[STORMREPORTS] USASitRep: for May 17, 2000

From: owner-sitrep{at}disastercenter.com
Date: Wed May 17 2000 - 11:27:18 EDT


The USA Disaster Situation Report
Situation Report for May 17, 2000
National Temperature Extremes
High Tue...107 At Wink TX
Low Wed...29 Evanston WY

Tornado - High Risk
There is a 10% probability of a F2 or greater tornado and a 15% or greater
probability of a tornado within 25 miles of any point for the areas of
southeast Nebraska, and northeast Kansas. The 2 % probability area covers
the southeast quarter of Nebraska, southwest Iowa, northwest Missouri, and
the northeastern 1/3 of Kansas.

Hail - High Risk
There is a 10% probability of hail 2 inches or larger and a 25% probability
of hail 3/4 inch or larger within 25 miles of any point for an area covering
northeast Kansas, the central and eastern areas of Nebraska, southwest Iowa,
and northwest Missouri. Within this area there is a 35% probability of hail
3/4 inch or larger in eastern and central Nebraska. The 15% probability
area extends from these areas across Iowa and northern Missouri into western
and central Illinois. The 5% probability area extents from northcentral
Texas, the central 2/3rds of Oklahoma, central and eastern Kansas, Nebraska,
the southeastern half of Kansas, southwestern Minnesota, Iowa, southwestern
Wisconsin, northern and central Illinois, northwestern and central western
Indiana, and the northern half of Missouri.

Wind - High Risk
There is a 10% probability of winds in excess of 65 knots for an area
covering southeast Nebraska northeast Kansas, far northwest Missouri, and
far southwest Iowa within 25 miles of any point. The 5% probability area
covers far northeast Colorado, central and southern Nebraska, southern Iowa,
northern Missouri, northern central and eastern Kansas, central Oklahoma,
and northcentral Texas.

Tomorrow
Tomorrow the risk area covers northcentral Texas, central and eastern
Oklahoma, eastern Kansas, far eastern Nebraska, Iowa, Missouri, northwestern
Arkansas, Illinois, southern Wisconsin, Indiana, southern Michigan, Ohio,
Pennsylvania, Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey, central and southern New York,
Massachusetts, Connecticut, and Rhode Island.

Active Warnings:

Flash Flood

Puerto Rico
...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
EFFECTIVE UNTIL 600 PM AST WEDNESDAY EVENING... FOR SOUTHEASTERN PUERTO
RICO... EAST OF A LINE INCLUDING CAROLINA EXTENDING SOUTHWEST TO AND
INCLUDING SANTA ISABEL

Non Precipitation

Arkansas
.STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS WILL OCCUR ACROSS ARKANSAS TODAY AS A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL STRENGTHEN IN THE PLAINS AND HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS TO
THE EAST OF THE AREA.

Kansas
...SOUTHWEST WINDS TO INCREASE RAPIDLY THIS AFTERNOON... .A SIGNIFICANT
STORM SYSTEM CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES THIS MORNING.

Louisiana
...A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS TODAY...

New Mexico
..WIND ADVISORY TODAY FOR THE NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS AND FROM THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAIN CHAIN EASTWARD...
...WIND ADVISORY TODAY... WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35
MPH BY MID TO LATE MORNING WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH BY MIDDAY. THE
STRONGEST GUSTS WILL BE MAINLY ON THE HIGHER RIDGES AND EAST SLOPES.
WINDSPEEDS WILL LOWER THIS EVENING. FIRE MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS AND DRIVERS OF
HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD BE ALERT FOR THE INCREASING WINDS.

Oklahoma
...WIND ADVISORY TODAY FOR ALL OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS AND WESTERN AND
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...

South Dakota
WINDS WILL START TO DEVELOP THIS MORNING ACROSS WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA AND
CONTINUE UNTIL LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

Texas
...A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT TODAY FOR THE BIG COUNTRY...CONCHO VALLEY
AND NORTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU...
DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE IN WEST TEXAS...AND HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST WILL
RESULT IN STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS TODAY. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35
MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE.

Severe Thunderstorm

Iowa
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHERN CERRO GORDO COUNTY IN NORTH
CENTRAL IOWA * UNTIL 1030 AM CDT

South Dakota
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... WESTERN BROOKINGS COUNTY IN EAST
CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA * UNTIL 1015 AM CDT

The Current 24 hour rainfall forecast predicts over 2 inches of rainfall for
the areas of southern South Dakota, and northern Nebraska.
NATIONAL HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS
0845 AM EDT WED MAY 17 2000

Flood Summary

Showers in the Midwest and Mid-Atlantic
Showers will occur over parts of the Midwest and Mid-Atlantic on Wednesday,
with thunderstorms and possible severe weather over the eastern Plains. Some
showers may also penetrate the central Rockies and across the Corn Belt. The
rest of the nation should have warm and dry weather.

FLASH FLOODING:
No Flood/Flash Flood Warnings and/or Urban and Small Stream Flood Advisories
were issued over the past 24 hours.

RIVER FLOODING:
Rivers and streams with locations either above flood stage or expected to
rise above flood stage include (in alphabetical order, by state):

New York: Lake Champlain

INCIDENT MANAGEMENT SITUATION REPORT
WEDNESDAY, MAY 17, 2000 - 0530 MDT
NATIONAL PREPAREDNESS LEVEL III

CURRENT SITUATION:

New large fires were reported in the Southern and Southwest Areas. Crews
made progress toward containment objectives on all the Southwest Area
large fires yesterday, in spite of strong winds throughout the region.
The National Interagency Coordination Center processed orders for
helicopters, air tankers, infrared aircraft, radio equipment, engines,
crews, and miscellaneous overhead. Very high to extreme fire indices were
reported in New Mexico, Arizona, Texas, Oklahoma, Colorado, Utah, and
Montana.

On 5/13, Interior Secretary Bruce Babbitt and Agriculture Secretary Dan
Glickman announced a 30-day suspension of all federal prescribed fires
west of the 100th meridian. For more information, see the U.S. Forest
Service Fire web page at www.fs.fed.us/fire/news.shtml.

SOUTHWEST AREA LARGE FIRES:

CERRO GRANDE, Bandelier National Monument. An Area Command Team (Meuchel)
and two Type I Incident Management Teams (Humphrey and Bateman) are
assigned. A Type I Incident Management Team (Gage) will complete the
transition with Bateman's team today. The fire is burning near Los
Alamos, NM. Despite steady strong winds, no major problems have been
encountered. Crews are positioned to suppress any spot fires which may
occur. Patrol and mop-up operations continue on the south side of the
fire.

SCOTT ABLE, Lincoln National Forest. The fire is located 20 miles south of
Cloudcroft, NM. A Type I Incident Management Team (Studebaker) is
assigned. Significant progress has been made in establishing direct
fireline. Wind gusts of 50 mph caused some spotting yesterday. Unburned
islands and green fuels adjacent to indirect firelines are causing control
problems.

OUTLET, Grand Canyon National Park. A Type I Incident Management Team
(Frye) is assigned. The fire is burning in designated and proposed
wilderness 25 miles south of Jacob Lake, AZ. Strong winds, which caused
air operations to be suspended, spread the fire through the Saddle
Mountain Wilderness area. Crews were able to hold existing fireline and
to accomplish a limited amount of new fireline construction, in spite of
the high winds.

COON CREEK, Tonto National Forest. The fire is 20 miles north of Globe,
AZ in the Sierra Ancha Wilderness. Demobilization of resources is
underway.

SOUTHERN AREA LARGE FIRES:

LONG BAY, National Forests of Florida. A Type II Incident Management Team
(Wilkins) has been ordered. This fire is in the Apalachicola National
Forest, 40 miles southwest of Tallahassee, FL. The size of the fire
increased due to spotting in heavy swamp fuels. Drought conditions are
hampering containment.

FLOWERS, Florida State Division of Forestry. The fire is ten miles
northwest of Port Charlotte, FL. The fire jumped Interstate 75 yesterday
afternoon and is moving toward North Port, FL. The cause of the fire was
lightning.

COOK RANCH, Texas State Forest Service. The fire is located 36 miles
south of Ft. Stockton, TX. High winds are forecast for today.

CALVERT SWAMP, Alabama State Forestry Commission. The fire is burning in
a cypress swamp 30 miles north of Mobile, Alabama. Containment is
expected today.

CEDAR RIDGE, Blue Ridge Parkway, National Park Service. The fire is near
Traphill, NC. Containment was expected late last night.

PINEY, George Washington and Jefferson National Forests. This fire is
five miles southeast of Glasgow, VA. A burnout operation was successfully
completed. Containment was expected late last night.

OUTLOOK:

*** A RED FLAG WARNING IS POSTED IN THE NORTH, EAST AND CENTRAL PORTIONS
OF NEW MEXICO AND ALL OF WEST TEXAS FOR STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES TODAY ***

New Mexico will be partly cloudy and cooler. There is a chance of showers
over the northern mountains, while the south will be mostly sunny.
Afternoon winds will be southwest to west at 20 to 35. High temperatures
will be in the 60's to lower 70's in the north and in the mid 90's in the
southern deserts. Minimum relative humidities will be 10 to 25 percent.

West Texas will be partly cloudy and windy. Winds will be southwest at 15
to 25 mph with gusts to 40 mph. High temperatures will be in the 80's to
mid 90's. Minimum relative humidities will be 10 to 15 percent.

Northern Arizona will be partly cloudy with a chance of showers over the
mountains. The southern part of the state will be mostly sunny. Winds
will be southwest to northwest at 10 to 25 mph. High temperatures will be
in the 60's in the mountains and up to the lower 90's in the southern
deserts. Minimum relative humidities will be 9 to 20 percent.

Florida will be partly cloudy with east to south winds at 5 to 15 mph.
High temperatures will be in the mid 80's to lower 90's. Afternoon
relative humidities will be 35 to 45 percent.

North and South Carolina will be mostly cloudy with a chance of afternoon
showers and thunderstorms. Winds will be southeast to south at 5 to 15
mph. High temperatures will be in the 70's and 80's.

Virginia will be partly cloudy with south winds of 10 to 20 mph. There is
a chance of showers and thunderstorms over the highlands. Maximum
temperatures will be in the mid 70's to lower 80's.

Severe Weather Reports
Note: All data is considered preliminary
Tornado Reports
No reports received

Hail Reports
Time Size Location County State Lat Lon Comments
1200 100 BARON ADAIR OK 3591 9461 (TUL)
1200 75 KETCHUM CRAIG OK 3651 9501 (TUL)
1202 75 SUMMERFIELD LE FLORE OK 3488 9484 (TUL)
1230 75 JAY DELAWARE OK 3641 9480 DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED BY SHERIFFS OFFICE
IN JAY (TUL)
1240 75 WATSON MCCURTAIN OK 3443 9455 LAW ENFORCEMENT (SHV)
1300 75 5 SE OLPE LYON KS 3820 9609 REPORTED BY PUBLIC. (TOP)
1305 88 3 S BURLINGTON COFFEY KS 3814 9574 REPORTED BY STORM SPOTTER. (TOP)
1335 75 1 SE PIQUA WOODSON KS 3790 9551 (ICT)
1346 75 1 E HUMBOLDT ALLEN KS 3781 9541 (ICT)
1615 75 Y CITY SCOTT AR 3473 9408 (LIT)
2310 100 30 NW WHEATLAND PLATTE WY 4240 10544 (CYS)
2325 125 29 NW WHEATLAND PLATTE WY 4239 10542 (CYS)
0000 100 20 N WHEATLAND PLATTE WY 4238 10496 (CYS)
0020 175 PLATTE COUNTY PLATTE WY 4213 10493 MILE MARKER 108 ON I-25 (SPC)
0023 175 25 N WHEATLAND PLATTE WY 4246 10496 (CYS)
0030 75 30 W THERMOPOLIS HOT SPRINGS WY 4364 10889 REPORTED BY STORM
SPOTTER. (RIW)
0045 75 2 SW DURHAM ROGER MILLS OK 3580 9994 REPORTED BY PUBLIC. (OKC)
0048 100 5 N GUERNSEY PLATTE WY 4234 10473 (CYS)
0100 175 11 W JAY EM GOSHEN WY 4246 10461 OCCURRED BETWEEN 7 PM AND 725 PM
(CYS)
0107 75 18 N WHEATLAND PLATTE WY 4234 10496 (CYS)
0130 75 25 SE BUFFALO JOHNSON WY 4405 10628 REPORTED BY PUBLIC. (RIW)
0132 75 9 SW WORLAND WASHAKIE WY 4391 10811 REPORTED BY STORM SPOTTER. (RIW)
0140 175 20 NW GUERNSEY PLATTE WY 4250 10505 (CYS)
0140 75 8 N LEEDEY DEWEY OK 3599 9934 REPORTED BY PUBLIC. (OKC)
0200 175 29 N TORRINGTON GOSHEN WY 4254 10418 (SPC)
0210 100 FORT LARAMIE GOSHEN WY 4221 10451 (CYS)
0214 88 35 ESE BUFFALO JOHNSON WY 4412 10594 REPORTED BY PUBLIC. (RIW)
0214 88 11 NW KAYCEE JOHNSON WY 4384 10682 REPORTED BY PUBLIC. (RIW)
0240 175 15 SW GILLETTE CAMPBELL WY 4410 10572 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (RAP)
0241 100 5 SW HARRISON SIOUX NE 4262 10394 (CYS)
0254 175 7 N LINGLE GOSHEN WY 4224 10434 (SPC)
0255 175 22 S GILLETTE CAMPBELL WY 4391 10548 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (RAP)
0255 150 5 S GILLETTE CAMPBELL WY 4419 10548 REPORTED IN PLEASANTDALE (RAP)
0320 100 6 SE GILLETTE CAMPBELL WY 4421 10538 REPORTED IN SLEEPY HOLLOW
(RAP)
0320 100 13 E WHEATLAND PLATTE WY 4204 10467 (CYS)
0337 200 6 SW LINGLE GOSHEN WY 4206 10444 (CYS)
0411 150 LINGLE GOSHEN WY 4213 10434 (CYS)
0415 75 DRY RIDGE GRANT KY 3868 8458 (ILN)
0430 175 5 W TORRINGTON GOSHEN WY 4206 10429 (CYS)
0513 175 16 S CHADRON DAWES NE 4256 10300 (CYS)
0749 88 KINNEAR FREMONT WY 4315 10866 REPORTED BY NWS EMPLOYEE (RIW)
0814 150 30 N RIVERTON FREMONT WY 4353 10838 REPORTED BY SPOTTER. (RIW)

Wind Reports
Time Speed Location County State Lat Lon Comments
2357 61 7 E LOCKNEY FLOYD TX 3411 10129 WIND GUST DETECTED BY TEXAS DOT
SENSOR (LBB)
0109 UNK TELL CHILDRESS TX 3436 10038 POWER LINES DOWN DUE TO STRONG WINDS
(LBB)
0455 UNK NEWKIRK KAY OK 3688 9704 POWER POLES AND LARGE TREE LIMBS BLOWN
DOWN REPORTED BY EMERGENCY MGMT (OKC)
0118 67 CHILDRESS CHILDRESS TX 3441 10019 WIND GUST RECORDED AT CHILDRESS
MUNICIPAL AIRPORT ASOS (LBB)
0130 60 THOMAS CUSTER OK 3575 9874 THUNDERSTORM WINDS OF 60 MPH PLUS WERE
REPORTED BY S.O. DISPATCHER. (OKC)
0317 60 15 SW LINGLE GOSHEN WY 4195 10458 (CYS)
0350 60 AGATE SIOUX NE 4241 10378 AGATE FOSSIL BEDS NATIONAL MONUMENT (SPC)
0355 61 1 SW MEDFORD GRANT OK 3680 9774 MEASURED BY OKLAHOMA MESONET. (OKC)
0405 60 3 W GOULD HARMON OK 3466 9984 MEASURED BY OKLAHOMA MESONET. (OKC)
0445 58 6 NW KAW CITY KAY OK 3683 9692 MEASURED BY OKLAHOMA MESONE (OKC)
0500 64 6 NW KAW CITY KAY OK 3683 9692 MEASURED BY OKLAHOMA MESONE (OKC)

Fields marked UNK are unknown
All Times UTC
Wind Gusts in MPH

UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY
NATIONAL EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION CENTER
GOLDEN, COLORADO
LISTS OF U.S. EARTHQUAKES IN THE LAST 30 HOURS
Prepared by USGS/NEIC 2000 MAY 17 at 00:15 UTC

EARTHQUAKES IN SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES
(29.0 TO 35.8 N, 102.0 TO 125.0 W)
Date Time (UTC) Lat Long Depth Magnitude
2000 MAY 16 20:45:53.00 34.7 N 116.3 W 0 km 3.4
40 miles NNW of Twentynine Palms, California

---------------------
LINKS AREA
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New Mexico Message Board
http://www.disastercenter.com/newmexic/bboard.mv

New Zealand
More than 1000 Canterbury civil defence staff were kept busy dealing with an
alpine fault earthquake at the weekend.

http://www.press.co.nz/2000/20/000515l14.htm

The information presented here is not authoritative.
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