The USA Disaster Situation Report
The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report
For September 30, 2000
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
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IN THIS ISSUE
------------------------------------------------------------
=> USA Daily Temperature Extremes
=> Special Notes
=> Current Tropical Weather Outlook
=> Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:
=> Severe Weather Probability Forecast
=> Precipitation Forecast, Excessive Rainfall, Heavy Snow And/Or Significant
Icing Forecast
=> USA Flood Report
=> USA Fire Report and Forecast
=> USA Earthquake Report
=> Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports
=> Guest Column
=> Sponsored by the SandbaggerTM
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=> Fire Funding Clears Hurdle
=> Community Shelter Design and Construction Guidance Now Available
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The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report
For September 30, 2000
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
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IN THIS ISSUE
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=> USA Daily Temperature Extremes
National Temperature Extremes
High Fri...108 At Coolidge Az
Low Sat...23 At Berlin Nh
=> Special Notes
I am introducing some changes in the format of today's report
=> Current Tropical Weather Outlook For The North Atlantic Caribbean Sea And
The Gulf Of Mexico
For The North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea And The Gulf Of Mexico...
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Isaac
located about 1225 miles west of the westernmost Azores Islands...on
Tropical Storm Joyce...located about 335 miles east of Trinidad in the
Windward Islands...and on Tropical Storm Keith located about 115 miles east
of Chetumal Mexico.
A broad area of disturbed weather over the Bahamas is mainly associated with
an upper-level trough and is moving toward the northeast. There are no signs
of organization at this time.
Elsewhere...tropical storm formation is not expected through Sunday.
=> Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:
Active Warnings:
Updated Sat Sep 30 12:13:25 2000
Flood
Puerto Rico
AGUACEROS DISPERSOS Y TRONADAS CON POSIBLES TROMBAS MARINAS FUERON
LOCALIZADOS SOBRE LAS AGUAS DEL CARIBE ENTRE CULEBRA Y VIEQUES Y EL MAR
CARIBE AL OESTE DE SANTA CRUZ HACIA EL ESTE HASTA ST. KITTS Y SAN MARTIN
MOVIENDOSE HACIA EL NORTE A 10 MPH. AGUACEROS ADICIONALES FUERON OBSERVADOS
40 MILLAS AL SUR DE SANTA CRUZ. ESTOS AGUACEROS SE ESTABAN MOVIENDO HACIA EL
NORTE HACIA ST. JOHN Y SAN TOMAS. LOS NAVEGANTES PUEDEN ESPERAR VIENTO EN
RAFAGAS...VISIBILIDADES POBRES Y LLUVIA FUERTE. ADEMAS...ESTOS AGUACEROS
FACILMENTE PODRIAN GENERAR TROMBAS MARINAS ESTA MANANA. LAS TRONADAS SE
ACOMPANARAN DE RELAMPAGOS DE NUBE AL AGUA.
Hurricane/Tropical Storm
United States
.
..ISAAC EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL IN A DAY OR TWO...
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 37.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.7 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM AST TUE OCT 3 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
42.5N 41.5W 17 7 X X 24 51.0N 26.0W X X 10 X 10
45.0N 35.0W X 15 4 X 19 HIBERNIA OILFLD 1 2 X X 3
TROPICAL STORM JOYCE
...DISORGANIZED JOYCE MOVING FASTER...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED... AT
11 AM AST...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF TRINIDAD HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR TRINIDAD...TOBAGO...GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES. A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS...ST. LUCIA...ST. VINCENT...AND
THE GRENADINES. INTERESTS ALONG THE NORTHEAST COAST OF VENEZUELA SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS STORM.
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF JOYCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 10.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.1 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM AST TUE OCT 3 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
11.3N 61.4W 56 X X X 56 TISX 177N 648W X X 2 4 6
12.0N 64.0W 1 32 X X 33 TIST 183N 650W X X 1 4 5
13.0N 66.5W X 8 17 1 26 TJPS 180N 666W X X 2 7 9
SKPG 125N 717W X X 1 13 14 MDSD 185N 697W X X X 10 10
TNCC 122N 690W X X 12 7 19 MDCB 176N 714W X X X 11 11
SVMG 110N 640W 1 29 X 1 31 MTPP 186N 724W X X X 8 8
TTPP 106N 614W 51 X X X 51 MTCA 183N 738W X X X 6 6
TTPT 112N 608W 63 X X X 63 MKJP 179N 768W X X X 2 2
TGPY 120N 618W 47 3 X X 50 MUGM 200N 751W X X X 2 2
TBPB 131N 595W 27 X X X 27 TJSJ 184N 661W X X 1 6 7
TVSV 131N 612W 34 3 X 1 38 MDPP 198N 707W X X X 6 6
TLPL 138N 610W 17 6 X X 23 MBJT 215N 712W X X X 2 2
TFFF 146N 610W 4 6 X 1 11 ST CROIX VI X X 2 4 6
TDPR 153N 614W 1 4 1 X 6 ST THOMAS VI X X 1 4 5
TFFR 163N 615W X 1 1 X 2 SAN JUAN PR X X 1 6 7
TKPK 173N 627W X X 1 1 2 PONCE PR X X 2 7 9
TNCM 181N 631W X X 1 1 2
HURRICANE KEITH
A HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF YUCATAN FROM
CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD TO THE MEXICO/BELIZE BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE
MEXICO/BELIZE BORDER. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING COULD BE UPGRADED TO
HURRICANE WARNING LATER TODAY. AT 11 AM...1500 UTC THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO
HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE NORTH COAST OF YUCATAN FROM WEST OF
CABO CATOCHE TO PROGRESO.
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF KEITH WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.6 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT TUE OCT 3 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
20.0N 87.5W 49 X X X 49 ST MARKS FL X X X 2 2
20.8N 87.8W 36 X X 1 37 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 2 2
21.5N 88.0W 22 4 1 1 28 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 2 2
MWCG 193N 814W X X 1 4 5 PENSACOLA FL X X X 2 2
MUCF 221N 805W X X X 4 4 MOBILE AL X X X 3 3
MUSN 216N 826W X 1 3 5 9 GULFPORT MS X X X 3 3
MUHA 230N 824W X X 2 5 7 BURAS LA X X X 5 5
MUAN 219N 850W 4 6 4 3 17 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 4 4
MMCZ 205N 869W 43 X X X 43 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 3 3
MZBZ 175N 883W 13 1 1 1 16 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 2 2
MGPB 157N 886W X X 1 4 5 GALVESTON TX X X X 2 2
MHNJ 165N 859W 2 1 2 3 8 FREEPORT TX X X X 2 2
MNPC 141N 834W X X X 2 2 PORT O CONNOR TX X X X 2 2
MMFR 185N 926W X X 1 4 5 BROWNSVILLE TX X X X 2 2
MMMD 210N 897W 7 9 3 1 20 GULF 29N 85W X X X 3 3
MARATHON FL X X X 3 3 GULF 29N 87W X X X 5 5
MIAMI FL X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 89W X X 1 6 7
KEY WEST FL X X X 5 5 GULF 28N 91W X X 1 6 7
MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 93W X X X 5 5
FT MYERS FL X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 95W X X X 3 3
VENICE FL X X X 3 3 GULF 27N 96W X X X 3 3
TAMPA FL X X X 2 2 GULF 25N 96W X X X 3 3
CEDAR KEY FL X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM SUN TO 8PM SUN
C FROM 8PM SUN TO 8AM MON
D FROM 8AM MON TO 8AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
Non Precipitation
Wyoming
...HIGH WIND WATCH LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY FOR SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS AND
PLATTE COUNTY...
=> Severe Weather Probability Forecast
The forecast probability of an event is by the stated percentage or greater
for the event, within 25 miles of any point for the area described.
Tornado Risk -
There is less than a 2% probability of a tornado.
Hail Risk -
There is less than a 5% probability of hail 3/4 inch or larger.
Wind Risk -
There is less than a 5% probability of winds in excess of 50 knots.
Tomorrow's Risk -
There is less than a 5% probability of any severe weather tomorrow
=> Precipitation Forecast, Excessive Rainfall, Heavy Snow And/Or Significant
Icing Forecast
Precipitation Forecast
USA heavy snow and/or significant icing
The probability of heavy snow and/or significant icing is less than 20
percent.
Excessive Rainfall Forecast
Rainfall is not expected to exceed flash flood guidance.
=> USA Flood Report
Not Available
=> USA Fire Report and Forecast
INCIDENT MANAGEMENT SITUATION REPORT
SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 30, 2000 - 0900 MDT
NATIONAL PREPAREDNESS LEVEL II
CURRENT SITUATION:
Initial attack activity was moderate in the Southern, Southwest and Eastern
Great Basin Areas. One new large fire was reported in the Northern
California Area. Hot, dry weather will continue to keep fire danger high in
Texas and Oklahoma through the weekend. Winds will increase fire danger in
southeast Idaho and portions of Montana as Pacific moisture moves into the
Northwest. Mobilization of resources through the National Interagency
Coordination Center was minimal. Very high to extreme fire indices were
reported in Oregon, California, Montana, North Dakota, Utah, Idaho, Wyoming,
Arizona, Nebraska, Arkansas and Oklahoma.
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AREA LARGE FIRES:
WEINSTEIN, Tehama-Glenn Ranger Unit, California Department of Forestry. This
fire is west of Red Bluff, CA. A State Incident Management Team (Poston) is
assigned. Current threats are to a microwave site. Burnout operations are in
progress.
SOUTHERN AREA LARGE FIRES:
GULLY SLOUGH, McFaddin National Wildlife Refuge. This fire is burning on
private and federal land 45 miles east of Houston, TX. No new information
was reported.
NORTHERN ROCKIES AREA LARGE FIRES:
VALLEY COMPLEX, Bitterroot National Forest. A Type II Incident Management
Team (Furlong) is assigned. These fires are seven miles south of Darby, MT.
The complex consists of the Blodgett, Skalkaho, Bear, Taylor, Taylor Spot,
Hilltop, Razor, Fat, and Mink fires. Cooler, moist weather slowed fire
activity. Helicopter bucket work continues on the Fat, Taylor and Mussigbrod
fires. Monitoring of uncontained fire perimeters continues. Contour falling
and wattle placement continues in the Laird Drainage.
EASTERN GREAT BASIN AREA LARGE FIRES:
CLEAR CREEK COMPLEX, Salmon-Challis National Forest. A Type II Incident
Management Team (Carr) is assigned. This complex consisting of the Clear
Creek and Marlin Springs fires, are ten miles west of Salmon, ID. Some
smoldering in the heavy fuels has been observed. Crews continue with mopup.
Helicopters are supporting as needed with bucket drops. Burned Area
Emergency Rehabilitation projects continue.
OUTLOOK:
*** A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS POSTED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST IDAHO FOR
STRONG WINDS ***
*** A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS POSTED FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL, NORTHERN AND
EASTERN MONTANA FOR STRONG WINDS, HIGH FIRE DANGER AND LOW HUMIDITY ***
A deep plume of Pacific moisture will spread over northern Idaho and most of
Montana with cooler temperatures. Steady wetting rain will begin over north
and central Idaho spreading into most of Montana Saturday night.
Temperatures will be in the upper 70's. In advance of this system west winds
will be 20 to 30 mph across Montana and southeast Idaho, with gusts up to 35
mph in southeast Idaho. Minimum relative humidity will be 20 to 30 percent
in the watch areas.
A weak low off of the southern California coast will drift slowly southwest.
Patchy coastal low clouds or fog in the morning is to be expected, otherwise
it will be sunny. High temperatures will be in the 70's and 80's in the
mountains and along the immediate coast and will reach the 90's to low 100's
in the desert areas. Winds will generally be southwest to west at 10 to 15
mph during the afternoon. Minimum relative humidity will be 8 to 15 percent
in the driest areas and 20 to 35 percent elsewhere.
High pressure will remain over Texas and Oklahoma bringing sunny and dry
conditions. High temperatures will be in the 80's to lower 90's. Winds will
be northeast to southeast at 5 to 10 mph except stronger southwest to west
winds at 10 to 20 mph in the western areas. Minimum relative humidity will
be 25 to 35 percent.
=> USA Earthquake Report
UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY
NATIONAL EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION CENTER
GOLDEN, COLORADO
LISTS OF U.S. EARTHQUAKES IN THE LAST 30 HOURS
Prepared by USGS/NEIC 2000 SEP 30 at 00:15 UTC
EARTHQUAKES IN SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES
(29.0 TO 35.8 N, 102.0 TO 125.0 W)
Date Time (UTC) Lat Long Depth Magnitude
2000 SEP 29 09:57:31.00 33.3 N 116.2 W 1 km 3.5
30 miles S of Indio, California
EARTHQUAKES IN WEST CENTRAL UNITED STATES
(35.8 TO 40.3 N, 102.0 TO 125.0 W)
Date Time (UTC) Lat Long Depth Magnitude
2000 SEP 29 11:06:38.00 38.8 N 122.8 W 1 km 2.9
15 miles SW of Clearlake, California
2000 SEP 28 19:40:18.00 36.6 N 121.1 W 7 km 3.1
25 miles SE of Hollister, California
=> Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports
Note: All data is considered preliminary
Tornado Reports
No reports received
Hail Reports
Time Size Location County State Lat Lon Comments
1920 175 SOUTH FORK RIO GRANDE CO 3766 10661 MM (PUB)
2040 75 6 E MONTICELLO SAN JUAN UT 3786 10922 705 PM MONTICELLO (GJT)
0015 88 HENRIEVILLE GARFIELD UT 3753 11200 718 PM HENRIEVILLE (SLC)
0118 100 HENRIEVILLE GARFIELD UT 3753 11200 (SLC)
Wind Reports
Time Speed Location County State Lat Lon Comments
2345 58 MESA BOULDER CO 4010 10528 (DEN)
2351 69 CENTER BOULDER CO 3775 10609 (DEN)
2351 69 4 S BOULDER BOULDER CO 3994 10526 WIND TECH CENTER (DEN)
0000 60 JEFFERSON JEFFERSON CO 3938 10580 (DEN)
0004 76 WESTMINSTER JEFFERSON CO 3983 10503 (DEN)
Fields marked UNK are unknown
All Times UTC
Wind Gusts in MPH
Hail Sizes in 1/100 of an Inch (75 = 0.75")
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**** ARTICLES ****
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=> Fire Funding Clears Hurdle Today
SEPTEMBER 29 -- WASHINGTON, DC: Congressional and White House negotiators
agreed today to provide $12 billion to expand national parks, protect
environmentally sensitive areas, and maintain and improve parks and historic
sites. A Reuters report today notes that the plan to set aside some $2
billion annually over six years was part of a $19 billion bill to fund
federal lands and cultural programs next fiscal year. The bill requires
final approval from both the House and Senate before being sent to the White
House.
"The bill represents an historic breakthrough in conservation funding,''
said George Frampton, head of the White House Council on Environmental
Quality. "In our view it's really a fantastic step forward.''
The negotiated deal was the result of a more ambitious $3 billion-a-year
plan that cleared the House by a wide margin but had stalled in the Senate.
Some supporters of the House-passed plan were upset with the compromise,
which they said resulted from a small minority of senators who insisted on
killing the larger effort. "There is a large bipartisan coalition out there
that is extremely upset,'' said an aide to House Resources Committee
Chairman Don Young, an Alaska Republican.
"The Interior Appropriations Committee has substituted end-of-the-year smoke
and mirrors for the Conservation and Reinvestment Act,'' said Senate Energy
Committee Chairman Frank Murkowski, another Alaska Republican. The interior
spending bill includes $1.6 billion in emergency funds to help Western
states recover from this year's unprecedented fire season. The White House
had threatened to veto the bill, citing anti-environmental riders -- such as
blocks on studying breaching dams in the Pacific Northwest -- but Frampton
said the riders were either removed from the bill or changed to have minimal
effect. The story's online from Yahoo Daily News.
=> Community Shelter Design and Construction Guidance Now Available
Washington, September 29, 2000 -- FEMA recently published a manual with
important information about the design and construction of community
shelters for protection during tornadoes and hurricanes.
The manual has information on both stand-alone shelters and shelters built
inside or attached to a larger building. The shelters are for protection
during the tornado or hurricane and not designed to be used as long-term
disaster recovery shelters.
More information and the manual files in PDF format.
http://www.fema.gov/mit/FEMA361.htm
=> Celebrate what Project Impact has accomplished and share wisdom for
what's yet to be done to ensure that your community is disaster resistant
When: November 12-16, 2000*
Where: Marriott Wardman Park Hotel
Washington, DC
Who Should Attend: Chambers of Commerce
Elected Officials
City Managers and County Administrators
Local Planners and Planning Commissioners
Community Risk Managers
Building Code Officials
Fire Service Personnel
Economic Development Officials
Environmental Officials
Small and Large Business Representatives
Community-Based and Volunteer Organizations
Teachers and Educators, grades K thru College
Media Partners
Project Impact Community Coordinators
Local Emergency Managers
State Emergency Managers
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=> Links Area
Panel recommends new 'terrorism czar'
BY PETER BACQUE TIMES-DISPATCH STAFF WRITER Sep 29, 2000
http://www.timesdispatch.com/vametro/MGB6ZGO5PDC.html
A new USGS West Nile Virus website with additional information is available
at:
http://www.umesc.usgs.gov/http_data/nwhc/news/westnil2.html.
Digital images from the USGS National Wildlife Health Center are available
at:
* USGS Wildlife Veterinarian testing an American crow at USGS's biological
containment facility to test for previous exposure to the West Nile Virus.
http://www.usgs.gov/images/west_nile_virus/a0544.jpg
* USGS is studying the effects of the West Nile Virus on crows at its high
security biological containment facility.
http://www.usgs.gov/images/west_nile_virus/a0549.jpg
* USGS Wildlife Veterinarian testing for the West Nile Virus.
http://www.usgs.gov/images/west_nile_virus/a0551.jpg
* Culex pipiens quinquefasciatus mosquito
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* Culex pipiens quinquefasciatus mosquito
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* Dr. Robert McLean, Director, USGS National Wildlife Health Center
http://www.usgs.gov/images/west_nile_virus/bobpic1.jpg
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