The USA Disaster Situation Report
The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report
For September 19, 2000
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
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IN THIS ISSUE
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=> USA Daily Temperature Extremes
=> Special Notes
=> Current Tropical Weather Outlook
=> Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:
=> Severe Weather Probability Forecast
=> Precipitation Forecast and Excessive Rainfall Forecast
=> USA Flood Report
=> USA Fire Report and Forecast
=> USA Earthquake Report
=> Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports
=> Guest Column
=> Emergency Response to Terrorism: Job Aid (ERT:JA)
=> FEMA Authorizes Funding For Colorado Wildfire
=> Federal Funds Authorized To Help Fight Alabama Wildfire
=> Classified Ads
=> Links Area
=> How to Be Featured as our Guest Columnist
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Sponsored by the SandbaggerTM
www.thesandbagger.com
Dan P. Stoye
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=> Subscribe/Unsubscribe information
The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report
For September 19, 2000
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
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IN THIS ISSUE
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=> USA Daily Temperature Extremes
National Temperature Extremes
High Mon...113 At Death Valley CA
Low Tue...34 At Alamosa CO
=> Special Notes
=> Current Tropical Weather Outlook For The North Atlantic Caribbean Sea And
The Gulf Of Mexico
Satellite imagery and surface observations indicate that a previously weak
area of disturbed weather over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico has become
much better organized. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft will
investigate the system this afternoon to see if a tropical depression is
forming. The system is expected to move northward about 10 mph...and
conditions appear favorable for further development. Interests in the
northern and western Gulf should monitor the future progress of this system.
Satellite imagery indicates that the strong tropical wave in the western
Caribbean...the remnants of tropical depression twelve...is becoming better
organized. This system is producing locally heavy rain and gusty winds
across eastern Cuba and Jamaica...and this activity is spreading into the
Cayman Islands. The wave is moving west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph...and
conditions appear favorable for further development. A NOAA hurricane hunter
aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system this afternoon. Interests in
Cuba and the Cayman Islands should monitor the progress of this system.
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave a few hundred
miles west of the Cape Verde Islands have become less organized...and upper
level winds have become less favorable for development. The wave is expected
to continue moving west- northwestward at 15 to 20 mph.
=> Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:
=> Severe Weather Probability Forecast
The forecast probability of an event is by the stated percentage or greater
for the event, within 25 miles of any point for the area described.
Tornado Risk - Slight
There is less than a 2% probability of a tornado.
Hail Risk - Slight
There is less than a 5% probability of hail larger than 3/4 of an inch.
Wind Risk -
There is less than a 5% probability of winds in excess of 50 knots.
Tomorrow's Risk - Slightly Moderate
The risk area tomorrow covers north northwest Tennessee, far southeast
Missouri, southeast Illinois, the southeast 2/3 of Indiana, Ohio, and
Kentucky except the southeast 1/3.
Damaging winds appear to be the primary threat...though isolated large hail
and an isolated tornado may also occur.
Other areas at a lesser degree of risk include, central and north east
Arkansas, the northwest 1/4 of Pennsylvania, and western New York.
=> Precipitation Forecast and Excessive Rainfall Forecast
Precipitation Forecast
The 24 hr precipitation forecast is calling for over an inch of rainfall
over portions of southern Florida, and over Long Island New York.
The 24 - 48 hr precipitation forecast is calling for over an inch of
rainfall over central east Arkansas, western Tennessee, far northeast
Mississippi, central and northern Indiana, northwest Ohio, south
southeastern Michigan, and southern Louisiana.
Excessive Rainfall Forecast
Flash flood values may be exceeded over northern Virginia, eastern West
Virginia, north central Maryland, southeastern Pennsylvania, and
northwestern New Jersey.
=> USA Flood Report
NATIONAL HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS
0810 AM EDT TUE SEP 19 2000
FLOOD SUMMARY
FLOODING FROM REMNANTS OF GORDON
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS FROM THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STROM GORDON
CAUSED FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THE EASTERN CAROLINAS. AT LEAST ONE
HOME IN THE MYRTLE BEACH AREA OF SOUTH CAROLINA HAD FLOODING
PROBLEMS. SEVERAL RIVERS IN CENTRAL FLORIDA ARE ALSO FLOODING
DUE TO HEAVY RAINS FROM GORDON.
FLASH FLOODING:
FLOOD/FLASH FLOOD AND/OR URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORIES
WERE ISSUED OVER THE LAST DAY FOR LOCATIONS INCLUDING(IN
ALPHABETICAL ORDER BY STATE):
NORTH CAROLINA: BRUNSWICK, COLUMBUS, CRAVEN, NEW HANOVER AND
ONSLOW COUNTIES.
PUERTO RICO: BAYAMON, DORADO, GUAYAMA, GUAYNABO, JUANA
DIAZ, PONCE, SALINAS, SAN JUAN, SANTA ISABEL, TOA ALTA AND
TOA BAJA MUNICIPALITIES.
SOUTH CAROLINA: BERKELEY, CHARLESTON, GEORGETOWN AND HORRY
COUNTIES.
RIVER FLOODING:
RIVERS AND STREAMS WITH LOCATIONS EITHER ABOVE FLOOD STAGE OR
EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE INCLUDE (IN ALPHABETICAL
ORDER, BY STATE)
FLORIDA: THE MYAKKA, LITTLE MANATEE, MANATEE AND PEACE
RIVERS; HORSE CREEK.
=> USA Fire Report and Forecast
INCIDENT MANAGEMENT SITUATION REPORT
TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 19, 2000 - 0530 MDT
NATIONAL PREPAREDNESS LEVEL III
CURRENT SITUATION:
Nine new large fires were reported, four in the Rocky Mountain Area and
five in the Southern Area. Crews reached containment goals on five large
fires. Initial attack activity was moderate in the Southern Area and light
elsewhere. Very high to extreme fire indices were reported in Oregon,
California, Idaho, Utah, Wyoming, Nevada, Montana, Arizona, Colorado,
Kansas, Arkansas, Texas, and Oklahoma.
SOUTHERN AREA LARGE FIRES:
CHICKEN, Texas State Forest Service. This fire is located 20 miles east of
Nacogdoches, TX. A Type II Incident Management Team (Ruggiero) is assigned.
No additional information was received.
SHELL LAKE, Oklahoma Division of Forestry. This fire is burning in grass
and timber two miles northwest of Sand Springs, OK. Crews have made
significant progress towards containment.
SUGARLOAF, Oklahoma Division of Forestry. This fire is burning in a mixed
hardwood and pine plantation two miles north of Monroe, OK. The fire is in
monitor status.
KERNEL, Eastern Oklahoma Regional Office, BIA. This fire is located four
miles east of Vamoosa, OK. The fire has burned into rough terrain. Crews
continue to establish and secure containment lines.
CEMENT PLANT, Oklahoma Division of Forestry. This fire is located one and a
half miles south of Pawnee, OK. Crews will begin mopup and patrol.
BRISTOW, Oklahoma Division of Forestry. This fire is located six miles
northeast of Bristow, OK. The fire is exhibiting extreme fire behavior with
spotting, crowning and rapid rates of spread. Numerous structures remain
threatened.
ARBUCKLE, Oklahoma Division of Forestry. This fire is located 11 miles
northwest of Ardmore, OK. The fire became very active and gained
significant acreage. Several structures, a state park and a communication
site remain threatened. Several homes were evacuated. Extreme fire behavior
has been observed. Dry conditions are contributing to significant control
problems.
TURKEY, Texas State Forest Service. This fire is burning in heavy oak and
pine fuels 20 miles southwest of Nacogdoches, TX. No new information was
received.
FLYING L RANCH, Texas State Forest Service. This fire is burning in mixed
oak, juniper, cedar, and mesquite 50 miles west of Waco, TX. No new
information was received.
GIBSON, Oklahoma Division of Forestry. This wind driven fire is located
four miles east of Newkirk, OK.
CEMETERY ROAD, Oklahoma Division of Forestry. This fire is located three
miles south of Chochotah, OK. The fire is burning in grass and timber
fuels. Rapid rates of spread, spotting, and torching have been observed.
Dry fuels, low humidity and gusty winds have caused significant control
problems.
LONGTHORN, Southern Plains Regional Office, BIA. This fire is located north
of Cooperton, OK. The fire has exhibited extreme fire behavior with
significant runs. Single digit relative humidity and high temperatures have
made control difficult.
ROCKY MOUNTAIN AREA LARGE FIRES:
ELDORADO, Fort Collins Dispatch Center Counties. A Type II Incident
Management Team (Hartman) is assigned. This fire is burning eight miles
southwest of Boulder, Colorado. Crews have made progress on containment
goals. A local subdivision is still under an evacuation order. One
outbuilding was burned and two powerlines were damaged, shutting off power
to the local area.
COOPER MOUNTAIN, Canon City District, BLM. This fire is located ten miles
northeast of Canon City, CO. Steep terrain and dense oakbrush has hampered
suppression efforts.
MURPHY DRAW, Rock Springs District, BLM. This fire is burning approximately
18 miles southwest of Lander, WY. No other information was reported.
SPRING MOUNTAIN, Wind River Agency, BIA. This fire is located 35 miles
southeast of Pavillion, WY. Strong, gusty winds contributed to rapid rates
of spread. Steep, rocky terrain is hampering containment efforts. Current
threats are to commercial timber.
DECKER, Pine Ridge Agency, BIA. This lightning caused fire is located near
Pine Ridge, SD. Evacuations of some ranches and residences along American
Horse Creek occurred. Extreme fire behavior and rough terrain are hampering
containment efforts.
VALENTINE COMPLEX, Valentine National Wildlife Refuge. This fire is located
25 miles south of Valentine, NE. There are seven lightning caused fires
burning on the Valentine Refuge. Observed fire behavior is extreme, and one
refuge residence was evacuated.
214, Casper District, BLM. This lightning caused and wind driven fire is
located 25 miles north of Casper, WY.
NORTHERN ROCKIES AREA LARGE FIRES:
BUNYAN POINT/EAR MTN. COMPLEX, Lewis and Clark National Forest. A Type I
Incident Management Team (Bennett) is assigned. This complex is located 22
miles west-southwest of Augusta, MT, and consists of the Bunyan Point and
Ear Mountain fires. Pine Mountain Guest Ranch remains evacuated, however,
some residents were allowed to return to their homes. Fire activity
observed was torching and upslope runs. Current resources threatened are
the guest ranch, winter range and grizzly habitat.
VALLEY COMPLEX, Bitterroot National Forest. A Type II Incident Management
Team (Gauger) is assigned. These fires are located seven miles south of
Darby, MT. The complex consists of the Bear, Taylor, Taylor Spot, Hilltop,
Razor, Fat, and Mink fires. Cloudy, cool weather and higher humidity has
decreased fire activity. Rehabilitation is continuing on the fires.
SKALKAHO COMPLEX, Bitterroot National Forest. A Type II Incident Management
Team (Hoff) is assigned. This group of fires is located ten miles southeast
of Hamilton, MT. Increased burning activity has been observed. Mopup and
rehabilitation continue.
MUSSIGBROD COMPLEX, Beaverhead-Deerlodge National Forest. These fires are
located 12 miles northwest of Wisdom, MT. The complex includes the
Mussigbrod and Maynard fires. Crews are working interior hotspots and
rehabilitation continues in all divisions.
MIDDLE FORK COMPLEX, Beaverhead-Deerlodge National Forest. These fires are
located 30 miles southwest of Philipsburg, MT. The complex consists of the
Falls Creek, Cougar Creek, Coyote Springs, Medicine Lake, Skalkaho Pass,
Lick Creek and Cooper Creek fires. Crews continued to make good progress on
securing containment lines. Mopup and rehabilitation continues.
SHOULDER BLADE, Crow Agency, BIA. This fire is located eight miles
southeast of Saint Xavier, MT. Fire behavior observed was running, torching
and spotting.
EASTERN GREAT BASIN AREA LARGE FIRES:
CLEAR CREEK COMPLEX, Salmon-Challis National Forest. A Type I Incident
Management Team (Stam) is assigned. This complex consists of the Clear
Creek, Marlin Springs, Full Circle, and Sisters fires. The 3rd Battalion,
2nd Marines from Camp Lejeune, North Carolina, commanded by LTC Smith, is
committed. Observed fire behavior is minimal as weather conditions have
moderated.
BRUSH CANYON, Upper Snake River District, Eastern Idaho Area, BLM. This
fire, located 12 miles south of Malad, ID, is burning in grass and juniper.
Strong winds and rough terrain are hampering containment efforts. Critical
wildlife habitat is threatened.
TAYLOR, Upper Snake River District, Eastern Idaho Area, BLM. This fire is
burning in sagebrush and juniper seven miles southeast of Holbrook, ID. The
fire made active runs with torching and spotting. Critical wildlife habitat
is threatened.
CHERRY CREEK, Caribou National Forest. This fire is burning in grass and
brush six miles southwest of Downey, ID. Steep terrain and strong winds are
hampering control efforts.
SCF WILDERNESS, Salmon-Challis National Forest. Eleven wildland fires are
currently burning within the Salmon Challis Wilderness Complex, including
the Little Pistol, Indian Creek, Filly, Butts, Papoose, Parker, Packer
Meadow, Shell Rock, Wilson Creek, Jackass and Jack Creek. Increased fire
activity was observed with some torching and spotting noted on the
Shellrock fire.
SOUTHWEST AREA LARGE FIRES:
SIERRA, Gila National Forest. This fire is located near the Beaverhead Work
Center. A Fire Use Management Team (Cook) is assigned and will also manage
the Bloodgood incident. This lightning ignited wildland fire is being
managed to accomplish resource objectives. No new information was received.
BLOODGOOD, Gila National Forest. This fire is located five miles southwest
of the Gila Cliff Dwellings. No new information was received.
ARROW, Apache-Sitgreaves National Forest. This fire is located five miles
south of Hannagan Meadow and is being managed to accomplish resource
objectives. No new information was received.
OUTLOOK:
*** A RED FLAG WARNING IS POSTED FOR THE MENDOCINO NATIONAL FOREST,
MENDOCINO, HUMBOLDT, DEL NORTE, SHASTA, TEHEMA, BUTTE AND GLENN COUNTIES
FOR NEAR RECORD TEMPERATURES, LOW DAYTIME HUMIDITY AND POOR NIGHTTIME
HUMIDITY RECOVERY, ALONG WITH GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS.***
*** A RED FLAG WARNING IS POSTED FOR GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS IN THE SOUTHWEST
PORTION AND NORTH CENTRAL PORTION OF MONTANA.***
*** A RED FLAG WARNING IS POSTED FOR THE COASTAL RANGE OF SOUTHWEST OREGON
FOR STRONG EAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY.***
*** A RED FLAG WARNING IS POSTED FOR THE LAKE RANGER UNIT, NAPA RANGER
UNIT, SONOMA RANGER UNIT, AND PORTIONS OF THE EAST BAY HILLS FOR LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND BREEZY NORTHEAST WINDS.***
*** A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS POSTED FOR GUSTY SOUTH WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST TEXAS.***
*** A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS POSTED FOR THE ENTIRE STATE OF MISSISSIPPI AND
PORTIONS OF ARKANSAS FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY.***
*** A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS POSTED IN NORTHWEST SOUTH DAKOTA, THE BIG HORN
MOUNTAINS OF WYOMING AND THE MAJORITY OF CENTRAL TO EASTERN MONTANA FOR
GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS.***
A weak cold front will be moving across Oklahoma and north Texas. High
temperatures will range from the 80's to mid 90's. Minimum afternoon
humidity will be 20 to 30 percent inland and 30 to 45 percent along the
immediate coast. Winds will be northeast to southeast at 5 to 15 mph.
The chance for increased fire danger is possible in southwest Oregon,
northern California and central California as temperatures could rise above
100 degrees. Humidity will be in the teens and winds will be north to east
at 25 mph. In other parts of the west, a trough of low pressure will dip
into the northern and central Rockies, bringing a chance for showers. High
temperatures in much of the west will range from the 60's to the mid 80's.
In the rest of the west temperatures will range from the 80's to 105.
Minimum humidities will generally be in the upper teens through the 40's.
Winds across the Pacific Northwest will be out of the north to east at 10
to 20 mph. Northwest winds of 15 to 25 mph will prevail in parts of Idaho,
Wyoming, Montana, Utah and Colorado. The southwest states will have west to
northwest winds under 15 mph.
=> USA Earthquake Report
UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY
NATIONAL EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION CENTER
GOLDEN, COLORADO
LISTS OF U.S. EARTHQUAKES IN THE LAST 30 HOURS
EARTHQUAKES IN SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES
Prepared by USGS/NEIC 2000 SEP 19 at 00:15 UTC
EARTHQUAKES IN STATE OF ALASKA
Date Time (UTC) Lat Long Depth Magnitude
2000 SEP 17 19:38:30.21 62.2 N 147.5 W 33 km 3.5
60 miles W of Glennallen, Alaska
2000 SEP 17 22:50:03.31 52.7 N 178.4 W 201 km 5.4
90 miles NW of Adak, Alaska
=> Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports
Note: All data is considered preliminary
Tornado Reports
No reports received
Hail Reports
No reports received
Wind Reports
No reports received
Fields marked UNK are unknown
All Times UTC
Wind Gusts in MPH
Hail Sizes in 1/100 of an Inch (75 = 0.75")
=> Guest Column
No Column Today
=> Emergency Response to Terrorism: Job Aid (ERT:JA)
The National Fire Academy (NFA) is pleased to announce the completion and
release of the Emergency Response to Terrorism: Job Aid (ERT:JA) designed
and produced through a joint partnership of FEMA, USFA, and the Department
of Justice/Office of Justice Programs. The document is intended to support,
not replace, the training messages of the ERT curriculum. It is not a
training manual but a "memory jogger" for those who have completed the
appropriate level of training.
The Job Aid is divided into five primary sections that are tabbed and color
coded for rapid access of information:
Introduction (gray)
Operations Considerations (yellow)
Incident-Specific Actions (white)
Agency related issues (blue)
Glossary (tan)
The ERT:JA is sized to fit into coverall or work jacket pocket, or the glove
compartment or center console of response vehicles. Other user-friendly
features are:
Weather resistant, thin plastic pages
Ability to turn the pages with gloved hands
Ability to write on the pages with dry markers or to permanently inscribe
contact information with indelible markers
Writeen in simple language and recognizable terms
Copies may be ordered from the Government Printing Office (GPO). The contact
person at GPO is:
Alan Ptak or Jim Cameron
Phone: 202 / 512-1709
EMail: Aptak{at}gpo.gov
The cost is approximately $6.50 depending on quantity ordered and shipping.
States and other organizations are encouraged to use grant funds to purchase
the Job Aid. If you have questions on technical content, contact John
Kimball, Terrorism Program Manager, at (301) 447-1533 or by EMail:
john.kimball{at}fema.gov
=> FEMA Authorizes Funding For Colorado Wildfire
Washington, September 18, 2000 -- Federal funds have been authorized by the
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) to help Colorado fight the
uncontrolled Walker Ranch fire burning in Boulder County.
The fire suppression aid requested by the state was approved over the
weekend after the agency was informed that the 400-acre blaze posed a threat
to residents in the Pine Notch, Lake Shores and Juniper Heights subdivisions
and forced the evacuation of 25 homes.
FEMA fire suppression assistance was previously authorized for Colorado last
June for the Hi Meadow fire in Jefferson and Park counties and the Bobcat
Gulch fire in Larimer County.
The authorizations make federal funds available to pay 70 percent of the
state's eligible firefighting costs that are above $91,286. The figure,
called a floor cost, is derived through a formula based on the state's
five-year annual average for fighting fires.
Federal fire suppression aid is provided through the President's Disaster
Relief Fund and made available by FEMA to assist in fighting fires when they
threaten to cause a major disaster. Eligible state firefighting costs
covered by the aid can include expenses for field camps; equipment use,
repair and replacement; tools, materials and supplies; and mobilization and
demobilization activities.
=> Federal Funds Authorized To Help Fight Alabama Wildfire
Washington, September 18, 2000 -- The Federal Emergency Management Agency
(FEMA) reported today that federal funds have been authorized to help
Alabama battle the uncontrolled County Line fire located in Jefferson
County.
According to the agency, the fire suppression aid requested by the state was
approved last night after it was reported that the blaze was burning on
2,000 acres of land and endangering 150 homes and 40 other structures near
the town of Providence.
Under the authorization, FEMA will pay 70 percent of the state's eligible
firefighting costs that are above $525,575. The figure, called a floor cost,
is derived through a formula based on the state's five-year annual average
for fighting fires.
Federal fire suppression aid is provided through the President's Disaster
Relief Fund and made available by FEMA to assist in fighting fires when they
threaten to cause a major disaster. Eligible state firefighting costs
covered by the aid can include expenses for field camps; equipment use,
repair and replacement; tools, materials and supplies; and mobilization and
demobilization activities.
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=> Links Area
HURRICANE GORDON
Caribbean
This is an image of Gordon about two hours before making landfall on Cedar
Key.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Tropical/Atlantic/TRCgordon261B_N4.jpg
Atlantic
This is an 11 frame movie of Gordon as it approaches the coast of Florida
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Tropical/Atlantic/TRCgordon261_G8.avi
W. Pacific
Tropical Storm Shanshan was located near 16.3N 171.0E at 12:00 UTC. Shanshan
has been moving in a northwesterly direction at 7 knots with
maximum sustained winds estimated at 55 knots, gusts to 70 knots.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Tropical/W_Pacific/TRCshanshan262_GM.jpg
Idaho, Montana
Several heat signatures are visible in Idaho and western Montana.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Fires/US_Northwest/FSMHSusMT262_N2.jpg
New Mexico
Several heat signatures are visible from the 11,000 acre Bloodgood fire and
the 2,600 acre Sierra fire burning in the Gila National Forest in
southwestern New Mexico.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Fires/US_Southwest/FHSusNM262_N2.jpg
Idaho, Wyoming, Utah
Several heat signatures are visible in Idaho, Wyoming, and Utah in this
NOAA-12 image.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Fires/US_Northwest/FHSusID262_N2.jpg
Colorado
The heat signature from the Eldorado fire burning near Boulder, Colorado, is
visible with a second unidentified heat signature in eastern Colorado.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Fires/US_West/FHSusCO262_N2.jpg
=> How to Be Featured as our Guest Columnist
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