management agencies to match results with promises. I do not like to
think beyond that.
Success is, then, essential. Failure is not an option."
The conference, hosted by the California Association for Fire Ecology, the
Nature Conservancy, the
Tall Timbers Research Station, the International Association of Wildland
Fire, and the Joint Fire
Science Program, in cooperation with the University of California at Davis,
will have conference
proceedings available at a later date. Updates will be posted here; more
information about Fire
Conference 2000 is available online from UCDavis,
http://www.universityextension.ucdavis.edu/fire/
and the full text of the keynote address by Jack Ward Thomas is online.
http://www.fs.fed.us/fire/sandiego.shtml
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=> Links Area
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (SAM)
Australia
Tropical Cyclone Sam was located southwest of Derby, Australia near 19.3 S
121.7 E at
18:00 UTC. Sam has been moving south-southwestward at 5 knots with maximum
sustained winds
estimated at 100 knots, gusts to 125 knots.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Tropical/IndOcean/TRCsam343_GM.jpg
Australia
This is a NOAA-14 satellite GAC pass of Tropical Cyclone Sam located
southwest of
Derby, Australia. This image showsgreater detail of the storm.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Tropical/IndOcean/TRCsam343_N4.jpg
TROPICAL CYCLONE 33W (Rumbia)
South China Sea
Tropical Cyclone 33W (Rumbia) was located near 8.6 N 106.3E at 00:00 UTC.
Rumbia has been
moving west-southwestward at 7 knots with maximum sustained winds estimated
at 20 knots,
gusts to 30 knots.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Tropical/W_Pacific/TRCrumbia343_GM.jpg
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